Investing.com -- Goldman Sachs has downgraded both Texas Instruments and Arm Holdings to Sell in a note on Monday, arguing that neither stock is well-positioned to capture the next phase of the semiconductor upcycle, despite a broadly constructive backdrop for AI-related spending into 2026.
In its sector outlook, Goldman Sachs said it sees “AI spending among hyperscalers continuing to move higher,” supporting Digital, Memory, Storage and semiconductor production equipment names in 2026.
Analyst James Schneider also expects a “gradual industrial & automotive recovery” lifting analog chips, but warned that the upcycle will be uneven, driving “more discrimination in Semiconductor stocks,” according to Goldman Sachs.
Texas Instruments was downgraded to Sell from Buy, with Goldman Sachs citing company-specific execution risks.
While Schneider anticipates “a constructive backdrop for a broader analog recovery in 2026,” he said Texas Instruments’ “strategic capacity and capital choices this cycle will serve as an idiosyncratic drag that will weigh on the company’s margin and earnings recovery relative to peers.”
The analyst added that inventory is at “record levels,” leading to “muted margin and earnings expansion into the upturn.”
He also warned that missing free cash flow targets “will likely weigh on the shares in the medium term.”
Arm was also downgraded to Sell, but from Neutral, with Goldman Sachs pointing to “limited upside to fundamentals.”
The firm highlighted Arm’s “high Royalty revenue exposure to the smartphone market (~60%)” and stated that locked-in royalty rates and low unit growth “limit upside to fundamentals in the near term.”
Goldman also expects higher R&D spending to pursue AI custom chips, resulting in “less financial leverage” over the next several years.








