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The global economy is flashing warning signs, with traders, analysts, and economists pointing to more trouble ahead.
The calls of a looming recession are growing louder, and the crypto market is showing increased volatility, all while Wall Street braces for Fed rate cuts and further market swings.
Trader Doctor Profit has issued a major warning that the macro economy is in serious danger. Here’s why.
Signs Of Recession
According to the trader, irrespective of whether the recession crash comes in the next few weeks or in Q1–Q2 2026, the Bitcoin target of $90K–$94K remains unchanged.
One of the best indicators to watch, he says, is the yield curve, which compares short-term U.S. bonds with long-term bonds. Normally, long-term bonds pay more, a healthy positive spread. But when short-term bonds pay more, it’s called an inversion, and always signals that trouble is ahead.
The 10Y–2Y curve inverted on July 5, 2022, staying that way for 784 days, the longest in U.S. history. On Aug 27, 2024, the curve flipped back positive. Doctor Profit explains that history shows recessions don’t start during inversion, they come after normalization, as seen in 1990, 2001, 2007, and now in 2024–2025.
The Calm Before the Storm?
This cycle is different because the inversion has lasted much longer than usual.
At the same time, unemployment is creeping up, job growth figures are being revised downward, and the Fed has already begun cutting rates, similar to the setup before the 2001 crash.
Doctor Profit warns that the period from now until the second quarter of 2026 is a high-risk window for a major recession and market crash. The bond market is also sending warning signals, reminding him of the calm before the storm that played out ahead of the 2001 and 2007 crashes.
Doctor Profit predicts Bitcoin’s next move to $90K–$94K. After reaching $90K, two scenarios are possible:
He clarifies that the move toward $90,000 should be viewed as a separate correction and not the start of the recessionary crash itself.
Policy Risks and Inflation Bubbles
Meanwhile, other experts warn that policy mistakes could make economic risks even worse.
Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff criticised Trump’s economic team, arguing that they fail to recognize the difference between real growth and inflation-driven bubbles.
According to Schiff, this blind spot could push the Fed and policymakers to repeat the mistakes that led to the 2008 financial crisis, weakening America’s industrial foundation once again.
On the other side, Morgan Stanley’s Equity Strategist says that the U.S. has been in a slow, hidden recession since 2022, with different sectors struggling at different times. With the Fed cutting rates, a new bull market is forming, though short-term volatility is expected.
Fed Rate Cuts and Market Outlook
After a weak August jobs report, markets expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points, with some hoping for an even bigger move. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 90% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut and a 10% chance of a 100-basis-point cut.
While traders hope that rate cuts will boost stocks, some warn that the impact may be limited. The crypto market also often benefits from rate cuts as cheaper borrowing and more liquidity push investors toward riskier assets like Bitcoin.
Real-world asset tokenization platform OpenEden and crypto infrastructure provider BitGo have entered the competition to issue Hyperliquid’s planned native stablecoin, USDH, bringing the number of contenders to eight.
Hyperliquid validators will start voting for the USDH proposal from Thursday and will be able to cast their votes until Sunday. Other suitors include Ethena, Paxos, Frax, Agora, Native Markets and Sky.
The winning bid will decide how it will manage Hyperliquid’s $5.9 billion stablecoin reserve, with 95.56% of it held in USDC (USDC), according to DefiLlama.
OpenEden’s bid for USDH
OpenEden’s founder and CEO Jeremy Ng on Wednesday laid out the platform’s proposal on how it will handle USDH were it to win the bid.
The RWA platform pledged to distribute all the yield it will generate from the USDH reserves to the Hyperliquid ecosystem, which will include buybacks.
It will additionally use the proceeds from minting and redeeming USDH to buy back Hyperliquid’s HYPE token and distribute it to the Hyperliquid validators.
The company has earmarked 3% of its native EDEN token supply to provide additional incentives, which could be boosted in the future.
USDH reserves will be stored in a tokenized US Treasury Bills Fund, whose custody will be under The Bank of New York Mellon.
The company has partnered with The Bank of New York Mellon, Chainlink, AEON Pay and Monarq Asset Management for adoption.
BitGo touts regulatory prowess
Meanwhile, BitGo said it will leverage US dollar-backed liquid assets, bank deposits, short-term treasury bills and more for minting and redeeming USDH.
The company stated that it will use Chainlink’s crosschain interoperability protocol to maintain interoperability between chains.
The yield from the underlying assets will be used to buy and stake HYPE tokens, with the company taking a 0.3% fee of the total reserves.
BitGo touted its regulatory compliance as its major strength, as six of its companies have acquired licenses from Dubai, Singapore, Denmark, New York and a Markets in Crypto-Assets license from Germany.
Native Markets leads the pack
At the time of writing, Native Markets has received the most votes, with 33.73% of the delegate stake selecting its proposal.
Native Markets, co-founded by community member Max Fiege, has proposed splitting the proceeds from the reserves, with half of the proceeds being used to buy back HYPE tokens, while the other half being granted to the Assistance Fund. However, the proposal has received backlash from the community.
Haseeb Qureshi, managing partner at crypto venture fund Dragonfly, has cast doubt regarding Native Markets’ bid.
“Hearing from multiple bidders that none of the validators are interested in considering anyone besides Native Markets. It’s not even a serious discussion, as though there was a backroom deal already done.” Qureshi said.
Nansen CEO Alex Svanevik refuted the claim, saying that they along with their allies, have been engaged with bidders and have encouraged them to put forth their proposal to make the bidding process competitive.
Paxos Labs, which submitted a revised bid on Wednesday, is currently second with a vote share of 11.52%.
However, 46.49% stake remains unassigned, which could drastically change the outcome of who gets to create the USDH token.
A Polymarket poll indicates that market participants are largely expecting Native Markets to win the proposal, with 90% of the poll users voting for it.
Other bidders include Ethena Labs, which submitted its proposal on Tuesday, while Sky, formerly Marker, submitted its proposal on Monday.
On the network side, XRP is showing something that might push it up sooner rather than later: over the past few days, the number of active accounts has increased by almost 30%, reaching over 26,000 unique senders. This spike in activity rekindled user interest and may be a crucial indicator of the asset’s performance going forward. Increased interest in holding and transacting with an asset is frequently reflected in the growth of active accounts.
For XRP, which markets itself as a blockchain that focuses on payments, this metric is essential. Its viability is primarily determined by the volume of transactions and transfer usage. More market participants are transferring money, testing the network or making cross-border payments, as evidenced by a 30% increase in active wallets.
XRP's market performance
In terms of the market, the timing is significant. A descending trendline has been pressed against by XRP’s consolidation around $3.00, which has been above the 50- and 100-day moving averages. Although it has not yet reached the levels observed during July's explosive rally, buying volume has gradually increased again. On the other hand, the rise in network activity provides a basic level of support that might support a technical breakthrough. Chart by TradingView">
When interpreting active accounts as a direct driver of price, one cannot ignore the overall risk surrounding XRP, though. Use of the network does not always correspond to long-term price growth; occasionally, it may even be a reflection of speculative exchanges or transfers. However, the increase in active accounts may work as a tailwind when paired with improving chart structure and market sentiment.
What's next?
It is possible that XRP will push toward $3.40-$3.50 if it is able to overcome its resistance around $3.10. This is especially true if user activity stays high. The downside is that if momentum is not maintained, the $2.78 support level may be retested.
As of right now, the 30% increase in activity shows that XRP is not at all stagnant. Interpret price action as a sign that participation is increasing once more, even though confirmation is still pending. This could pave the way for the subsequent stage in XRP’s market rally.
Bitcoin’s liquidity tug-of-war enters a critical phase on Binance, which happens to be the exchange with the deepest order books.
With BTC’s price already showing strength a little below its all-time high level, the current liquidity battle on Binance may not just be noise – it could be the early signal of the next bullish leg.Binance Flashing a Bull Market Trigger?
CryptoQuant explained that in early August, Binance’s refill_30d indicator, which tracks the 30-day rolling inflows of Bitcoin to the platform, climbed sharply and repeatedly outpaced the drain_30d indicator, which measures withdrawals. This influx of BTC, particularly strong between August 4 and 18, meant that traders were preparing for distribution or hedging as Bitcoin’s price neared $120,000.
But after peaking, inflows declined in the second half of the month, in what appeared to be reduced selling intent and waning momentum. By mid-August, both drain and refill indicators had entered equilibrium, indicating a temporary balance in trader behavior and contributing to a phase of relative price stability.
The change yet again in early September, when the drain_30d indicator surged past 22 million, one of the highest levels seen in recent months, while refills stayed muted. This divergence is important since it points to renewed withdrawals of BTC from Binance, reducing exchange liquidity and potentially tightening supply. When exchange liquidity dries up and demand stays firm, the market can tip into sharp rallies fueled by scarcity.What’s Next For BTC
What’s crucial is that despite these oscillations in liquidity, Bitcoin’s price hasremainedrelatively steady, which can be attributed to the market absorbing both inflows and outflows with minimal disruption.
Looking ahead, the imbalance between rising outflows and weak inflows could tilt the scales. If drains continue to rise while refills remain low, Binance may face a liquidity squeeze that intensifies buying pressure. Such conditions can set up the possibility of an imminent rally.
By Dow Jones Newswires Staff
Global stock markets and U.S. stock futures were mostly in the green again on Thursday after Oracle's surge and an unexpected decline in producer prices powered the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite to fresh record closing highs in the prior session. Tech-sector gains and the near-certainty of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next Wednesday have powered markets higher, with investors now awaiting consumer price data later to provide clues to the pace of rate cuts through end-year. The dollar edged higher, as did Treasury yields.
In Europe, the European Central Bank is expected to leave rates unchanged and provide little steer on its policy outlook.
Write to Barcelona Editors at barcelonaeditors@dowjones.com
Apple’s latest iPhone 17 introduces a new layer of defense for crypto users with hardware-level memory protections that aim to prevent common attack vectors used to hijack signing operations.
At the core of this upgrade is Memory Integrity Enforcement (MIE), a feature enabled by default that uses Enhanced Memory Tagging Extension (EMTE)-style memory tagging to detect and block dangerous memory access types like out-of-bounds and use-after-free errors.
According to cybersecurity firm Hacken, the new MIE system “meaningfully” reduces the risk of attackers using memory-corruption zero-days to take control of signing code. “It’s a real plus for crypto users, especially high-net-worth or frequent signers,” Hacken told Cointelegraph.
These vulnerabilities reportedly account for nearly 70% of software flaws and are often exploited in zero-day attacks targeting wallets and Passkey approvals.
Apple boosts iPhone 17 defenses
Hacken explained that MIE actively detects and blocks dangerous memory access patterns like out-of-bounds and use-after-free errors, preventing many common exploit chains. It’s always-on across both kernel and user-level processes, making spyware development more difficult and expensive.
“It raises the bar for attackers and makes targeted spyware/exploit development much harder and more expensive,” Hacken said. “That directly benefits wallet apps and Passkey flows that rely on in-process operations,” the blockchain security firm added.
However, MIE is not a silver bullet. It does not protect against phishing, social engineering, malicious web content, or compromised apps. Furthermore, it does not replace secure hardware wallets or eliminate the need for user vigilance.
“Security improvements reduce overall risk but don’t make devices invulnerable,” Hacken said, asking users to be vigilant and expect new vulnerabilities.
Apple crypto users face security threats
Apple’s crypto users have been facing serious security threats. Last month, it was revealed that a zero-click vulnerability allows attackers to compromise iPhones, iPads and Macs without user interaction. Apple released security patches across multiple OS versions to fix the flaw.
Earlier this year, Kaspersky warned that malicious software development kits used in apps on Google’s Play Store and Apple’s App Store are scanning users’ photo galleries for crypto wallet recovery phrases.
Last year, Trust Wallet also warned Apple users to disable iMessage due to “credible intel” of a high-risk zero-day exploit circulating on the Dark Web that could let hackers take control of iPhones without user interaction.
The U.S. crypto market is preparing for a landmark week as Rex-Osprey’s highly anticipated exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are scheduled to launch this Friday. The lineup includes ETFs linked to Bitcoin, XRP, Dogecoin , BONK, and TRUMP tokens, all of which have cleared the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) 75-day review window without objection.
SEC Clears the Path for Crypto ETFs
The SEC’s decision not to object during the 75-day review period effectively gives Rex-Osprey the green light. These funds fall under the “40 Act” category, meaning they won’t hold spot crypto directly but will still provide regulated exposure to major tokens.
Chad Steingraber@ChadSteingraberSep 11, 2025The Rex-Osprey ETF’s are set to launch on Friday without SEC objection, clearing the 75 day review window.
Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas noted:
“Unless the SEC steps in at the last minute, these ETFs will begin trading on U.S. markets before the week is over.”
XRP ETF Could Set Records
Among the lineup, the XRP ETF is generating the most buzz. Market analyst Dom Kwok predicted:
“The XRP ETF could see the largest inflows in crypto history.”
With deadlines for other ETF applications arriving in October, many experts believe billions of dollars could enter the market if investor demand matches expectations.
Dogecoin ETF Makes History
The Dogecoin ETF (ticker: DOJE) is another milestone. It would be the first regulated U.S. product giving investors direct exposure to Dogecoin. Both retail traders and institutions are expected to pay attention, given DOGE’s popularity and cultural presence in crypto.
SEC’s Mixed Signals
While Rex-Osprey’s ETFs are moving forward, other applications face delays. The SEC recently extended its review of Franklin’s Solana and XRP ETFs until November 14, 2025. Similarly, Bitwise’s Dogecoin ETF has been pushed back to November 12. Meanwhile, BlackRock’s request to add staking to its Ethereum ETF awaits a final ruling on October 30.
These delays show the SEC’s cautious approach to more experimental crypto products, even as it allows others to advance.
What It Means for U.S. Markets
The launch of Rex-Osprey’s ETFs marks another step in the integration of digital assets into regulated financial markets. While these funds don’t provide direct spot exposure, they make it easier for both institutions and everyday investors to participate.
With XRP and DOGE leading the charge, this week could be a turning point for crypto ETFs in the United States.
FAQs
When do the new Rex-Osprey crypto ETFs launch?The Rex-Osprey ETFs, including funds for Bitcoin, XRP, and Dogecoin, are scheduled to launch this Friday.
What is the significance of the SEC’s 75-day review?The SEC did not object during its 75-day review window, effectively giving the Rex-Osprey ETFs the green light to begin trading.
Will these ETFs hold the actual cryptocurrencies?No. These are “40 Act” funds, meaning they provide regulated exposure to the tokens but will not hold the spot assets directly.
Are other crypto ETFs facing delays?Yes, the SEC has delayed decisions on Franklin’s Solana/XRP ETFs and Bitwise’s Dogecoin ETF until November, showing a cautious approach.
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