Investing.com -- Leading investment firm BTIG released its top financial stock picks for the first half of 2026, highlighting companies positioned for growth despite market uncertainties.
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BTIG analysts have identified several standout performers across large-cap and mid-cap financial sectors, with particular emphasis on companies executing strategic acquisitions and leveraging technology to drive growth.
Here’s a closer look at BTIG’s top financial stock recommendations:
1. Capital One Financial Corp. (COF)
BTIG’s large-cap top pick for 1H26 with a price target of $308, representing significant upside from its current $242.36 trading price. Analyst Vincent Caintic believes Capital One is poised to benefit from its Discover acquisition, with rapid revenue synergies expected from shifting debit volume to the Discover Network.
The firm is steadily gaining market share in the premium card space while maintaining advantages in auto lending. BTIG expects Capital One to become more aggressive with share repurchases as the Discover integration progresses.
Capital One Financial reported mixed fourth-quarter 2025 results, with revenue slightly beating forecasts while earnings per share fell short of expectations. Following its acquisition of Brex, several firms, including Evercore ISI and Wolfe Research, lowered their price targets on the company.
2. Enova International, Inc. (ENVA)
Selected as BTIG’s SMID-cap top pick for 1H26 with a $199 price target against its current $157.20 share price. Analyst Vincent Caintic views Enova’s acquisition of Grasshopper Bancorp as transformational, positioning the company to become a leading neobank and fintech.
Despite market skepticism around deal synergies, BTIG expects shares to move higher once the acquisition completes in mid-2026 and as synergies materialize through 2027.
Enova International announced stronger-than-expected earnings for the fourth quarter of 2025, with both its earnings per share and revenue surpassing analyst forecasts.
3. Rocket Companies, Inc. (RKT)
BTIG’s favorite large-cap originator/servicer with a $25 price target compared to its current $19.36 share price. Analyst Eric Hagen cites Rocket’s dominant borrower connectivity, industry-leading origination/servicing alignment, and tech-forward platform as key advantages.
The Mr. Cooper acquisition creates meaningful scale synergies, making Rocket the largest servicer nationally while deepening franchise value.
JPMorgan recently reinstated coverage on Rocket Companies with a Neutral rating, citing the company’s recent acquisitions and expanded strategy as key factors in its analysis.
4. Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM)
BTIG’s SMID-cap top pick with a $16 price target versus its current $10.90 share price. Analyst Eric Hagen highlights Rithm’s diversified earnings drivers, strategic push into asset management, and multiple catalysts that could drive valuation higher.
Recent acquisitions (Paramount Group, Sculptor, Crestline) lay groundwork for significant fee generation and AUM growth, while its 9.2% dividend yield provides income support.
Rithm Capital has expanded its partnership with mortgage technology firm Valon and announced a strategic investment by its subsidiary Newrez into an AI-powered underwriting platform. Additionally, UBS resumed coverage on the company with a Buy rating following its acquisition of Paramount Group.
5. Block, Inc. (XYZ)
BTIG’s large-cap top pick with a $90 price target against its current $65.09 share price. Analyst Andrew Harte sees Block as compelling based on its profitable mid-teens growth driven by Cash App and Square’s deeper penetrations with existing customers.
Management’s 2026 gross profit growth targets were ahead of consensus, and Harte has conviction in Block’s ability to achieve its mid-teens growth targets driven by product innovation and banking product adoption.
In recent developments, Cantor Fitzgerald initiated coverage on Block Inc. with an Overweight rating, while the company announced its Chief Accounting Officer will step down in February 2026.
6. Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR)
Selected as BTIG’s SMID-cap top pick with a $105 price target compared to its current $62.97 share price. Analyst Andrew Harte views Shift4’s current approximately 11% FY26E FCF yield as a compelling entry point given expectations for 15%+ organic growth over the next few years.
Growth is expected from annualization of FY25 wins, net-new customers, cross-sell opportunities, and the Global Blue integration.
Shift4 Payments has launched a stablecoin settlement platform for merchants and received a downgrade to Hold from Buy by Deutsche Bank, which cited concerns about organic growth.
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