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What Happened?
Shares of smart home company SmartRent jumped 8.3% in the afternoon session after top executives disclosed significant purchases of company stock, signaling strong insider confidence in its future. CEO Frank Martell acquired 47,278 shares for a total of $79,715 through a family trust. Adding to this, Director Thomas Bohjalian also bought 50,000 shares, an investment valued at approximately $84,000. These kinds of purchases by a company's own leadership are often viewed by investors as a positive sign. They suggest that those with the most insight into the company's operations believe the shares have potential to grow. The recent transactions contributed to a larger pattern, with 16 insider buys compared to just one sale over the previous year.
Is now the time to buy SmartRent? Access our full analysis report here.
What Is The Market Telling Us
SmartRent’s shares are extremely volatile and have had 46 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
SmartRent is up 5.4% since the beginning of the year, and at $1.85 per share, it is trading close to its 52-week high of $1.86 from December 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of SmartRent’s shares at the IPO in February 2021 would now be looking at an investment worth $166.22.
What a fantastic six months it’s been for SmartRent. Shares of the company have skyrocketed 96.7%, hitting $1.77. This was partly due to its solid quarterly results, and the performance may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.
Is now still a good time to buy SMRT? Or is this a case of a company fueled by heightened investor enthusiasm? Find out in our full research report, it’s free for active Edge members.
Why Does SmartRent Spark Debate?
Founded by an employee at a real estate rental company, SmartRent provides smart home devices and software for multifamily residential properties, single-family rental homes, and student housing communities.
Two Positive Attributes:
1. ARR Surges as Recurring Revenue Flows In
We can better understand Internet of Things companies by analyzing their ARR, or annual recurring revenue. This metric shows how much SmartRent expects to collect from its existing customer base in the next 12 months, giving visibility into its future revenue streams.
SmartRent’s ARR punched in at $56.88 million in the latest quarter, and over the last two years, its year-on-year growth averaged 22.9%. This performance was fantastic and shows that customers are willing to take multi-year bets on the company’s product offerings. Its growth also makes SmartRent a more predictable business, a tailwind for its valuation as investors typically prefer businesses with recurring revenue.
2. New Investments Bear Fruit as ROIC Jumps
ROIC, or return on invested capital, is a metric showing how much operating profit a company generates relative to the money it has raised (debt and equity).
We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. Over the last few years, SmartRent’s ROIC has increased. This is a good sign, but we recognize its lack of profitable growth during the COVID era was the primary reason for the change.
One Reason to be Careful:
Revenue Tumbling Downwards
Long-term growth is the most important, but within industrials, a stretched historical view may miss new industry trends or demand cycles. SmartRent’s recent performance marks a sharp pivot from its five-year trend as its revenue has shown annualized declines of 16.5% over the last two years.
Final Judgment
SmartRent’s merits more than compensate for its flaws, and after the recent rally, the stock trades at 110.4× forward EV-to-EBITDA (or $1.77 per share). Is now the time to buy despite the apparent froth? See for yourself in our in-depth research report, it’s free for active Edge members.
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