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Popular market analyst and key opinion leader (KOL) Ted Pillows is projecting the crypto market to hit a $4.5 trillion valuation before Q3 2025 ends. This interestingly bullish forecast comes off the back of another Bitcoin price rejection allowing the total crypto market cap to maintain the choppy price movement seen in the last month.
Rally Ahead? Crypto Market Tests $3.5T Barrier
In an X post on July 4, Pillows shares an insightful technical analysis on the total crypto market cap. Using the daily CryptoCap chart from Tradingview, the renowned analyst highlights the recent formation of a bull flag hinting at an impending price breakout.
For context, the bull flag is a classic bullish continuation pattern. It starts with the formation of a flagpole i.e. a strong upward price movement, as seen between early April to late May when Bitcoin reached a new all-time high. This structure is followed by the “flag,” i.e., a descending price channel that reflects a period of consolidation. This market action is seen from late May to the present, as the crypto market cap entered a temporary pullback phase.
Pillows’ analysis shows a complete bull flag formation. However, the crypto market cap must achieve a decisive price close above the $3.5 trillion mark which represents the upper boundary of the flag to confirm a price breakout. If this bullish scenario occurs, Ted Pillows predicts the crypto total market cap to surge to around $4.3 trillion – $4.5 trillion in Q3 2025.
Considering its market dominance levels of 62.77%, Bitcoin’s market cap could also rise to around $2.82 trillion in such bullish conditions providing a market price of $141,800 per unit. However, it’s worth noting that the occurrence of an altseason amidst this crypto price surge could alter the projected market status for the premier cryptocurrency.
Crypto Market Overview
According to data from Coingecko, the total cryptocurrency cap is presently valued at $3.39 trillion following a 5.21% decline in the past day in line with the negative price changes with the Bitcoin market. However, the ongoing crypto bull run has delivered an impressive 51.24% gain over the past year.The market leader, Bitcoin, is presently valued at $108,118 reflecting a 1.46% loss in the last 24 hours as previously stated. The maiden cryptocurrency is also witnessing a 14.40% fall in daily trading volume indicating crash in transactions and market activity.
Ethereum remains range-bound between the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, signalling a consolidation phase.
However, a decisive breakout in either direction will likely define the next major trend, with market sentiment leaning toward a potential bullish breakout in the coming days.ETH Price Analysis: Technicals
By ShayanThe Daily Chart
ETH is currently consolidating between the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, entering a decisive phase in its price action.
After breaking above the pivotal 200-day MA around $2.5K, an area that has acted as strong resistance in recent weeks, the price has pulled back to retest this level. This pullback is crucial: if bullish demand resurfaces and holds ETH above this moving average, it would likely ignite another leg upward, targeting the $2.8K resistance zone.
For now, the cryptocurrency appears to be range-bound between $2.5K and $2.8K, and a clear breakout from this zone will likely set the stage for the next significant trend direction. Market participants are closely watching for a bullish continuation, which could solidify ETH’s reversal structure.The 4-Hour Chart
On the lower timeframe, ETH’s recent rally encountered resistance at a key bearish order block between $2625 and $2670, where sellers re-entered the market. This rejection has pushed the price back toward the $2.5K support level, a historically significant zone for ETH.
This area now serves as a crucial battleground. If buyers manage to defend it, Ethereum could regain momentum and reattempt a breakout above the overhead supply.
However, failure to hold $2.5K could trigger extended consolidation or even a retracement toward lower supports.Onchain Analysis
By Shayan
The funding rate remains a key indicator of market sentiment in Ethereum’s futures market. In a healthy uptrend, this metric typically trends upward, reflecting increasing confidence and positioning from long-biased traders in both spot and perpetual markets.
Currently, however, ETH’s funding rates have been declining amid price consolidation between the 100-day and 200-day moving averages. This suggests reduced bullish conviction and signs of buyer exhaustion, raising the likelihood of continued short-term sideways movement.
For Ethereum to break above the critical $2.6K and $2.8K resistance zones, stronger demand must flow into the derivatives market, lifting the funding rate to more positive levels. Until that shift materializes, the consolidation phase is likely to persist.
Bulls are weaker than bears at the beginning of the weekend, according to CoinMarketCap.CoinStats">
The price of SHIB has declined by 0.8% since yesterday.TradingView">
On the hourly chart, the rate of SHIB is looking bearish as it is near the local support of $0.00001140. If a breakout happens, the fall may continue to the $0.00001130 range shortly.TradingView">
On the bigger time frame, the price of the meme coin is on the way to the support of $0.00001116.
If the rate fixes below that mark, the accumulated energy might be enough for a move to the $0.000011 area.TradingView">
From the midterm point of view, bulls have failed to maintain the rise after the previous bullish closure. If buyers want to continue the upward move, traders should restore the rate of SHIB above the $0.000012 zone.
SHIB is trading at $0.00001141 at press time.
Key takeaways:
XRP has averaged 25% declines in 2025 following overbought Stochastic RSI signals.
A descending triangle breakdown could push XRP price toward $1.14, while an analyst sees a deeper drop to $0.60.
Bullish analysts expect breakouts toward $3.20–$27.
XRP has averaged 25% price declines in 2025 during its daily Stochastic RSI unwinding from the overbought levels. A similar fractal is now playing out in July, raising the probability of correcting in the coming days or weeks.
Previous XRP drops were between 12% and 45%
Stochastic RSI measures momentum by comparing an asset’s RSI to its recent range. Its reading crossed into the overbought zone above 80 on XRP’s daily chart on June 28 and has been there since then.
Previous instances show that XRP tends to reverse sharply when these levels begin to neutralize. The cryptocurrency’s declines have come to be approximately 12-45% in 2025, averaging over 25%.
XRP’s chart structure implies a higher probability of downside unless a decisive breakout invalidates this chart signal.
XRP 50-70% drawdown risks remain
A descending triangle formation after XRP’s strong upside run risks strengthening the bearish outlook, with downside projections sitting at around $1.14, or a 50% from the current price levels.
Analyst Xanrox warns of a much deeper correction ahead, citing a multi-year ascending triangle that has defined XRP’s price action since 2017.
A key part of his thesis is the formation of a large Fair Value Gap, or FVG, during XRP’s vertical move earlier this year. Historically, such imbalances have been filled aggressively after steep drawdowns.
He projects a similar outcome following XRP’s recent rally to $3.40 in 2025, targeting a decline toward the triangle’s lower trendline at around $0.60, a ~70% drawdown from current prices.
Not all analysts are bearish, however. Mikybull Crypto sees a symmetrical triangle setup targeting $3.70 by September, while XForceGlobal projects $8–27 based on Fibonacci levels.
Others cite a falling wedge breakout and whale accumulation, with targets near $3.20.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
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