As traders approach another pivotal day for financial markets, Thursday, December 18, 2025, brings a series of crucial economic data releases that could significantly sway market dynamics. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) will take center stage, offering vital insights into inflation trends. Initial jobless claims will provide a snapshot of the labor market’s health, while the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index will reveal regional business conditions. These key indicators arrive simultaneously during the morning trading session, potentially triggering volatility across financial markets.
Major Economic Events to Watch
• 8:30 AM ET - Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Previous:0.3%, 3.0% y/y): This critical inflation gauge measures price changes from consumers’ perspective and serves as a key indicator for monetary policy decisions.
• 8:30 AM ET - Core CPI (Previous:0.2%, 3.0% y/y): Excluding volatile food and energy prices, this reading provides a clearer view of underlying inflation trends.
• 8:30 AM ET - Initial Jobless Claims (Previous:236K): This early economic indicator tracks first-time unemployment insurance filings, offering insights into labor market conditions.
• 8:30 AM ET - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Previous:-1.7): This survey of manufacturers in the Philadelphia region serves as a barometer for industrial activity and economic momentum.
Other Important Economic Events to Watch
• 8:30 AM ET - Continuing Jobless Claims (Previous:1,838K): This metric tracks ongoing unemployment claims, providing a broader view of labor market health.
• 8:30 AM ET - Philly Fed Employment (Previous:6.0): This component of the Philadelphia Fed survey specifically measures employment conditions in the manufacturing sector.
• 4:00 PM ET - TIC Net Long-Term Transactions (Previous:179.8B): This report measures foreign investment flows into U.S. securities, indicating international confidence in the U.S. economy.
• 5:30 PM ET - Fed’s Balance Sheet (Previous:6,539B): This weekly report details the Federal Reserve’s assets and liabilities, offering insights into monetary policy implementation.
• 5:30 PM ET - Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve Banks (Previous:2.974T): This figure shows the amount of money that depository institutions maintain at regional Federal Reserve Banks.
Other Economic Events to Watch
• 8:30 AM ET - Philly Fed Business Conditions (Previous:49.6): This forward-looking component measures expected business conditions over the next six months.
• 8:30 AM ET - Philly Fed New Orders (Previous:-8.6): This component tracks new orders received by manufacturers, a leading indicator of production.
• 8:30 AM ET - Philly Fed Prices Paid (Previous:56.10): This measures input price pressures faced by manufacturers, offering early signals of inflation trends.
• 8:30 AM ET - Philly Fed Capex Index (Previous:26.70): This tracks planned capital expenditures, indicating business investment intentions.
• 8:30 AM ET - Real Earnings (Previous:-0.1%): This measures wage growth adjusted for inflation, indicating consumers’ purchasing power.
• 8:30 AM ET - Core CPI Index (Previous:330.54): The absolute index level for core consumer prices.
• 8:30 AM ET - CPI Index, s.a (Previous:324.37): The seasonally adjusted consumer price index.
• 8:30 AM ET - CPI Index, n.s.a. (Previous:324.80): The non-seasonally adjusted consumer price index.
• 8:30 AM ET - CPI, n.s.a (Previous:0.25%): The non-seasonally adjusted monthly change in consumer prices.
• 8:30 AM ET - Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg. (Previous:216.75K): The four-week moving average of initial jobless claims, which smooths weekly volatility.
• 11:00 AM ET - Cleveland CPI (Previous:0.2%): The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland’s alternative measure of consumer inflation.
• 11:30 AM ET - Natural Gas Storage (Previous:-177B): This weekly report shows changes in natural gas inventories, affecting energy markets.
• 12:00 PM ET - KC Fed Manufacturing Index (Previous:18): This survey measures manufacturing activity in the Kansas City Federal Reserve district.
• 12:00 PM ET - KC Fed Composite Index (Previous:8): This broader index captures overall economic conditions in the Kansas City Fed region.
• 12:30 PM ET - 4-Week Bill Auction (Previous:3.610%): Treasury auction results for short-term government debt.
• 12:30 PM ET - 8-Week Bill Auction (Previous:3.610%): Treasury auction results for short-term government debt.
• 5:00 PM ET - Foreign Buying, T-bonds (Previous:25.50B): This measures foreign purchases of U.S. Treasury bonds.
• 5:00 PM ET - Overall Net Capital Flow (Previous:190.10B): This comprehensive measure tracks international capital flows into and out of the U.S.
• 5:00 PM ET - TIC Net Long-Term Transactions including Swaps (Previous:179.80B): This expanded measure of capital flows includes swap transactions.
For further information and the latest updates, please refer to our Economic Calendar, here
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