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Japan Tankan Small Manufacturing Outlook Index (Q4)A:--
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Japan Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Outlook Index (Q4)A:--
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Japan Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook Index (Q4)A:--
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Japan Tankan Small Manufacturing Diffusion Index (Q4)A:--
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Japan Tankan Large Manufacturing Diffusion Index (Q4)A:--
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Japan Tankan Large-Enterprise Capital Expenditure YoY (Q4)A:--
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U.K. Rightmove House Price Index YoY (Dec)A:--
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China, Mainland Industrial Output YoY (YTD) (Nov)A:--
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China, Mainland Urban Area Unemployment Rate (Nov)A:--
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Saudi Arabia CPI YoY (Nov)A:--
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Euro Zone Industrial Output YoY (Oct)A:--
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Euro Zone Industrial Output MoM (Oct)A:--
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Canada Existing Home Sales MoM (Nov)A:--
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Canada National Economic Confidence IndexA:--
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Canada New Housing Starts (Nov)A:--
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U.S. NY Fed Manufacturing Employment Index (Dec)A:--
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Canada Manufacturing Unfilled Orders MoM (Oct)A:--
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U.S. NY Fed Manufacturing Prices Received Index (Dec)A:--
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U.S. NY Fed Manufacturing New Orders Index (Dec)A:--
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Canada Manufacturing New Orders MoM (Oct)A:--
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Canada Trimmed CPI YoY (SA) (Nov)A:--
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Canada Manufacturing Inventory MoM (Oct)A:--
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Federal Reserve Board Governor Milan delivered a speech
U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index (Dec)--
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Australia Composite PMI Prelim (Dec)--
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Australia Services PMI Prelim (Dec)--
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Australia Manufacturing PMI Prelim (Dec)--
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Japan Manufacturing PMI Prelim (SA) (Dec)--
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U.K. 3-Month ILO Employment Change (Oct)--
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U.K. Unemployment Claimant Count (Nov)--
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France Services PMI Prelim (Dec)--
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France Composite PMI Prelim (SA) (Dec)--
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France Manufacturing PMI Prelim (Dec)--
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Germany Services PMI Prelim (SA) (Dec)--
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Germany Manufacturing PMI Prelim (SA) (Dec)--
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Germany Composite PMI Prelim (SA) (Dec)--
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Euro Zone Composite PMI Prelim (SA) (Dec)--
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Euro Zone Manufacturing PMI Prelim (SA) (Dec)--
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U.K. Services PMI Prelim (Dec)--
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U.K. Manufacturing PMI Prelim (Dec)--
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U.K. Composite PMI Prelim (Dec)--
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Euro Zone ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Dec)--
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Germany ZEW Current Conditions Index (Dec)--
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Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Dec)--
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Euro Zone Trade Balance (Not SA) (Oct)--
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Euro Zone ZEW Current Conditions Index (Dec)--
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U.S. Retail Sales MoM (Excl. Automobile) (SA) (Oct)--
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GOLD - COMMODITY EXCHANGE INC.
FUTURES ONLY POSITIONS AS OF 08/12/25 |
--------------------------------------------------------------| NONREPORTABLE
NON-COMMERCIAL | COMMERCIAL | TOTAL | POSITIONS
--------------------------|-----------------|-----------------|-----------------
LONG | SHORT |SPREADS | LONG | SHORT | LONG | SHORT | LONG | SHORT
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(CONTRACTS OF 100 TROY OUNCES) OPEN INTEREST: 446,152
COMMITMENTS
288,115 58,630 40,954 63,427 326,492 392,496 426,076 53,656 20,076
CHANGES FROM 08/05/25 (CHANGE IN OPEN INTEREST: -3,495)
-4,079 3,486 10,173 -10,648 -17,729 -4,554 -4,070 1,059 575
PERCENT OF OPEN INTEREST FOR EACH CATEGORY OF TRADERS
64.6 13.1 9.2 14.2 73.2 88.0 95.5 12.0 4.5
NUMBER OF TRADERS IN EACH CATEGORY (TOTAL TRADERS: 318)
198 50 70 47 57 270 154
Write to Valena Henderson at csstat@dowjones.com
NAT GAS NYME - NEW YORK MERCANTILE EXCHANGE
FUTURES ONLY POSITIONS AS OF 08/12/25 |
--------------------------------------------------------------| NONREPORTABLE
NON-COMMERCIAL | COMMERCIAL | TOTAL | POSITIONS
--------------------------|-----------------|-----------------|-----------------
LONG | SHORT |SPREADS | LONG | SHORT | LONG | SHORT | LONG | SHORT
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(Contracts of 10,000 MMBTU'S) OPEN INTEREST: 1,618,091
COMMITMENTS
291,045 388,091 759,118 505,413 428,199 1555576 1575408 62,515 42,683
CHANGES FROM 08/05/25 (CHANGE IN OPEN INTEREST: 10,564)
17,941 21,222 -7,008 -8,752 -10,383 2,181 3,831 8,383 6,733
PERCENT OF OPEN INTEREST FOR EACH CATEGORY OF TRADERS
18.0 24.0 46.9 31.2 26.5 96.1 97.4 3.9 2.6
NUMBER OF TRADERS IN EACH CATEGORY (TOTAL TRADERS: 352)
124 124 174 81 72 315 278
HENRY HUB LAST DAY FIN - NEW YORK MERCANTILE EXCHANGE
FUTURES ONLY POSITIONS AS OF 08/12/25 |
--------------------------------------------------------------| NONREPORTABLE
NON-COMMERCIAL | COMMERCIAL | TOTAL | POSITIONS
--------------------------|-----------------|-----------------|-----------------
LONG | SHORT |SPREADS | LONG | SHORT | LONG | SHORT | LONG | SHORT
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(Contracts of 10,000 MMBTU'S) OPEN INTEREST: 401,872
COMMITMENTS
119,451 76,111 73,447 189,383 243,670 382,281 393,228 19,591 8,644
CHANGES FROM 08/05/25 (CHANGE IN OPEN INTEREST: 3,742)
1,102 3,913 -294 2,255 214 3,063 3,833 679 -91
PERCENT OF OPEN INTEREST FOR EACH CATEGORY OF TRADERS
29.7 18.9 18.3 47.1 60.6 95.1 97.8 4.9 2.2
NUMBER OF TRADERS IN EACH CATEGORY (TOTAL TRADERS: 91)
22 14 31 52 39 89 71
HENRY HUB PENULTIMATE FIN - NEW YORK MERCANTILE EXCHANGE
FUTURES ONLY POSITIONS AS OF 08/12/25 |
--------------------------------------------------------------| NONREPORTABLE
NON-COMMERCIAL | COMMERCIAL | TOTAL | POSITIONS
--------------------------|-----------------|-----------------|-----------------
LONG | SHORT |SPREADS | LONG | SHORT | LONG | SHORT | LONG | SHORT
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(Contracts of 10,000 MMBTU'S) OPEN INTEREST: 265,267
COMMITMENTS
38,036 82,862 46,070 173,083 129,497 257,189 258,429 8,078 6,838
CHANGES FROM 08/05/25 (CHANGE IN OPEN INTEREST: 3,072)
-6,497 653 5,522 5,009 -4,150 4,034 2,025 -962 1,047
PERCENT OF OPEN INTEREST FOR EACH CATEGORY OF TRADERS
14.3 31.2 17.4 65.2 48.8 97.0 97.4 3.0 2.6
NUMBER OF TRADERS IN EACH CATEGORY (TOTAL TRADERS: 80)
24 25 39 28 24 71 69
HENRY HUB - NEW YORK MERCANTILE EXCHANGE
FUTURES ONLY POSITIONS AS OF 08/12/25 |
--------------------------------------------------------------| NONREPORTABLE
NON-COMMERCIAL | COMMERCIAL | TOTAL | POSITIONS
--------------------------|-----------------|-----------------|-----------------
LONG | SHORT |SPREADS | LONG | SHORT | LONG | SHORT | LONG | SHORT
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(Contracts of 2,500 MMBTU'S) OPEN INTEREST: 347,712
COMMITMENTS
216,444 23,135 1,899 112,260 310,814 330,603 335,848 17,109 11,864
CHANGES FROM 08/05/25 (CHANGE IN OPEN INTEREST: 2,383)
246 365 -59 -828 2,077 -641 2,383 3,024 0
PERCENT OF OPEN INTEREST FOR EACH CATEGORY OF TRADERS
62.2 6.7 0.5 32.3 89.4 95.1 96.6 4.9 3.4
NUMBER OF TRADERS IN EACH CATEGORY (TOTAL TRADERS: 34)
5 4 3 21 22 27 28
HENRY HUB PENULTIMATE NAT GAS - NEW YORK MERCANTILE EXCHANGE
FUTURES ONLY POSITIONS AS OF 08/12/25 |
--------------------------------------------------------------| NONREPORTABLE
NON-COMMERCIAL | COMMERCIAL | TOTAL | POSITIONS
--------------------------|-----------------|-----------------|-----------------
LONG | SHORT |SPREADS | LONG | SHORT | LONG | SHORT | LONG | SHORT
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(Contracts of 2,500 MMBTU'S) OPEN INTEREST: 174,889
COMMITMENTS
42,511 59,362 21,441 97,411 85,110 161,363 165,913 13,526 8,976
CHANGES FROM 08/05/25 (CHANGE IN OPEN INTEREST: 4,735)
878 156 2,896 975 2,139 4,749 5,191 -14 -456
PERCENT OF OPEN INTEREST FOR EACH CATEGORY OF TRADERS
24.3 33.9 12.3 55.7 48.7 92.3 94.9 7.7 5.1
NUMBER OF TRADERS IN EACH CATEGORY (TOTAL TRADERS: 54)
14 13 20 25 22 51 43
Write to Valena Henderson at csstat@dowjones.com
Cotton futures were trading around 66 cents per pound, after the USDA trimmed its estimates for domestic ending stocks and production.
USDA forecasted showed 2025/26 ending stocks at 3.6 million bales, down 1 million from last month, and production cut to 13.2 million bales, below the previous forecast. The USDA's weekly export sales report on Thursday showed exports of 142,600 running bales were primarily to Vietnam, Pakistan, Turkey, Mexico and Bangladesh.
The report also showed net sales of upland cotton totaling 242,000 RB for 2025/2026.
Additionally, oil prices declined as traders awaited talks between US President Donald Trump and Russian leader Vladimir Putin.
Lower oil prices make cotton-substitute polyester cheaper for producers.
Front Month ICE Brent Crude for Oct. delivery lost 74 cents per barrel, or 1.11% to $65.85 this week
All prices are calculated based on the settlement price of the current front month contract.
Source: Dow Jones Market Data
U.S. natural gas futures settle higher with short-sellers taking profits after yesterday's bounce off support, but little change in the weather outlook. National demand is likely to be strong for the next four days, while the five to 15-day outlook sees some cooling in the Great Lakes and Northeast, NatGasWeather.com says in a note. "A little hotter trends would help the bullish case," the forecaster says, adding that weekend forecasts, "could decide if $3 is again in play on Sep'25 contracts to start next week." Gas for September delivery settles up 2.6% at $2.916/mmBtu, but is down 2.5% on the week. (anthony.harrup@wsj.com)
Crude futures return most of the previous day's gains as traders remain cautious ahead of the meeting between Presidents Trump and Putin about ending the Russia-Ukraine war. "Crude continues trading in a defensive pattern," BOK Financial's Dennis Kissler says in a note. Most traders view the meeting as preliminary, he says, "with no real results coming forth today which means Russian petroleum exports will continue." While a cease-fire announcement would be a near-term negative for oil, the possibility of Trump threatening more tariff pressure against buyers of Russian oil in the event of a stalemate "is keeping a nervous trade to crude." WTI settles down 1.8% at $62.80 a barrel for a 1.7% loss on the week. Brent falls 1.5% to $65.85 a barrel, down 1.1% on the week. (anthony.harrup@wsj.com)
Brent crude oil futures fell 1.5% to settle at $65.8 per barrel on Friday, booking a 0.5% decline for the week, as traders awaited the outcome of talks between US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, with hopes for a possible ceasefire in Ukraine affecting market sentiment.
Expectations of a ceasefire could lead to increased Russian oil production, though easing sanctions would require Congressional approval, making a quick resolution unlikely.
Weaker economic data from China added pressure, with factory output growth hitting an eight-month low and retail sales expanding at the slowest pace since December, despite higher refinery throughput.
Chinese oil product exports also rose, suggesting lower domestic fuel demand.
Growing oil supplies from OPEC+ and the possibility of higher US interest rates contributed to bearish sentiment.
Overall, forecasts point to a market surplus through mid-2026, keeping downward pressure on prices.
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