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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6831.99
6831.99
6831.99
6878.28
6827.18
-38.41
-0.56%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
47654.66
47654.66
47654.66
47971.51
47611.93
-300.32
-0.63%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23474.38
23474.38
23474.38
23698.93
23455.05
-103.74
-0.44%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
99.000
99.080
99.000
99.160
98.730
+0.050
+ 0.05%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16394
1.16401
1.16394
1.16717
1.16162
-0.00032
-0.03%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33254
1.33263
1.33254
1.33462
1.33053
-0.00058
-0.04%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4185.50
4185.84
4185.50
4218.85
4175.92
-12.41
-0.30%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
58.583
58.613
58.583
60.084
58.495
-1.226
-2.05%
--

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U.S. Senate Democratic Member And Antitrust Activist Warren Stated That Paramount Skydance's Hostile Takeover Offer Triggered A "Level 5 Antitrust Alert."

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: He Will Travel To Italy On Tuesday

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Am Best: US Incurred Asbestos Losses Rise Again In 2024 To $1.5 Billion

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: Ukraine Lacks $800 Million For USA Weapons Purchase Programme This Year

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Zimbabwe's President Removes Winston Chitando As Mines Minister, Replaces Him With Polite Kambamura

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          Bitcoin Price Soars: Unveiling The Astounding $116,000 Surge

          Olivia Brooks

          Cryptocurrency

          Summary:

          BitcoinWorld Bitcoin Price Soars: Unveiling the Astounding $116,000 Surge The cryptocurrency world is buzzing with excitement as the Bitcoin price has once again captured global attention.

          The cryptocurrency world is buzzing with excitement as the Bitcoin price has once again captured global attention. According to recent market monitoring, BTC has made a significant move, surging past the impressive $116,000 mark. This remarkable ascent is certainly turning heads across financial sectors, signaling a period of renewed investor confidence and market dynamism.

          What’s Driving This Bitcoin Price Rally?

          Understanding the forces behind such a rapid increase in the Bitcoin price is crucial for any market observer. Several factors often contribute to these significant movements, reflecting a complex interplay of market dynamics and investor sentiment. Let’s explore some key drivers that likely fueled this latest surge:

          ●Increased Institutional Adoption: More large financial institutions are showing concrete interest or actively investing in Bitcoin. This lends significant credibility and brings substantial capital.
          ●Growing Retail Investor Confidence: As Bitcoin gains more mainstream acceptance, more individual investors feel comfortable entering the market, broadening the investor base.
          ●Macroeconomic Factors: Global economic uncertainties, such as inflation concerns, can push investors towards decentralized assets like Bitcoin as a potential hedge.
          ●Supply Dynamics: The long-term effects of past Bitcoin halving events continue to influence its supply. Reduced new supply, coupled with rising demand, supports price appreciation.
          ●Technological Advancements: Continuous improvements within the Bitcoin network and broader crypto infrastructure enhance its utility and appeal, making it more accessible.

          Why Does $116,000 Matter for Bitcoin Price?

          Reaching the $116,000 threshold for the Bitcoin price is more than just a number; it represents a significant psychological and technical milestone. Such levels often indicate strong buying pressure and a break past previous resistance points, which can attract further investment. Historically, breaking key price barriers signals robust market health and can precede further upward momentum. This specific level suggests a powerful validation of Bitcoin’s current market trajectory.

          How Does This Bitcoin Price Impact the Wider Market?

          A substantial jump in the Bitcoin price typically sends ripples across the entire cryptocurrency ecosystem. Bitcoin, being the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, often acts as a bellwether for the broader market. When BTC performs strongly, altcoins often follow suit, experiencing their own rallies. Conversely, a Bitcoin downturn can lead to widespread declines. This current surge creates a broadly positive sentiment, potentially drawing new capital and enthusiasm into the crypto space as a whole.

          Navigating the Current Bitcoin Price Landscape

          For investors and enthusiasts, navigating a volatile market, especially during a significant Bitcoin price rally, requires a thoughtful and informed approach. While the excitement is palpable, understanding the inherent risks remains paramount. Here are some actionable insights to consider:

          ●Stay Informed: Continuously monitor market news and economic indicators. Reliable sources like Bitcoin World provide timely updates.
          ●Practice Risk Management: Never invest more than you can afford to lose. Diversifying your portfolio can help mitigate potential losses.
          ●Maintain a Long-Term Perspective: Bitcoin’s history shows periods of significant volatility followed by recovery. A long-term view helps weather short-term fluctuations.
          ●Prioritize Security: Always secure your digital assets. Use strong passwords, 2FA, and reputable exchanges for storage.

          As of this report, the Bitcoin price is actively trading at $116,053.99 on the Binance USDT market. This figure represents a remarkable milestone, highlighting strong buying pressure and sustained market interest. Observers are closely watching to see if this momentum can be maintained or if a period of consolidation will follow this impressive ascent.

          The astounding surge of the Bitcoin price above $116,000 is a testament to the cryptocurrency’s enduring appeal and growing influence in the global financial landscape. While the path ahead may present its own set of challenges and opportunities, this latest rally underscores Bitcoin’s potential as a transformative asset. Staying informed and approaching the market with a clear, strategic mindset will be key for all participants in this exciting journey.

          Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

          Q1: What does the Bitcoin price reaching $116,000 mean?A: This milestone indicates strong buying pressure and a significant psychological barrier being broken. It suggests robust market health and can often precede further upward momentum as it attracts more investor interest.

          Q2: What factors are contributing to the current Bitcoin price increase?A: Key factors include increased institutional adoption, growing retail investor confidence, macroeconomic uncertainties pushing investors towards decentralized assets, Bitcoin’s inherent supply dynamics (like halving effects), and ongoing technological advancements in the crypto space.

          Q3: Is it safe to invest in Bitcoin when the price is so high?A: Investing in Bitcoin always carries risks due to its volatility, regardless of the price point. While high prices indicate strong demand, potential corrections can occur. It’s crucial to practice risk management, invest only what you can afford to lose, and conduct thorough research.

          Q4: How does Bitcoin’s price impact other cryptocurrencies?A: As the largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin often acts as a market leader. When the Bitcoin price rises significantly, it typically creates positive sentiment across the entire crypto market, often leading to rallies in altcoins. Conversely, a Bitcoin downturn can cause broader market declines.

          Q5: Where can I monitor the current Bitcoin price?A: You can monitor the current Bitcoin price on various reputable cryptocurrency exchanges like Binance, Coinbase, or Kraken, as well as on crypto market monitoring websites and financial news platforms that track real-time data.

          If you found this analysis on the astounding Bitcoin price surge insightful, consider sharing it with your friends and fellow crypto enthusiasts on social media! Your shares help us spread valuable market insights.

          To learn more about the latest Bitcoin price trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price action.

          This post Bitcoin Price Soars: Unveiling the Astounding $116,000 Surge first appeared on BitcoinWorld and is written by Editorial Team

          Source: CryptoSlate

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          China’s $11 Trillion Stock Market Is a Headache for Both Xi and Trump

          Adam

          Stocks

          Economic

          At the heart of why consumers in China save so much and spend so little, and why Xi Jinping and Donald Trump will struggle to change that behavior even if they want to, lies the country’s stock market.
          Even after a recent rally, Chinese indexes have only just returned to levels seen in the aftermath of a dramatic bubble burst a decade ago. Instead of incentivizing consumers to spend, poor equity returns have nudged them toward saving. A $10,000 investment in the S&P 500 (^GSPC) Index a decade ago would now have more than tripled in value, while the same amount in China’s CSI 300 (000300.SS) benchmark would’ve added just around $3,000.
          Part of the reason, long-term China watchers say, is structural. Created 35 years ago as a way for state-owned enterprises to channel household savings into building roads, ports and factories, exchanges have lacked a strong focus on delivering returns to investors. That skew has spawned a host of problems from an oversupply of shares to questionable post-listing practices, which continue to weigh on the $11 trillion market.
          The country’s leaders are under pressure to fix this. President Xi is counting on domestic spending to reach the 5% economic growth goal, especially as a tariff war with the US heats up over the massive trade imbalance. At the same time, Beijing has reasons to keep prioritizing the market’s role as a source of capital: the country needs vast funding to nurture companies that underpin its tech ambitions — even if their profitability remains questionable.
          “China’s capital market has long been a paradise for financiers and a hell for investors, although the new securities chief has made some improvements,” Liu Jipeng, a securities veteran who teaches at China University of Political Science and Law, said in an interview. “Regulators and exchanges are always consciously or unconsciously tilting toward the financing side of the business.”
          China’s $11 Trillion Stock Market Is a Headache for Both Xi and Trump_1
          The limits of China’s stock rally have again been evident this year. The CSI 300 has risen less than 7% despite a burst of optimism over AI, trailing benchmarks in the US and Europe. The underperformance — along with factors including an uncertain economic outlook — helps explain China’s extraordinarily high savings rate, which stands at 35% of disposable income.
          Chen Long, who works in the asset management industry, has taken to social media platform Xiaohongshu to warn people of the risks of chasing the recent rally.
          “Many ordinary people come in thinking they could make money, but the majority of them end up poorer,” Chen said in an interview, adding that he has been investing since 2014. “State-owned companies primarily answer to the government rather than shareholders, while many private entrepreneurs have little regard for small investors.”
          Over the past year, China’s top leadership has shown greater awareness of the stock market’s importance as a vehicle for wealth creation. That’s especially the case with an ongoing property slump and a fragmented social safety net, which exacerbates a sense of insecurity.
          The Communist Party’s Politburo pledged to “stabilize housing and stock markets” in a December meeting — a rare expression of support for equities at the high-level gathering. The body also called for “increasing the attractiveness and inclusiveness of domestic capital markets” in July.
          There is no quick fix to boosting household confidence “except for a stock market rebound,” said Hao Hong, chief investment officer at Lotus Asset Management Ltd. “This is a topic that we economists have been discussing in the closed door meetings in Beijing.’’
          China’s $11 Trillion Stock Market Is a Headache for Both Xi and Trump_2
          In some ways, the market’s malaise has been decades in the making.
          “The exchanges are motivated to fulfill the government’s call for increasing companies’ financing,” said Lian Ping, chairman of the China Chief Economist Forum, a think tank that advises the government. “But when it comes to protecting investors’ interests, there are few who are motivated to do it.”
          An explosive growth in new listings made China the world’s biggest IPO market in 2022. Yet insufficient safeguards for shareholders and lax oversight of IPO frauds have led to share price crashes and delistings — what retail investors refer to as “stepping on a land mine.”
          Take Beijing Zuojiang Technology, which listed in 2019. The company said in a 2023 statement that its product was modeled after Nvidia’s BlueField-2 DPU. The company warned in January the following year that it was at risk of being delisted, citing an investigation for disclosure violations. It was subsequently removed from the Shenzhen bourse.
          The China Securities Regulatory Commission didn’t immediately reply to a fax seeking comment.
          Recent years have seen greater efforts to screen poor-quality IPOs and crack down on financial fraud. There’s also a push to reduce additional stock issuances by listed companies and share sales by major stakeholders, while encouraging more corporate profit to be passed on to investors.
          There has been visible progress. Initial public offerings shrank to nearly a third of 2023 levels last year. Shanghai and Shenzhen-listed companies handed out a combined 2.4 trillion yuan ($334 billion) in cash dividends for 2024, up 9% from the previous year, according to state media.
          “The regulations and overall requirements after IPO have become stricter, in terms of reliability, transparency, or information disclosure,” said Ding Wenjie, investment strategist at China Asset Management Co.
          China’s $11 Trillion Stock Market Is a Headache for Both Xi and Trump_3
          Reforms, however, have fallen short of transforming the market into one that prioritizes investor returns.
          Even with the rise in share buybacks, CSI 300 companies spent only 0.2% of their market value on repurchasing shares in 2024, far less than the nearly 2% spent by S&P 500 firms, according to calculations by Bloomberg.
          The recent policy push to attract more tech listings is also a worrying sign for some investors. Regulators are resuming the listing of unprofitable companies on the STAR board, dubbed China’s Nasdaq, while allowing them for the first time for the Shenzhen-based ChiNext board — which is earmarked for growth enterprises. IPOs so far this year have increased by nearly 30% from the same period in 2024.
          That’s an inevitable move to secure capital for firms that are vital to China’s battle against the US for supremacy in AI, semiconductor and robotics, but also signals that authorities may again be putting funding needs ahead of investor protection. Fast-tracking more firms to list without tackling the core problems of corporate credibility will “just add volume without restoring investor trust,’’ said Hebe Chen, an analyst at Vantage Markets in Melbourne.
          Stock exchange officials have been actively reaching out to investment banks and encouraging companies to file for IPOs, according to people familiar with the matter. Some high-quality tech applicants could get access to so-called "green channels" for a faster review and approval process, the people said.
          “The entire regulatory environments are still not up to the task of delivering the best out of those companies,” said Dong Chen, chief Asia strategist at Pictet Wealth Management. It requires a more comprehensive improvement of the institutional environment “to provide the right incentives’’ for companies to deliver values to their shareholders, he said.

          Source: Bloomberg

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Traders hope the Ukraine war ends soon. Experts say there’s no ‘quick fix’

          Adam

          Economic

          Russia-Ukraine Conflict

          Global markets were on tenterhooks Monday as momentum to end the war in Ukraine appeared to be ramping up, with European leaders heading to Washington for more talks with U.S. President Donald Trump on ending the war in Ukraine.
          European markets traded mixed ahead of the summit later today at the White House, which follows Trump’s high-profile meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska on Friday, while U.S. stock futures had moved lower. Meanwhile, Asia-Pacific indices overnight traded mostly higher in anticipation of the talks.
          Traders will be hoping that an end to the Russia-Ukraine war — a conflict which began in 2022 and which has shaken the global economy, disrupting trade and supply chains, and creating geopolitical chasms between major economies in the West and East — could be nearer now than at any other time.
          But those in the know say fledgling talks between stakeholders Russia, Ukraine, Europe and the U.S. are just the beginning of what could be a long and thorny path to a ceasefire — as Trump’s inconclusive talks with Putin on Friday proved — let alone peace.
          That would be in stark contrast to Trump’s well-documented love of a quick deal, and should be a wake-up call for global market optimism, experts say.
          “Peace agreements take a very, very long time to achieve,” James Bindenagel, visiting fellow at the German Marshall Fund and former U.S. ambassador to Germany, told CNBC Monday.
          “And what Putin has said is that he wants peace talks so he can continue the war, knowing that it won’t come to a peace agreement for a very long time. That is simply not acceptable,” he said.
          “You cannot negotiate on a peace agreement for five years, ten years, and let the Russians continue their war against the Ukrainians.”

          Under pressure

          European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, NATO chief Mark Rutte, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, French President Emmanuel Macron and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer are among the European leaders traveling to Washington for talks on Monday.
          They’re accompanying Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to discuss Ukraine’s future and possible conditions for a peace deal, including land swaps (reportedly proposed by Putin) and security guarantees — all seen as crucial by Europe, if there is to be a ceasefire and peace. Trump has ruled out the possibility of Ukraine regaining control of Crimea, which Russia invaded in 2014, and joining NATO.
          Zelenskyy is likely to come under pressure to enter a deal. In a post on Truth Social, Trump said the Ukrainian president could “end the war with Russia almost immediately, if he wants to, or he can continue to fight.”
          The meeting follows Trump’s summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin last Friday, but the talks concluded without a ceasefire. It’s been widely reported since then that Putin told Trump that he would agree to one, if Russia was handed Ukraine’s eastern Donbas region.
          The view from Ukraine is not optimistic, considering that Putin had already rejected the offer of a ceasefire that could form the basis of peace negotiations. “To achieve a big peace deal is much more difficult,” Oleksiy Goncharenko, a Ukrainian lawmaker, told CNBC on Monday.
          “It’s a difficult question with big details and it will take a lot of time,” he told CNBC’s “Europe Early Edition.”

          No ‘quick fix’

          European defense stocks were in focus Monday, with traders betting on a positive outlook for the sector whatever the outcome of talks as European leaders have pledged to increase defense spending.
          On Monday, Germany’s Rheinmetall was up 2.8%, while Hensoldt and Renk were also around 4% higher, respectively. Italian firm Leonardo was up 2.1% in early deals while London-listed BAE Systems also traded 2.3% higher and Babcock 3.4% higher.
          “This is the beginning of a long negotiation,” Olivia Allison, senior advisor at PRISM Strategic Intelligence, told CNBC Monday. “Anyone looking for a quick fix will be disappointed,” she noted.
          “Regardless of the outcome ... there will be an emphasis on defense, on protecting critical national infrastructure, and I think the markets should also take that into account,” she noted.
          “A peace deal, which I think will be a long process, is not an end to the relationship between Russia and Europe.”

          Source: cnbc

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
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          Hungary Expresses Outrage After Ukraine Strikes Key Oil Pipeline To EU, Forcing Halt

          Thomas

          Economic

          Commodity

          Crude oil flows from Russia to Hungary and Slovakia via the Druzhba pipeline suffered a forced halt on Monday, officials from both countries confirmed, after a Ukrainian drone strike crippled a vital transformer station.

          Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto stated Monday "this latest strike against our energy security is outrageous and unacceptable" - and informed his government and the public that Russian technicians are working to restore an "essential" transformer station which was targeted.

          Szijjarto further wrote in a post on X that "this latest strike against our energy security is outrageous and unacceptable."

          Hungary continues to rely heavily on Russian oil, even after most European nations have imposed sanctions and sought alternative sources.

          Hungary's Russian energy supply is primarily delivered through the Druzhba pipeline, which passes through Belarus and Ukraine before reaching Hungary and Slovakia.

          Ukrainian Deputy Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha responded sarcastically and mockingly, expressing that Hungary should direct any grievances to Moscow rather than Kiev.

          The Viktor Orban government has long clashed with Ukrainian officials, as well as some of Kiev's most hawkish supporters in the West and Baltic states. Hungary has remained a thorn in the EU's side on the Russia issue.

          Orban had during a spring 2022 interview, near the start of the war, bluntly made clear during an interview with a public national broadcaster that a total Russian oil ban it would be like "dropping a nuclear bomb on the Hungarian economy".

          The outspoken Hungarian leader had described at the time that Hungary "would need four to five years to revamp its energy system and become independent from Russian oil."

          As Euronews has also noted, "while other EU states can bring additional crude barrels through their ports, Hungary, a landlocked country, lacks that alternative path."

          Renewed diplomatic tit-for-tat outrage and frustration being expressed and ongoing...

          Slovakia has meanwhile also confirmed the Monday stoppage of oil flow via the Druzhba pipeline but said it had no information about the cause.

          Previously, on August 13, Ukraine’s military claimed to have hit the Uniecha oil pumping station in Russia’s Bryansk region with drones, also resulting in brief shutdown.

          Source: Zero Hedge

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          PBOC Signals No Urgency For Rate Cuts Despite Poor Economic News

          Samantha Luan

          Economic

          Forex

          Political

          China’s central bank indicated it’s holding back from aggressively easing monetary policy with moves such as interest-rate cuts, even though the economy just recorded its worst month so far this year.The People’s Bank of China pledged to “thoroughly” enact its “moderately loose” monetary policy while highlighting targeted support to the economy. The remarks in a quarterly report published late Friday followed shortly after disappointing statistics offered evidence of weakening domestic demand.

          Together with a message painting an improved outlook for inflation, the PBOC is signalling it’s likely to put off using broad easing tools like cuts to interest rates or the reserve requirement ratio for later this year when the economy risks a more significant slowdown, according to analysts at global banks including Citigroup Inc. The RRR determines the amount of cash lenders must set aside in reserves.“Its emphasis on executing existing policies and targeted easing signaled limited appetite for broad-based monetary easing,” Goldman Sachs Group Inc economists including Chen Xinquan wrote in a report.

          China’s economy stumbled in July, as a campaign to curb overcapacity at home added to the sting of higher tariffs. Weaker stimulus for infrastructure and consumption was also a key culprit behind the slowdown, revealing the extent to which private demand remains frail.But after posting a 5.3% year-on-year gain in gross domestic product in the first half of 2025, China can probably tolerate slower growth in the second half and still deliver on the official target of around 5%.

          “Structural policies could be a more important venue for the PBOC in the next few months compared with broad-based rate or RRR cuts,” Citigroup economists including Yu Xiangrong wrote in a report Sunday.The economy faces a number of challenges including increasing trade barriers and insufficient domestic demand, but its foundation is solid and its resilience is strong, the PBOC said in the report.When it comes to deflation, a problem that’s haunted China for more than two years, the PBOC highlighted that the core consumer price index, which excludes volatile food and energy items, has improved in recent months.

          The government’s crackdown on “disorderly” low-price competition, along with a policy pivot to boosting consumption, will have a positive impact on inflation, the PBOC said.Economists generally anticipate the PBOC will deliver another rate cut of 10 to 20 basis points by the end of this year, as well as a 50-basis point RRR reduction.Some analysts also expect the government to roll out additional fiscal stimulus if the economy weakens later this year. Citi forecasts a 500 billion yuan (US$70 billion or RM295.6 billion) quasi-fiscal injection to support demand.

          In addition, the PBOC pledged to prevent funds from idly circulating within the financial system, indicating concern over financial stability and arbitrage. That’s another sign “the PBOC is in no rush for broad-based easing,” according to a report Saturday from Goldman Sachs.The PBOC also revealed that it’s set up a macro-prudential and financial stability committee in January, heeding top officials’ call to strengthen its mandate.The central bank expanded its reach in helping stabilise the property and stock markets in recent years, having facilitated a quasi-stabilisation fund for equity purchases earlier this year.

          Source: Theedgemarkets

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
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          US Dollar: Key Levels to Watch This Week as Jackson Hole Looms

          Adam

          Forex

          Global money markets are closely watching Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium this week. Recently, expectations about the Fed’s monetary policy have changed quickly. The data from July made it less likely for significant interest rate cuts, and expectations for the September meeting have become more focused.
          If Powell speaks cautiously, markets think the US dollar might strengthen against other major currencies. This is particularly true because the market still expects significant rate cuts, and careful messaging could boost the US dollar Index.

          How Can the Fed Move on the Inflation-Employment Dilemma?

          The US economy has been sending mixed signals lately. On one hand, strong retail sales show that consumer spending is robust. On the other hand, rising import prices suggest that tariffs are pushing costs higher. This situation keeps the risk of inflation alive, as these costs could soon affect retail prices. Meanwhile, the job market has weakened significantly. The unemployment rate’s three-month average rose to 4.2%, and job growth over the same period slowed to 35,000.
          Last year, when faced with a similar situation, Powell indicated in his Jackson Hole speech that a rate cut was coming. However, the current situation is more complex. Inflation data has sharply increased, with the overall rate at 3.5% and the core rate at 3.7%. This makes it hard for the Fed to make quick decisions.
          Therefore, Powell might not be as optimistic about rate cuts this year. Instead, he is likely to take a cautious and flexible approach, highlighting that they are closely monitoring both employment and inflation trends.

          Trump-Putin Meeting and the Possibility of Peace

          Geopolitical events also play a key role in influencing the direction of the US dollar. Last week, a meeting between US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin raised hopes that the Ukraine crisis could be heading towards a new phase.
          Putin’s agreement to allow the US and Europe to offer Ukraine security guarantees similar to NATO’s Article 5 suggests that progress might be possible. However, unresolved issues concerning Russia’s demands over Donbas and Crimea remain significant hurdles.
          For the markets, this situation can be interpreted in two ways: If a ceasefire becomes more likely in the short term, the reduced risk could decrease demand for the US dollar. On the other hand, if negotiations stall or break down, the US dollar index (DXY) might rise as investors seek safe havens. Consequently, every update from the peace talks will have a direct impact on the US dollar’s trajectory.

          Market Pricing and Expectations

          In the interest rate markets, the chance of a 50 basis point cut in September, once as high as 60%, is no longer being considered. Expectations have instead dropped to below 25 basis points, around 20 basis points. This reflects a general belief that the Fed won’t make any drastic moves.
          Investors are keen to see how Powell will address these expectations. If his speech highlights the seriousness of inflation and warns against making quick decisions, the US dollar index might strengthen. Conversely, if Powell delivers a more optimistic message focusing on weak employment, we can expect the US dollar index (DXY) to decline.
          US Dollar Technical Outlook
          US Dollar: Key Levels to Watch This Week as Jackson Hole Looms_1
          The US dollar index began the week just below 98, a crucial level in the pullback phase since it hit 100. The 98 mark acts as a midpoint in the stabilization phase following the slowdown of the main downward trend. Currently, there’s also focus on the short-term support trend around 97.85.
          If the index closes below this support level on a daily basis, it could drop toward its main support at 96.50. Conversely, if events occur that boost demand for the US dollar, we might see the index rise to around 99.50.
          Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium could trigger a breakout from this narrow range. In the short term, if Powell takes a cautious stance, the US dollar index could approach 100. However, if he signals significant rate cuts, the index might drop below 97.
          In summary, three key factors will influence the US dollar in global markets this week: the Fed’s interest rate policy, peace talks involving the US, Russia, and Ukraine, and the inflation-employment dilemma highlighted by US economic data. Powell’s upcoming speech will address these crucial factors at a pivotal moment. The Fed’s guidance will not only cause short-term market movements but will also affect expectations for rate cuts throughout the year.
          In the near term, the US dollar is expected to move between 97 and 99 before Jackson Hole. If Powell takes a cautious approach, the US dollar might strengthen and approach the 100 mark, potentially putting pressure on emerging market currencies.
          On the other hand, if Powell highlights employment concerns and suggests possible rate cuts, the US dollar could dip below 97. This could lead to a rise in gold prices and riskier assets.
          Additionally, if the Fed takes its time in cutting interest rates, the US dollar may gradually strengthen over the rest of the year. However, if a lasting ceasefire is achieved in Ukraine, it could reduce safe-haven demand, limiting this strengthening trend.

          Source: investing

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Three things Europe wants as leaders prepare to meet Trump

          Adam

          Economic

          Three goals are topping the agenda as several European leaders join Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to meet U.S. leader Donald Trump in Washington D.C.
          Friday’s Alaska summit raised concerns in Europe that Trump might have softened his stance toward potential sanctions on Russia, and is now pushing for a permanent peace deal in Ukraine instead of an initial ceasefire — an approach more aligned with Moscow’s position.
          EU officials still recall Zelenskyy’s incendiary appearance in the Oval office in February, when Trump and Vice President JD Vance criticized the Ukrainian leader in front of TV cameras for not being thankful enough for U.S. support throughout the war.
          This time around, EU leaders are traveling to the United States on Monday looking to bring Washington on the side of Ukraine. The European cohort includes heads of state that are close to Trump, such as Italian Prime Minister Georgia Meloni and Finnish President Alexander Stubb.
          “The objective is mainly to support Zelenskyy,” a senior EU diplomat, who did not want to be named due to the sensitivity of the topic, told CNBC on Sunday. “The idea is to make sure [Trump] has the same objectives as Europe.”
          The same diplomat outlined: “Our main objectives are: security guarantees, stop the killing and go for a trilateral meeting.”

          Security guarantees

          Facing a scenario that features the end of the war but no NATO membership for Kyiv, Ukraine has insisted on security reassurances that decrease the likelihood of further attacks and invasions of its territory.
          According to U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, Putin agreed to allow Europe and the U.S. to provide such post-war security guarantees to Ukraine, which could be described as protections similar to Article 5 in the NATO alliance — a measure that states that an attack against one member is an attack on all.
          An EU official, who follows these geopolitical topics but did not want to be named due to the sensitivity of the issue, told CNBC that “NATO article-5 like security guarantees for Ukraine are great, but unclear what they will entail in practice.”
          Speaking to CNBC’s Europe Early Edition on Monday, former U.S. diplomat James Bindenagel said these security guarantees would allow Western — but not NATO — forces to be present in Ukraine, which “would have the ability to fight back to any violations of a ceasefire.”

          Stop the killing

          Putin has reportedly called for Ukraine’s withdrawal from the Donetsk and Luhansk regions in the east of the country and added that Moscow could freeze the front lines in the regions of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia in the south.
          However, the promise to end the war in exchange for territorial concessions is a long-standing no-go for Kyiv, with Zelenskyy saying last week that such a surrender would be a “springboard” for a future new Russian offensive.
          “As long as the bloodshed in Ukraine continues, Europe will maintain diplomatic and, in particular, economic pressure on Russia,” European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said in a Sunday statement.
          She added the EU will “continue to strengthen sanctions,” and is advancing preparations for a 19th package of measures to put forward in early September.

          Trump, Putin and Zelenskyy?

          The other objective that Europe wants to meet on Monday is securing White House support for a meeting that features Trump and Putin, but also brings Zelenskyy to the negotiating table.
          “These are challenging times; only Ukraine can choose its own destiny,” von der Leyen said on Sunday.
          Trump has spoken about a potential summit featuring himself, Russian and Ukrainian leadership, but he has not mentioned that prospect of such gathering since the Alaska summit.

          Source: cnbc

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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