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Network throughput and payment volume are two crucial areas where XRP continues to outperform the wider market. The XRP Ledger is still steadily operating above the $1 billion-per-day threshold in both payments and successful transactions, even though price action has moved deeper into a declining channel and threatened a retest of the $2.00 psychological zone. 

XRP's network is healthy

As a result, XRP is among the very few networks that sustain a billion-scale daily operational load, which is a crucial fundamental anchor that investors should not ignore. The on-chain data simultaneously displays two things. Payment volume spikes continue to be enormous; the most recent increase in value reached about 946 million XRP per day.  Chart by TradingView">

This keeps XRP well above the billion-range average that has been formed throughout November, even though it is less than the 2.2 billion mega-spike earlier in the month. Recent readings of successful transaction counts have exceeded 1.8 million per day, a level that has historically been associated with increased utility-driven activity rather than speculative noise. 

XRP's suppressed performance

For price, however, the chart presents an alternative picture. Every attempt to break above the 21-day EMA and midchannel resistance is thwarted, and XRP is still trapped inside a distinct declining channel. The moving averages stack bearishly at 21, 50, 100 and 200, and there is little momentum and stagnant volume. Put simply, the market is still unconvinced, 000even though the fundamentals are getting better. 

The implications of this disconnect for investors are complex. The chart remains pessimistic. When the channel's lower boundary is lost, XRP moves straight toward the $2.00-$1.90 range. When that zone is broken, it opens the door to $1.50 and ultimately $1.00. The fundamentals are still very positive. 

Sustained daily throughput of more than $1 billion in payments is not an insignificant accomplishment; it indicates scaled active ledger usage, which has historically preceded long-term recoveries. Fundamentals will not be immediately followed by price. XRP has a history of lagging market cycles and consolidating when utility metrics are rising.

EigenCloud will unlock about 36.82 million EIGEN tokens, which is 9.74% of all released coins, on January 1, 2026. This large release can add many new tokens to the market. If there are not enough buyers, the price may go down because there are more tokens to sell. Large unlocks often make traders worried about short-term price drops. However, if demand is strong or if the team has a plan to handle the unlock, the effect may be smaller. Traders should watch for higher price changes around this date. source

Kamino plans to unlock 229.17 million KMNO tokens, or 5.35% of its circulating supply, on December 30, 2025. This is a big token amount being added to the market and may lead to more selling pressure if holders decide to sell. Because unlocks bring more liquidity, prices can fall if demand does not grow equally. Traders should keep an eye on the market because unlocks like this can cause prices to go up and down quickly, especially if many holders sell at once. source

Treehouse is unlocking 11.25 million TREE tokens, or 5.45% of the released supply, on December 29, 2025. While this is less than some larger projects, it is still a big share of Treehouse’s coins. New tokens entering the market can lower the price if many people sell. However, if there is enough interest from new buyers, the impact may not be strong. Unlock events can sometimes bring surprises, so traders should be careful and watch the price closely around this time. source

According to an analytics report, XRP traded near $2.06 on Friday as social chatter around the token turned sharply negative after a two-month slide of about 30%.

Traders and data firms flagged a sudden rise in bearish messages, a shift from the more mixed views seen earlier this year. The mood has tightened around crypto, and XRP is not immune.

Crowd Mood Shifts To Fear

Based on reports from Santiment, its chart tracks XRP’s price against positive and negative comments and a combined sentiment line that aims to measure crowd feeling.

Recent readings pushed the balance into what Santiment calls the fear zone, where negative talk outweighs optimism. On this same model, Santiment pointed to Nov. 21 as a comparable moment.

Back then, XRP rallied more than 20% over the next three days before gains cooled. That past move is being used as a reference point by traders who watch social signals closely.