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Market News: Russian-linked Hackers Accessed The Email Accounts Of More Than 170 Ukrainian Prosecutors And Investigators, And The Attacks Also Targeted Romania, Greece, Bulgaria, And Serbia
Analyst: The Recent Pullback In Crude Oil Prices Indicates That The Market Has Shifted From A State Of Panic To One Of Caution
Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen: Still Believes The Fed Could Cut Interest Rates This Year
The Local Governor Said That Russian Drones Attacked Port Infrastructure In The Odessa Region Of Ukraine, Causing Damage To Warehouses
Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen: Trump's Move To Lower U.S. Interest Rates Is "Banana Republic"-Style
Australian Prime Minister Albanese: Brunei Is An Important Supplier Of Fuel And Fertilizer To Australia. We Are Working To Ensure The Smooth Flow Of Goods Between Our Two Countries. We Issued A Joint Statement With Brunei On Energy And Food Security To Ensure The Security Of These Supplies
U.S. Hotels Are Slashing Room Rates For This Summer's World Cup, As Hotel Executives Warn That Ticket Prices, Inflation Concerns, And Anti-U.S. Sentiment Are Prompting Fans To Scale Back Their Travel Plans
Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen Said That Federal Reserve Chair Nominee Kevin Warsh Lacks "credibility" In Advocating For Interest Rate Cuts
If The U.S. Navy's Blockade Cuts Off Iran's Oil Exports, Iran Will Have To Drastically Reduce Its Oil Production Within Two Weeks. Satellite Data Shows That The Country's Storage Tanks, Used To Store Crude Oil That Cannot Be Loaded Onto Tankers For Export, Are Currently More Than 51% Full
Minister Of Natural Resources Guan Zhi'ou Meets With Angola's Minister Of Mineral Resources, Petroleum And Natural Gas
According To An ABC News Reporter, Trump Was Unconcerned About Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Defeat And Expressed His Appreciation For Incoming Prime Minister Peter Magier
Japanese Chemical Company Asahi Kasei Said It Is Working To Expand Naphtha Supply Channels Due To Limited Oil Supply Caused By The War In The Middle East
[A New Address Sent 6.75 Million U To HyperLiquid And Opened A 4x Brent Crude Oil Short Position.] April 15th, According To Onchain Lens Monitoring, A Newly Created Address Deposited 6.75 Million USDC Into HyperLiquid, Opening A Long Position For BRENTOIL (Brent Crude Oil) With 4x Leverage. The Address Also Has A TWAP Order To Further Increase The Position In The Next 6 Hours
[Trump: US-Iran Deal Would Be More Beneficial For Reconstruction] April 15th - According To ABC News, US President Trump Stated That There Could Be Two Scenarios, But Reaching An Agreement Would Be More Beneficial For Recovery

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ECB Chief Economist Lane Speaks
BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
Philadelphia Fed President Paulson, Richmond Fed President Barkin, Boston Fed President Collins, and Fed Governor Barr participated in a fireside chat at the Fed Board's working forum.
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Bitcoin fell below $100,000. It is now approaching a Bitcoin death cross, a technical event where the 50-day SMA crosses below the 200-day SMA.
Historically, this pattern has often appeared near market bottoms. However, the macro environment and the market structure of 2025 are no longer the same as in previous cycles. This raises a critical question: Is this the actual bottom, or merely one step in a more extended capitulation phase?
Death Cross Incoming: Data, History, and Short-Term Outlook
Several analysts have been watching the approaching Bitcoin death cross. The 50-day SMA is expected to cross below the 200-day SMA within the next few days.
According to analyst Colin, the upcoming Bitcoin death cross is expected around mid-November, which means it is only 1–2 days away. Before it happens, Colin expects BTC to decline further, with altcoins potentially dropping even more. This aligns with BTC’s recent retracement below $100,000.
“The projected Bitcoin ‘Death Cross’ (50 day crossing below 200 day SMA) is a timing element for when the bottom might be in.” Colin commented.
Multiple observations also support the idea that BTC typically forms a bottom around such events, although timing may vary. Another analyst on X detailed the pattern’s occurrence over the past 7 years.
Between 2018 and April 2025, Bitcoin has experienced at least eight death cross events. Each time, BTC formed a local bottom within 5–9 days and rallied at least 45% from the lows. If we consider the recent dip below $100,000 as a local bottom, projections suggest BTC could rise to at least $145,000 afterward.
Supporting this view, analyst Ash Crypto noted that in the last three death crosses, Bitcoin bottomed within a week before rallying strongly to new all-time highs.
However, some analysts present a more cautious scenario. Another X user points out that while the Bitcoin death cross is indeed about to form, the average maximum loss following the cross is typically over 30% within 12 months. Historically, BTC takes an average of 141 days to reach a peak after a cross.
If the death cross occurs in mid-November with BTC hovering around $100,000, this model suggests a potential retracement toward the $70,000 region. A new upward cycle may then resume.
Future Scenarios: Quick Capitulation Followed by Recovery, or a Prolonged Downtrend?
If the Bitcoin death cross aligns with a final capitulation flush, history suggests a sharp rebound in the weeks that follow. Conversely, if macro conditions worsen, the death cross could instead signal a deeper correction, consistent with the historical average drawdown of roughly 30% within a year.
It is also essential to note that a death cross is primarily a timing indicator, not a guarantee of a bottom or a top. Traders should consider factors like trading volume, RSI/MACD divergences, on-chain activity, and stablecoin liquidity. These help assess the probability more accurately.
At the current moment, the higher-probability scenario is a short-term capitulation, followed by the formation of the Bitcoin death cross, and then a strong rebound. Still, short-term traders should manage risk carefully: set appropriate stop-loss levels and wait for recovery confirmation, such as a daily close above the SMA50 with rising volume, before allocating heavily.
The risk of loss in trading financial instruments such as stocks, FX, commodities, futures, bonds, ETFs and crypto can be substantial. You may sustain a total loss of the funds that you deposit with your broker. Therefore, you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.
No decision to invest should be made without thoroughly conducting due diligence by yourself or consulting with your financial advisors. Our web content might not suit you since we don't know your financial conditions and investment needs. Our financial information might have latency or contain inaccuracy, so you should be fully responsible for any of your trading and investment decisions. The company will not be responsible for your capital loss.
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