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What Happened?
A number of stocks jumped in the afternoon session after comments from a key Federal Reserve official boosted hopes for an interest rate cut. New York Federal Reserve President John Williams stated he sees “room for a further adjustment” in the near term, sparking a significant market rally. Following his remarks, the probability of the central bank cutting rates at its December meeting jumped from 39% to over 73%, according to the CME FedWatch tool. This positive sentiment provided relief to markets amid concerns over high valuations, particularly in AI-related stocks.
The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks.
Among others, the following stocks were impacted:
Zooming In On Origin Bancorp (OBK)
Origin Bancorp’s shares are not very volatile and have only had 5 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful, although it might not be something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was 29 days ago when the stock dropped 3.8% on the news that the company reported third-quarter financial results that showed a significant miss on profit expectations, even as revenue surpassed forecasts. The regional bank posted an adjusted loss per share of $0.59, starkly contrasting with analyst estimates of a $0.69 profit. On a positive note, the company's revenue for the quarter was strong, coming in at $109.8 million. This figure was up 21% year-on-year and beat Wall Street's consensus estimate by 7.6%. Despite the strong top-line performance, the substantial earnings miss appeared to be the primary concern for investors, overshadowing the revenue beat and leading to the stock's decline.
Origin Bancorp is up 6.3% since the beginning of the year, but at $35.39 per share, it is still trading 13.5% below its 52-week high of $40.93 from February 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Origin Bancorp’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $1,372.
Wrapping up Q3 earnings, we look at the numbers and key takeaways for the regional banks stocks, including Synovus Financial and its peers.
Regional banks, financial institutions operating within specific geographic areas, serve as intermediaries between local depositors and borrowers. They benefit from rising interest rates that improve net interest margins (the difference between loan yields and deposit costs), digital transformation reducing operational expenses, and local economic growth driving loan demand. However, these banks face headwinds from fintech competition, deposit outflows to higher-yielding alternatives, credit deterioration (increasing loan defaults) during economic slowdowns, and regulatory compliance costs. Recent concerns about regional bank stability following high-profile failures and significant commercial real estate exposure present additional challenges.
The 94 regional banks stocks we track reported a satisfactory Q3. As a group, revenues missed analysts’ consensus estimates by 1.1%.
While some regional banks stocks have fared somewhat better than others, they have collectively declined. On average, share prices are down 1.7% since the latest earnings results.
Tracing its roots back to 1888 when a worker accidentally dropped a textile mill payroll into the dust, prompting the need for better banking, Synovus Financial is a regional financial services company that provides commercial and consumer banking, wealth management, and specialized lending services across five southeastern states.
Synovus Financial reported revenues of $615.4 million, up 9% year on year. This print exceeded analysts’ expectations by 2%. Overall, it was a strong quarter for the company with an impressive beat of analysts’ revenue estimates and a narrow beat of analysts’ tangible book value per share estimates.
"Synovus delivered solid third-quarter results, driven by continued net interest margin expansion, strong non-interest revenue growth and favorable credit trends,” said Synovus Chairman, CEO and President Kevin Blair.
Unsurprisingly, the stock is down 2.2% since reporting and currently trades at $46.04.
Is now the time to buy Synovus Financial? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free for active Edge members.
Originally founded with a "high-tech, high-touch" branch-light banking strategy, Customers Bancorp is a bank holding company that provides commercial and consumer banking services through its Customers Bank subsidiary, with a focus on business lending and digital banking.
Customers Bancorp reported revenues of $232.1 million, up 38.5% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 7%. The business had a stunning quarter with an impressive beat of analysts’ net interest income estimates and a solid beat of analysts’ revenue estimates.
However, the results were likely priced into the stock as it’s traded sideways since reporting. Shares currently sit at $65.
Is now the time to buy Customers Bancorp? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free for active Edge members.
Operating behind the scenes of many popular fintech apps and prepaid cards you might use daily, The Bancorp is a bank holding company that specializes in providing banking services to fintech companies and offering specialty lending products.
The Bancorp reported revenues of $174.6 million, up 38.8% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 10%. It was a disappointing quarter as it posted a significant miss of analysts’ revenue estimates and a significant miss of analysts’ net interest income estimates.
As expected, the stock is down 23% since the results and currently trades at $59.45.
Read our full analysis of The Bancorp’s results here.
Founded in 1818 as one of America's oldest mutual banks before converting to a public company in 2020, Eastern Bankshares operates as a bank holding company providing commercial and retail banking services primarily in Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Rhode Island.
Eastern Bank reported revenues of $241.5 million, up 18.7% year on year. This print missed analysts’ expectations by 2%. Overall, it was a softer quarter as it also logged a significant miss of analysts’ net interest income estimates and a significant miss of analysts’ EPS estimates.
The stock is down 4.9% since reporting and currently trades at $17.47.
Read our full, actionable report on Eastern Bank here, it’s free for active Edge members.
Founded in 2000 with a focus on delivering big-bank capabilities with community bank personalization, Pinnacle Financial Partners is a Tennessee-based financial holding company that provides banking, investment, trust, mortgage, and insurance services to businesses and individuals.
Pinnacle Financial Partners reported revenues of $544.8 million, up 13.8% year on year. This result beat analysts’ expectations by 4.3%. It was a very strong quarter as it also recorded an impressive beat of analysts’ revenue estimates and a solid beat of analysts’ tangible book value per share estimates.
The stock is down 2.5% since reporting and currently trades at $87.87.
Read our full, actionable report on Pinnacle Financial Partners here, it’s free for active Edge members.
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