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Auto parts and accessories retailer AutoZone will be reporting earnings this Tuesday morning. Here’s what investors should know.
AutoZone met analysts’ revenue expectations last quarter, reporting revenues of $6.24 billion, flat year on year. It was a slower quarter for the company, with a miss of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and a miss of analysts’ gross margin estimates.
Is AutoZone a buy or sell going into earnings? Read our full analysis here, it’s free for active Edge members.
This quarter, analysts are expecting AutoZone’s revenue to grow 8.6% year on year to $4.65 billion, improving from the 2.1% increase it recorded in the same quarter last year. Adjusted earnings are expected to come in at $32.69 per share.
Analysts covering the company have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days, suggesting they anticipate the business to stay the course heading into earnings. AutoZone has missed Wall Street’s revenue estimates five times over the last two years.
With AutoZone being the first among its peers to report earnings this season, we don’t have anywhere else to look to get a hint at how this quarter will unravel for automotive and marine retail stocks. However, there has been positive investor sentiment in the segment, with share prices up 8.9% on average over the last month. AutoZone is up 2.9% during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $4,576 (compared to the current share price of $3,826).
StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.
By Dan Lam
Much like that final drumstick you probably shouldn't have eaten, equities spent last week digesting their gains. All three major indexes finished up between 0.3% and 0.9% on the heels of their best Thanksgiving-week performances in more than a decade.
Stocks were supported by reports that Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council, has emerged as the front-runner to replace Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair. Hassett is seen as a dove and has called for more interest-rate cuts.
Wall Street anticipates a quarter-point rate cut at this week's main event, the Federal Open Market Committee's monetary-policy meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday, culminating with Powell's press conference at 2:30 p.m. Eastern time. But Powell is expected to deliver a hawkish cut, meaning he won't signal any rate cuts early next year. The current Fed chair has stressed that there are risks to both sides of the Fed's dual mandate — stable prices and maximum employment — and that monetary policy should reflect that risk.
A few megacap companies will report results on an otherwise quiet earnings calendar. Adobe and Oracle will report earnings after the market close on Wednesday, and Broadcom and Costco Wholesale follow suit on Thursday.
Monday 12/8
Toll Brothers reports fourth-quarter fiscal-2025 results.
Tuesday 12/9
AeroVironment, AutoZone, Campbell's, Casey's General Stores, Ferguson Enterprises, and GameStop release earnings.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for both September and October. At the end of August, there were 7.22 million job openings and 1.02 unemployed workers for every open position, the highest ratio since April 2021.
The National Federation of Independent Business releases its Small Business Optimism Index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 98.2 reading, matching the October figure, and in line with the 52-year average of 98.
Wednesday 12/10
Adobe, Chewy, Nordson, Oracle, and Synopsys hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.
The FOMC announces its monetary policy decision. The FOMC is widely expected to cut the federal-funds rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 3.5%-3.75%. The central bank also releases its quarterly Summary of Economic Projections. In the September SEP, the median projection for the federal-funds rate by year-end 2026 was 3.4%, which would imply only one more quarter-point cut, assuming the FOMC cuts at this meeting. Traders are pricing in a roughly 3% federal-funds rate by December 2026, a much more aggressive easing cycle than currently forecast by the central bank. This may be due to the fact that dovish Kevin Hassett, currently director of the National Economic Council, has emerged as the favorite to replace Powell as Fed chair, whose term ends in May.
Thursday 12/11
Broadcom, Ciena, Costco Wholesale, and Lululemon Athletica release earnings.
Write to editors@barrons.com
This content was created by Barron's, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. Barron's is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.
What Happened?
Shares of auto parts and accessories retailer Advance Auto Parts jumped 2.5% in the morning session after positive sentiment in the auto parts sector was sparked by an analyst's favorable view on competitor AutoZone (AZO). Baird initiated coverage on AutoZone with an Outperform rating. The research firm described AutoZone as an "exceptional business" with strong sales and impressive profitability. Baird also noted that improved parts availability helped drive faster growth in the commercial segment. This positive assessment of a major industry player suggested a healthy market environment, which appeared to lift the shares of peers like Advance Auto Parts.
After the initial pop the shares cooled down to $54.13, up 3.1% from previous close.
Is now the time to buy Advance Auto Parts? Access our full analysis report here.
What Is The Market Telling Us
Advance Auto Parts’s shares are extremely volatile and have had 34 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was 14 days ago when the stock gained 7.5% on the news that comments from a key Federal Reserve official boosted investor optimism for a potential interest rate cut. New York Federal Reserve President John Williams, a voting member of the rate-setting committee, suggested he sees room for "further policy easing," which sent a strong signal to the markets. Following his remarks, the probability of a December rate cut, as measured by the CME FedWatch Tool, surged from 39% to 71%. Lower interest rates can stimulate the economy by making borrowing cheaper for both consumers and businesses, which often translates to increased consumer spending. This prospect is outweighing recent reports of lower consumer confidence, as investors bet that a more accommodative Fed policy will support retailers through the holiday season.
Advance Auto Parts is up 12.4% since the beginning of the year, but at $54.13 per share, it is still trading 18.6% below its 52-week high of $66.50 from July 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Advance Auto Parts’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $352.23.
(12:17 GMT) AutoZone Price Target Announced at $4500.00/Share by Baird
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