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Elabe Exit Poll Shows Leftist Candidate Payan Slightly Ahead Of Rn's Allisio In First Round Of Marseille Elections In France
Downing Street - Starmer And Carney Discussed Situation In Middle East, Including Impact Of Continued Closure Of Strait Of Hormuz On International Shipping
Downing Street - UK Prime Minister Starmer Spoke To Prime Minister Of Canada Mark Carney This Evening
Downing Street - UK Prime Minister Starmer Spoke To President Of United States Donald Trump This Evening
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian Discusses With French Counterpart Macron Regional Developments In Phone Call - Iran's Tasnim News Agency
India's Foreign Minister Jaishankar Tells Ft There Was No “Blanket Arrangement” With Iran For Indian-Flagged Ships And That “Every Ship Movement Is An Individual Happening”
Ambassador Enayati Says Iran Not Responsible For Attacks On Saudi Arabia's Ras Tanura And Shaybah Oil Facilities
Iranian Ambassador To Saudi Arabia Tells Reuters: Iran And Gulf Arab States Require A "Serious Review" Of Relations

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Despite a rough monthly open, the US Dollar is currently trading within a key technical range, a factor that holds FX Markets firmly in balance despite some individual breakouts seen in pairs like NZD/USD or GBP/USD.
Despite a rough monthly open, the US Dollar is currently trading within a key technical range, a factor that holds FX Markets firmly in balance despite some individual breakouts seen in pairs like NZD/USD or GBP/USD.
As is often the case ahead of pivotal events like the FOMC, the Dollar may test relative extremes, but it rarely poses definitive breakout situations.
The best example of this was ahead of the September Fed Meeting, where the Dollar rushed to make new lows but was inevitably constrained by the bounds of its previous yearly support zones.
The catalyst for the current downside came from NY Fed President John Williams' speech on November 21, which fundamentally shook markets by reintroducing rate cut hopes.
His dovish comments took the 25 basis point cut pricing from 20% all the way to the current stable 87%. This rapid repricing triggered a swift selloff in the Dollar over the past two weeks of trading.

But, as mentioned in our recent in-depth analysis of the Greenback, the Dollar Index is still maintaining a broad range on the bigger picture, having tested its 200-period Moving Average (and range lows) and currently bouncing above 99.00.
The range highs on the Dollar Index is located at the 100.00 level.
Today, we will look at three key FX Majors and their intraday timeframes to see how the range in the Dollar Index affects their own currency pairs: EUR/USD, USD/CHF, and USD/CAD.

As mentioned in our November 25 post (On the US Dollar rejecting its range highs), EUR/USD is maintaining a wide Range between 1.15 to 1.17.
As often, the range gets confirmed with:
Currently rejecting its highs, the current setup is one of a sell with a potential stop at range extremes (Above 1.17).
Sellers are currently pushing below the 200-period Moving Average (1.16455), the rejection confirms with a 1H Close below.
Resistance levels
Support levels

The rangebound characteristics of USD/CAD are less obvious, but taking a step back, the North American pair has stopped trending since reaching its November and cycle highs.
Holding firmly between 1.39 and 1.40, the currency pair has been seesawing within the 1,000 pip range since the final days of November.
With traders not knowing what to do with the US-Canada deal (it seems like the Canadian government also doesn't know), rangebound conditions also make fundamental sense.
In the case of a break, watch for a daily close above or below to avoid getting trapped.
Note to traders that news on a trade-deal might move things in a flash.
Resistance Levels
Support Levels

USD/CHF is also stuck within two ranges – A large half-year range between 0.7850 to 0.8140 and another, smaller one but more active: 0.80 to 0.81
We will focus on the smaller timeframe consolidation, also 1,000 pip large.
Buyers are stepping in from the 0.80 Zone after bouncing on the 200-period Moving Average (1.79930).
The current candle is strong, with the ongoing rebound in the USD.
Check out reactions at the highs of the range.
Resistance levels
Support levels
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