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ECB Governing Council Member Villeroy: The European Central Bank Has Not Yet Observed Significant Spillover Effects From The Sharp Rise In Energy Costs
Russian Foreign Ministry: Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov Spoke By Phone With Rubio, Informing Him Of Russia's Decision To Launch Strikes Against Military-related Locations In Kyiv In Response To "terrorist Acts" In Ukraine
Russian President Vladimir Putin Signed A Law That Will Forgive The Debts Of Those Who Signed Contracts To Participate In “special Military Operations” Starting In May 2026
According To Iran's Tasnim News Agency, Citing Israel's Channel 12, US Special Envoy Witkov And Trump's Senior Advisor Kushner Are Traveling To Israel To Discuss A Possible US-Iran Cooperation Agreement. The Talks Will Focus On A Potential Agreement Between Washington And Tehran, And Will Also Continue Discussions On The Strait Of Hormuz And The Nuclear Issue
Ukrainian President Zelensky: We Will Continue To Communicate With The United States To Discuss How They Can Help Ukraine. We Need Results, Especially In The Diplomatic Sphere
Ukrainian President Zelensky: Discussions With The United States On Expanding The Production Of Missile Defense Systems Have Made Little Progress, And We Are Working Hard To Cooperate With Europe
Ukrainian President Zelensky: Europe Has Helped US With Defense, Especially With Financial Support, But We Need The Leadership Of The United States
International Oil Prices Fell Further In The Short Term, With Brent Crude Dropping More Than 7% To $93.58 Per Barrel, After Arab Media Reported That A Draft Agreement Between The US And Iran Had Been Reached
Both WTI And Brent Crude Oil Prices Continued To Decline, With Brent Crude Falling Below $94 Per Barrel, Down More Than 6% On The Day
Market News: The Draft Agreement Between The US And Iran Stipulates That The US Commits To Easing The Blockade On Iranian Ports; It Will Provide Specific Sanctions Waivers For Iranian Oil Exports; And It Will Consider Easing Sanctions On Iranian Oil In Stages, Depending On Iran's Implementation Of Its Commitments. The Draft Also Stipulates That Navigation Through The Strait Of Hormuz Must Be Restored Within 30 Days
Both WTI And Brent Crude Oil Prices Fell Slightly By $0.40 In The Short Term, While Spot Gold Prices Remained Relatively Stable
Market News: A Draft Agreement Between The US And Iran Allows For The Free Opening Of The Strait Of Hormuz And The Clearing Of Mines. The Draft Agreement Also Allows Iran To Sell And Export Oil. It Stipulates Continued Nuclear Negotiations To Reach A Long-term Consensus
The Central Bank Of Russia Has Filed A Second Lawsuit With The Court Of Justice Of The European Union Regarding The Issue Of Frozen Assets
Mexican Economy Minister Ebrard: Mexico Will Discuss Rules Of Origin For Automobiles With The United States
Mexican Economy Minister Ebrard: Mexico And The United States Will Hold Trade Talks In Mexico City From May 27 To 29
Fitch Ratings: North American Companies Face Credit Risks From War Spillovers, Tariffs, And Artificial Intelligence
Ukraine's Foreign Minister: Ukraine Will Respond Appropriately To Any Provocative Actions By Belarus

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Despite a rough monthly open, the US Dollar is currently trading within a key technical range, a factor that holds FX Markets firmly in balance despite some individual breakouts seen in pairs like NZD/USD or GBP/USD.
Despite a rough monthly open, the US Dollar is currently trading within a key technical range, a factor that holds FX Markets firmly in balance despite some individual breakouts seen in pairs like NZD/USD or GBP/USD.
As is often the case ahead of pivotal events like the FOMC, the Dollar may test relative extremes, but it rarely poses definitive breakout situations.
The best example of this was ahead of the September Fed Meeting, where the Dollar rushed to make new lows but was inevitably constrained by the bounds of its previous yearly support zones.
The catalyst for the current downside came from NY Fed President John Williams' speech on November 21, which fundamentally shook markets by reintroducing rate cut hopes.
His dovish comments took the 25 basis point cut pricing from 20% all the way to the current stable 87%. This rapid repricing triggered a swift selloff in the Dollar over the past two weeks of trading.

But, as mentioned in our recent in-depth analysis of the Greenback, the Dollar Index is still maintaining a broad range on the bigger picture, having tested its 200-period Moving Average (and range lows) and currently bouncing above 99.00.
The range highs on the Dollar Index is located at the 100.00 level.
Today, we will look at three key FX Majors and their intraday timeframes to see how the range in the Dollar Index affects their own currency pairs: EUR/USD, USD/CHF, and USD/CAD.

As mentioned in our November 25 post (On the US Dollar rejecting its range highs), EUR/USD is maintaining a wide Range between 1.15 to 1.17.
As often, the range gets confirmed with:
Currently rejecting its highs, the current setup is one of a sell with a potential stop at range extremes (Above 1.17).
Sellers are currently pushing below the 200-period Moving Average (1.16455), the rejection confirms with a 1H Close below.
Resistance levels
Support levels

The rangebound characteristics of USD/CAD are less obvious, but taking a step back, the North American pair has stopped trending since reaching its November and cycle highs.
Holding firmly between 1.39 and 1.40, the currency pair has been seesawing within the 1,000 pip range since the final days of November.
With traders not knowing what to do with the US-Canada deal (it seems like the Canadian government also doesn't know), rangebound conditions also make fundamental sense.
In the case of a break, watch for a daily close above or below to avoid getting trapped.
Note to traders that news on a trade-deal might move things in a flash.
Resistance Levels
Support Levels

USD/CHF is also stuck within two ranges – A large half-year range between 0.7850 to 0.8140 and another, smaller one but more active: 0.80 to 0.81
We will focus on the smaller timeframe consolidation, also 1,000 pip large.
Buyers are stepping in from the 0.80 Zone after bouncing on the 200-period Moving Average (1.79930).
The current candle is strong, with the ongoing rebound in the USD.
Check out reactions at the highs of the range.
Resistance levels
Support levels
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