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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6795.98
6795.98
6795.98
6810.45
6636.05
+55.96
+ 0.83%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
47740.79
47740.79
47740.79
47876.06
46615.52
+239.25
+ 0.50%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
22695.94
22695.94
22695.94
22741.03
22061.97
+308.27
+ 1.38%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
98.530
98.530
98.610
98.890
98.440
-0.180
-0.18%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16531
1.16531
1.16538
1.16632
1.16068
+0.00170
+ 0.15%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.34719
1.34719
1.34729
1.34830
1.34132
+0.00304
+ 0.23%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
5183.15
5183.15
5183.49
5187.00
5117.59
+44.63
+ 0.87%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
85.251
85.251
85.281
89.142
82.471
+2.111
+ 2.54%
--
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Hamza 
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SlowBear ⛅ 
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EuroTrader 
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Tankan Survey Data Reinforces Case for Rate Hike; Yen Consolidates in Weak Territory Awaits Central Bank Guidance
Summary:
The Bank of Japan signaled that obstacles to raising interest rates have been removed, with wage growth momentum remaining intact. The Tankan Survey has strengthened the Bank of Japan's rationale for raising rates.
EXPIRED
151.500
Entry Price
161.070
TP
148.600
SL
157.448 -0.195 -0.12%
--
Pips
EXPIRED
148.600
SL
156.687
Exit Price
151.500
Entry Price
161.070
TP
Fundamentals
During Tuesday's European session, the yen maintained its strength while the dollar weakened, keeping USDJPY persistently below the psychologically significant 155.00 level. Market expectations that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates this week have been a key factor driving the safe-haven currency's strong performance.
The Bank of Japan stated that further progress has been made on wages, a key factor that effectively solidified the rationale for this week's rate hike. A report indicated that wage growth momentum remains robust despite U.S. tariff hikes. A report released by the Bank of Japan on Monday stated: “Most reports from the head office and branches indicated that companies expect wage growth in fiscal year 2026 to be roughly the same as in fiscal year 2025, which saw rapid wage growth.”
Earlier this month, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that the central bank would “actively” gather wage growth data to make an appropriate decision on interest rate hikes at its meeting ending on Friday.
Additionally, the quarterly Tankan Survey released earlier showed that confidence among large Japanese manufacturers improved for the third consecutive quarter, reaching its highest level in four years. Confidence among non-manufacturing firms also remained near its highest level since the early 1990s. Japan's fourth-quarter Tankan Survey signaled broadly positive economic conditions, reinforcing market expectations that the Bank of Japan will continue advancing interest rate normalization.
However, the market has largely priced in this expectation. The direction of the USDJPY will once again hinge on the tone of Governor Kazuo Ueda. I anticipate he will express cautious optimism regarding further rate hikes. This should provide support for the yen.
Technical Analysis
The USDJPY is showing neutral intraday movement, with the downward correction from 157.88 continuing. On the downside, a break below 154.33 could lead to a test of the 55-day SMA (currently at 153.66), with potential for further declines.
On the upside, a break above 156.94 would trigger a retest of 157.88. A decisive breach of this resistance level could reignite the entire upward trend originating from the key structural resistance zone spanning 139.87 to 158.85. It is recommended to set the foundation.
Trading Recommendations
Trading Direction: Buy
Entry Price: 151.50
Target Price: 161.07
Stop Loss: 148.60
Valid Until: January 1, 2026 23:55:00
Support: 154.38, 153.64, 152.85
Resistance: 156.20, 156.96, 157.88
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