Ethereum Range-Bound at Highs; ETF Flows & ETH 2.0 in Focus

Summary:

Ethereum is currently trading around the $4,172 level, having entered a consolidation phase following a surge to $4,250 last week. While short-term profit-taking activity is pronounced, on-chain engagement and institutional positions remain robust. The medium-to-long-term uptrend remains unbroken.

SELL ETH-USDT

EXP

EXPIRED

4500.00

Entry Price

3399.00

4998.00

1901.42 +49.62 +2.68%

Pips

EXPIRED

3399.00

3485.77

Exit Price

4500.00

Entry Price

4998.00

Fundamentals

Ethereum has outperformed most major crypto assets recently, primarily driven by sustained inflows into U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs. According to CoinShares data, Ethereum products recorded approximately $280 million in net inflows last week, marking the third consecutive week of positive capital inflows. This trend indicates that institutional investors are gradually increasing their long-term allocation to ETH, reinforcing market recognition of its status as a foundational asset for decentralized finance (DeFi).

Separately, updates to the Ethereum Foundation's roadmap reveal that the "Pectra" upgrade, which will include the full rollout of account abstraction functionality to enhance user experience and developer scalability, is scheduled for early 2026. Despite the distant timeline, markets have already priced in this expectation, with sentiment that the upgrade will further strengthen the competitiveness of the ETH ecosystem.

On-chain metrics show active addresses holding above 450,000, a 15% rebound from September's low, while the staking ratio has climbed past 28% of total ETH supply—both signals that network participants are pricing in durable, long-run returns.

Technically, ETH is consolidating at the upper end of its range. Short-term volatility compression often resolves in an expansion move, yet the intermediate-term fundamental stack remains intact.

Structural demand drivers—spot-ETF inflows, the yield-bearing staking layer, and accelerating Layer-2 TVL—continue to vacuum float. Tactical traders can scale into long exposure below 4,000, sizing for a swing rather than a scalp.

The obvious near-term risk is a hawkish repricing of Fed policy or a broad crypto risk-off, either of which could weigh on ETH.

Even so, Ethereum's moat—deep liquidity, institutional onboarding rails and an expanding application layer—keeps the long-term expected return positively skewed.

Ethereum Range-Bound at Highs; ETF Flows & ETH 2.0 in Focus_1

Technical Analysis

From a daily chart perspective, Ethereum has been consolidating in a short-term range since breaking below the $4,000 threshold in mid-October.

Currently, the key resistance zone lies between $4,250 and $4,300. A convincing breakout above this range could unlock further upside potential, with the next target testing $4,450. Conversely, a drop below $4,100 would expose the price to near-term correction pressure, potentially retesting the support zone of $3,950–$4,000.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 60, indicating a temporary balance between bullish and bearish momentum. A narrowing of the Bollinger Bands suggests compressed volatility, with a directional breakout likely in the short term.

On the four-hour chart, the MA20 and MA50 remain in a bullish alignment. A concurrent pickup in trading volume would serve as a signal for the next upward thrust.

Given the crowded timeframes and the structural damage caused by the mid-October breakdown below $4,000, we anticipate that after testing the $4,450 zone, medium-to-short-term bulls will face another pullback.

Trading Recommendations

Trading Direction: Sell

Entry Price: 4500

Target Price: 3399

Stop Loss: 4998

Valid Until: November 11, 2025, 23:55:00

Support: 3972/3824/3675

Resistance: 4296/4450/4492

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