Bitcoin’s (BTC) Rare Signal Returns and History Points to 40% Surge

Bitcoin price today touched $116,181 before slipping back under $115K, showing heavy resistance at higher levels. Top Analyst Doctor Profit believes this quiet phase could be hiding bigger moves, with a possible test of $125K ahead. 

With the Fed’s rate cut decision just around the corner, traders now wonder, will Bitcoin break out or face another sharp drop?

Bitcoin Faces Strong Resistance at $116,500

After testing resistance near $116,500, but failed, showing that this level is a strong barrier. According to Doctor Profit, many retail traders bought between $117,000 and $122,000, which means a lot of them are still stuck in losses. 

Recent data from Coinglass shows $45 million in liquidations, with $34 million from longs and around $10 million from shorts

Despite stress in the market, panic selling hasn’t erupted yet. Doctor Profit explains that market makers understand this behavior, which is why they quietly sell in the $115,000–$125,000 range without making it too obvious.

$657M Longs at Risk if BTC Falls Below $114K

Looking ahead, the risk is clear. Meanwhile, Coinglass data shows Bitcoin saw $45 million liquidated, with $34 million from longs and $10 million from shorts. If BTC dips below $114,000, long liquidations could spike to $657 million. 

On the flip side, a move above $116,000 could trigger $210 million in short liquidations, making this range a critical battleground.

Whales Dumping, ETF Flows Cooling

Beyond retail pressure, the real story lies with whales. Holders of 1,000–10,000 BTC have sold over $13 billion worth of Bitcoin in the past 30 days, dumping around 116,000 coins. This is the biggest wave of selling since July 2022, and it adds heavy supply pressure to the market.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin ETF inflows, which earlier drove strong demand, have slowed significantly, averaging just 500 BTC per day. 

Even though September saw a one-day inflow of $642.4 million, the overall pace has weakened, making it harder for fresh capital to absorb whale selling.

What Next For Bitcoin?

Right now, Bitcoin traders are keeping a close eye on the $115K level. Doctor Profit suggests booking profits above this point and staying cautious in the $115K–$125K zone. He points out that a lot of liquidity sits lower, between $106K and $90K, which could drag prices down if selling pressure builds.

Technically, Bitcoin has just broken out of a downtrend that dominated late August. If buyers step up and push the price above $116,750 with strength, the next targets could be $122,200 and then $124,500. 

But if Bitcoin falls under $114,400, a drop toward $112,000 or even $108,250 becomes more likely.

FAQs

Bitcoin is trading in a tight range, consolidating after a recent rally. It is currently holding above $115K, with analysts watching for a decisive move.

Experts anticipate continued volatility. Price predictions for September range from a low of $114K to a potential high of $125K, influenced heavily by Fed decisions and market dynamics.

While a breakout above $116,750 could push the price towards $124,500, a significant amount of selling pressure and cooling ETF inflows could create a barrier to new highs.

The month of September is packed with key headlines and announcements that could drive the market sentiment in crypto. The busy lineup of crypto events, along with the Fed rate cut, could boost the overall confidence of investors. 

What are The Major Upcoming Events for Crypto?

• September 11: THORChain (native token announced that it is launching Rapid Swaps and Limit Swaps in the next couple of weeks. It is designed to improve trading efficiency and execution on the platform. 
• September 16: Falcon Finance community sale will run until September 19, 2025, to raise $4 million by selling $FF tokens. 
• September 16: $49.78 million worth of ARB tokens are scheduled to be unlocked. Arbitrum is set to release 92,650,000 tokens, constituting approximately 2.03% of the currently circulating supply.
• September 17: FED expected to cut rates by 25 bps this week. The market is expecting short-term volatility in cryptocurrency. It is also expected to drive the adoption rate in crypto by boosting liquidity. 
• September 18:  Mavryk Network, a Layer-1 blockchain focused on the tokenization of real-world assets (RWAs), will release its native token $MVRK this week. The token will be listed on the MEXC exchange, initially priced at $0.10. 
• September 19: : Season 2 airdrop claims begin in September and will last until October 19, 2025. 
• September 20: The Portal to Bitcoin Season 1 Kaito Campaign will end. It rewards people who create quality content and share insights on crypto projects within the Kaito platform. This season has an even bigger reward pool compared to the first one. 
• September 29 to 30: Sonic Summit 2025 kicks off, with potential big announcements. It is expected to bring together blockchain leaders, builders, and investors from Asia and beyond. The event will focus on Web3, blockchain technologies, and decentralized applications, featuring workshops, panel discussions, and a global hackathon. 

Other Major Crypto Events Without Specific Dates

According to a crypto expert, the DeFi Investor, Kaito InfoFi (native token is expected to release gKAITO, one of its biggest upgrades, soon. The new feature aims to improve user engagement, reward distribution, and the overall value proposition of the platform.

Meanwhile, Hyperliquid is expected to allow stablecoins as spot quote assets with 200k HYPE staking soon. This move could expand liquidity and attract more traders to the platform. It was announced in mid-September with no confirmed date for implementation. 

Alongside that, multiple crypto experts, including Bloomberg analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart, expected the first Dogecoin ETF to be launched this week. Lastly, Lombard Finance appears close to announcing its TGE date, as signs point to preparations for its official rollout.

FAQs

The Fed is expected to cut rates on September 17th, which could boost crypto market liquidity and investor confidence, often leading to short-term price volatility.

Arbitrum has a significant unlock of 92.65 million tokens on September 16th, which can influence the token’s price due to increased selling pressure.

Crypto markets show mixed signals as Bitcoin holds steady, altcoins react to token unlocks, and traders await Fed rate decisions.

Market timing depends on risk appetite. With key events and Fed cuts ahead, many expect short-term volatility before potential gains.

Bitcoin has shattered a 15-year record as recent data analysis reveals Bitcoin added more to its realized cap in the last 18 months ($625 billion) than in its first 15 years, when $435 billion were added.

In a recent tweet, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju highlighted a comparison of Bitcoin on-chain capital inflows. Between 2009 and 2024, a 15-year time frame, Bitcoin received capital inflows of $435 billion.

Meanwhile, in the last 18 months or 1.5 years, which spanned from 2024 to 2025, Bitcoin added $625 billion in capital inflows.

The CryptoQuant CEO posted a screenshot of Bitcoin's realized cap chart, an on-chain metric that measures the value of coins at the price they last transacted.

Bitcoin's realized cap, which values Bitcoin only when it moves, has surpassed $1 trillion, according to the chart.

Bitcoin price

The crypto market is largely trading in red early Monday, with Bitcoin once again failing to sustain above $116,000 as early adopters continued to sell. At press time, Bitcoin was down 0.78% in the last 24 hours to $114,988 after reaching an intraday high of $116,802 and extending its drop into the third day.

Traders anticipate the Federal Reserve moving forward with a rate cut later this week. Members of the interest-rate setting panel of the Federal Reserve are expected to meet for two days this week before revealing their decision on Sept. 17. The market is pricing in a 25-basis-point cut as well as a similar move in October and December.

Last week, data showed that the U.S. consumer price index increased to 2.9% on an annual basis in August, with the CPI recording its biggest monthly jump since January. Annual core inflation, which is more closely watched by Fed officials, increased to 3.1%.

Bitcoin price has recently regained momentum, with total market interest surpassing $116,000, signalling a potential shift in market dynamics. After underperforming traditional assets like gold and the S&P 500, BTC has turned the tables, fueled by growing institutional adoption, easing macroeconomic pressures, and renewed retail investor interest. This resurgence raises the question: Could Bitcoin’s bullish momentum propel it toward a new all-time high (ATH), making it a key asset to watch in the crypto market?

Investors Remain Cautious

Since our August 25 update, Bitcoin’s market dynamics have shown subtle changes, but the overall trend remains cautious. Distribution—when holders sell their coins—has softened slightly, signalling that some selling pressure is easing, but it has not reversed into strong buying. Most BTC cohorts, segmented by the time they acquired their coins, are still below the 0.5 threshold, indicating that holders are not aggressively accumulating.

Data from Glassnode suggests that no group has reached the 0.8 level, which would signify strong buying interest.

Crypto treasury firm Forward Industries said it purchased 6,822,000 Solana at an average price of $232, spending roughly $1.58 billion to begin building out its corporate balance sheet, according to a statement released Monday.

The Nasdaq-listed firm (FORD) said it acquired non-locked SOL through a mix of open-market and on-chain transactions. Forward added that all SOL bought to date has been staked, part of its plan to build what it calls the world’s largest Solana treasury company and grow SOL-per-share through active, onchain strategies rather than passive holding.

“This purchase is a significant milestone as we begin executing a differentiated Solana treasury strategy,” Board Chairman Kyle Samani said in the announcement. Today's acquisition marks the first deployment of Forward’s newly closed $1.65 billion PIPE financing led by Galaxy Digital, Jump Crypto, and Multicoin Capital.

The news was shared a day after Forward outlined how it will deploy capital across the Solana DeFi stack, from staking to liquidity provisioning and market making. After the disclosure, FORD shares fell over 5% in U.S. pre-open hours, Yahoo Finance data shows.

Forward’s SOL accumulation also extends the ongoing digital asset treasury trend flooding Wall Street. More than 150 firms have announced nearly $100 billion in planned crypto purchases in 2025, crypto advisory firm Architect Partners has reported.

Public companies have adopted Michael Saylor's capital playbook at Strategy, which offers convertibles and shares in exchange for cash. The funds are then spent on cryptocurrencies. These treasury plays have mainly focused on BTC, ETH, and SOL, but a few firms have also stacked altcoins like HYPE and BNB. According to The Block's data, SOL firms have amassed nearly 1% of Solana's supply. It's also the third-largest category among DATs.

Disclaimer: The Block is an independent media outlet that delivers news, research, and data. As of November 2023, Foresight Ventures is a majority investor of The Block. Foresight Ventures invests in other companies in the crypto space. Crypto exchange Bitget is an anchor LP for Foresight Ventures. The Block continues to operate independently to deliver objective, impactful, and timely information about the crypto industry. Here are our current financial disclosures.

© 2025 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

Crypto’s Big Five: Bitcoin Holds Strong, Doge Trips Over Its Own Tail

The past day in crypto hasn’t been short of drama. While European regulators are busy debating MiCA changes to EU crypto oversight and U.S. firms chase headlines with a Bitcoin IPO bonanza led by Figure and Gemini, the coins themselves kept doing what they do best — moving fast, surprising traders, and sometimes stumbling.

So let’s turn down the background noise for a moment and check what actually happened in the top five cryptos over the last 24 hours.

Bitcoin (BTC)

• Price: $114,834.50 (-0.71%)

• Volume: +94.03%

• Market Cap: $2.29T

• Open Interest: -1.27%

• Liquidations: Short $10.27M, Long $34.70M

Bitcoin barely budged on price but nearly doubled trading activity. That’s the digital equivalent of flexing without breaking a sweat — everyone’s watching, but nobody’s panicking.

Ethereum (ETH)

• Price: $4,526.39 (-2.20%)

• Volume: +41.36%

• Market Cap: $546.07B

• Open Interest: +1.63%

• Liquidations: Short $15.82M, Long $92.52M

ETH slipped more than Bitcoin, yet volumes and open interest climbed. Translation: people weren’t leaving the room, they were leaning harder into the trade — and a lot of them paid for it on the long side.

Solana (SOL)

• Price: $235.66 (-4.06%)

• Volume: +29.04%

• Market Cap: $128.17B

• Open Interest: -2.32%

• Liquidations: Short $4.77M, Long $28.18M

SOL had the sharpest drop, down over 4%. But instead of going quiet, volumes spiked — proving Solana still has a crowd, even if they’re catching falling knives.

XRP

• Price: $2.99 (-1.78%)

• Volume: +7.05%

• Market Cap: $178.51B

• Open Interest: -3.65%

• Liquidations: Short $1.28M, Long $14.21M

XRP played the role of the quiet guest — down a touch, volume barely higher, and open interest trimmed. Nothing spectacular, just a tidy move lower.

Dogecoin (DOGE)

• Price: $0.26375 (-7.45%)

• Volume: -17.56%

• Market Cap: $39.83B

• Open Interest: -9.55%

• Liquidations: Short $3.58M, Long $29.11M

And then there’s Doge. The meme coin lost nearly 7.5%, volumes dried up, leverage collapsed, and long traders got punished almost ten-to-one versus shorts. The dog had a rough day chasing its tail.

The 24-Hour Crypto Wrap

• BTC stayed steady, proving once again it’s still the anchor.

• ETH showed traders piling in despite the slip.

• SOL took the biggest hit but kept people engaged.

• XRP drifted lower without fuss.

• DOGE lost its bark, with longs wrecked.

In a week where regulators tweak rulebooks and IPOs bring in billions, the day-to-day moves of the biggest cryptos remind us the market’s heartbeat is as restless as ever.

For real-time context and curated updates, check the LiveBytes feed at the top right of investingLive.com or the investingLive.com Crypto section.

This article is for information only and is not financial advice. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.