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According To Data And Sources, The Caspian Pipeline Alliance's Oil Loading In July Fell 20% Behind Schedule, Down To 1.2 Million To 1.3 Million Barrels Per Day, Due To The Drone Attack
Spot Gold Surged 3.00% On The Day, Currently Trading At $4367.90 Per Ounce. Spot Silver Is Currently Up 5.5%
Weak US Non-farm Payroll Data Caused The Yield On 10-year UK Government Bonds To Fall To 4.898%
Following The Release Of The Non-farm Payroll Data, The Spread Between The Yields On 2-year Canadian And U.S. Government Bonds Narrowed By 9.3 Basis Points To Approximately 122 Basis Points
U.S. Employment Unexpectedly Shrank In July, Presenting A Policy Dilemma For The Federal Reserve
"Fed Mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos: In July, The U.S. Unemployment Rate Fell To 4.09% As Both The Number Of Job Seekers And The Number Of People Counted As Unemployed Declined; This Figure Brought The Rate To A Two-year Low. The Rate Stood At 4.44% In February And 4.54% In November Last Year
[Following Non-Farm Payroll Data Release, Expectations For A December Rate Hike Decline Significantly] On August 7th, Pricing In The US Interest Rate Futures Market Indicated That The Expected Rate Hike In December Would Be Only 28 Basis Points, Lower Than The 32 Basis Points Anticipated Before The Release Of The Non-farm Payroll Data. Furthermore, Weak July Non-farm Payroll Data Caused A Surge In US Treasury Prices
Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: Japan And The United States Have Been In Close Communication And Will Not Hesitate To Take Intervention Measures If Necessary
U.S. Interest-rate Futures Pricing Indicates That The Expected Rate Hike By December Is Just 28 Basis Points, Down From 32 Basis Points Prior To The Release Of The Nonfarm Payrolls Data
Following The Release Of The Non-farm Payroll Data, Non-US Currencies Generally Rose. The US Dollar Fell 80 Points Against The Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) To 157.72; The Euro Rose 20 Points Against The US Dollar (EUR/USD) To 1.1544; And The British Pound Rose About 20 Points Against The US Dollar (GBP/USD) To 1.3463
Japanese Finance Minister Sayuri Kamayama: She Has Reached An Agreement With U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent, Believing That The Foreign Exchange Market Is Being Influenced By Movements Driven By Non‑fundamental Factors
The Yield On German Two-year Government Bonds Reversed Its Earlier Gains After The Release Of US Non-farm Payroll Data, Falling 0.5 Basis Points To 2.73%
The Combined Revision For U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls In May And June Amounts To A Reduction Of 103,000 Jobs
Canada's Full-time Employment Increased By 38,600 In July, Compared To A Previous Increase Of 600
Canada's Unemployment Rate In July Was 6.4%, Compared To An Expected 6.5% And A Previous Reading Of 6.50%

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Richmond Federal Reserve President Barkin delivered a speech.
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Large Bitcoin holders have increased their positions to a four-month high of 1,384 wallets holding at least 1,000 BTC. At the same time, retail investors with 1 BTC or less dropped to an annual low of 977,420.
This divergence highlights a recurring pattern: experienced whales accumulate during downturns, while smaller holders exit in fear.
Whale Accumulation Accelerates During Market Correction
According to Glassnode data, wallets holding at least 1,000 BTC rose to 1,384 this week from 1,354 three weeks ago—a 2.2% increase. This count is the highest for large holder wallets in four months, suggesting renewed confidence among institutional and high-net-worth investors despite turbulence in the broader market.
Meanwhile, wallets containing 1 BTC or less declined to 977,420—down from 980,577 in late October. This marks the lowest level of smallholder participation in a year. It follows the typical pattern of less experienced investors capitulating during price corrections.
Bitcoin has endured its third-largest drawdown of the current cycle, dropping over 25% from its all-time high six weeks ago. Bitcoin opened on Wednesday near $92,600, and was traded in a choppy range between $92,200 and $92,800 throughout the morning session in Asia, displaying typical volatility as traders navigated between support and resistance.
Historical trends suggest that whale accumulation amid retail selling often precedes stabilization. Currently, just 7.6% of the short-term holder supply is in profit—a level commonly seen at cycle lows. In addition, the STH Realized Profit-Loss Ratio has dropped below 0.20, another metric that often aligns with market bottoms.
Capital Rotating within Crypto Markets
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index stays at 11 out of 100 for two days, reflecting deep fear across the market. Social media sentiment has become strongly negative. Traders share memes about returning to traditional jobs and express doubts about a quick recovery.
According to Coinglass’s Bitcoin Long/Short Ratio Chart, the overall trend shows persistent bearish pressure, with traders repeatedly positioning for price declines. However, sentiment occasionally swung back toward optimism before returning to predominantly negative expectations.
Some market observers see this extreme pessimism as a contrarian signal. Sentiment is compressed, leverage is lower in derivatives markets, and whale accumulation persists. According to Bitfinex’s on-chain analysis, selling exhaustion is apparent, and capital is rotating within crypto markets rather than leaving altogether.
Open Interest for BTC/USDT sits around 100K, showing stronger trader participation even as prices fall. This scenario—rising Open Interest and falling prices—usually signals bearish sentiment, possibly driven by aggressive shorting. However, the pace of sales and realized losses has begun to stabilize, suggesting a possible transition to consolidation.
Bob Diamond, the former Barclays CEO and now head of Atlas Merchant Capital, views the recent turmoil in global asset markets as a healthy correction—not the start of a full-blown bear market. Diamond points out that investors are still working out how to price risk assets amid rapid technological shifts.
As Bitcoin searches for a bottom in late 2025, the split between whale accumulation and retail selling forms a classic market structure. The coming weeks should reveal whether institutional confidence is enough to stabilize the market or if fear continues to rule trading.
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