Avalanche (AVAX) Hits 7-Month High After Key Resistance Breakout – Analysts Eyes $40 Next

XRP price gained pace for a move above the $3.00 resistance. The price is now consolidating gains and might start another increase above $3.080.

• XRP price is facing hurdles and struggling to clear the $3.080 resistance.
• The price is now trading above $3.00 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
• There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3.020 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The pair could continue to rise if it stays above the $2.950 zone.

XRP Price Eyes Upside Break

XRP price managed to stay above the $2.880 level and started a fresh increase, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price climbed above the $2.920 and $2.980 resistance levels.

The bulls even pumped the price above the $3.020 level. A high was formed at $3.0725 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline and the price tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2.9365 swing low to the $3.0725 high.

The price is now trading above $3.00 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3.020 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair.

If the bulls protect the $3.00 support, the price could attempt another increase. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $3.050 level. The first major resistance is near the $3.080 level. A clear move above the $3.080 resistance might send the price toward the $3.120 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $3.150 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $3.20.

Downside Correction?

If XRP fails to clear the $3.080 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $3.00 level. The next major support is near the $2.9880 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2.9365 swing low to the $3.0725 high.

If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.9880 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.950. The next major support sits near the $2.920 zone, below which the price could gain bearish momentum.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $3.020 and $3.00.

Major Resistance Levels – $3.080 and $3.120.

As Ethereum (ETH) trades in the mid $4,000 range, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) futures open interest (OI) for the digital asset continues to hit new highs. Against that backdrop, analysts are now predicting a new all-time high (ATH) for ETH later this year.

Ethereum New ATH By End Of 2025?

According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor PelinayPA, Ethereum’s CME futures OI is steadily moving towards new highs. The analyst brought attention to past data about Ethereum futures OI to predict its next move.

Back in 2021-2022, Ethereum futures OI remained relatively low, largely dominated by 1-2 month contracts. At the time, although ETH gained bullish momentum, institutional exposure to the cryptocurrency on CME was still limited.

In sharp contrast, during the 2022 bear market, a drop in the ETH price led to a steep decline in its OI. While the period was still dominated by short-term contracts, long-term contracts stayed low, indicating weak institutional confidence in ETH.

However, a trend change was observed during the 2023-2024 recovery as Ethereum OI started to rise again – specifically among 3-6 month contracts. Simultaneously, institutional demand grew alongside ETH’s price.

Fast-forward to 2025, Ethereum OI has surged to new highs. As ETH rallied to the $4,500 to $5,000 range, there was a noticeable growth in short-term contracts. This dynamic indicates strong institutional participation and demand for derivatives.

The CryptoQuant analyst explained the implications of two potential combinations of OI and contract concentration. First, high OI with concentrated short-term contracts can lead to increased volatility, potentially leading to sharp swings and liquidation cascades.

On the contrary, rising long-term OI in 3-6 month contracts indicates growing institutional confidence and potential for higher ETH prices in the long-term. That said, crowded leveraged positions could trigger rapid corrections in the short term. PelinayPA added:

Concluding, the analyst predicted that ETH could reach the $6,800 resistance level by the end of 2025. However, any deterioration in the global macroeconomic outlook could stall ETH’s momentum temporarily.

Case For A New ETH ATH

Besides the aforementioned prediction on the back of rising institutional interest in ETH, positive exchange data is also likely to benefit the cryptocurrency. For example, recent ETH outflows from Binance drove the supply ratio to a new low.

In addition, an increasing amount of ETH continues to be staked on the Ethereum network, strengthening the smart contract platform’s fundamentals and making it more robust. At press time, ETH trades at $4,409, down 0.7% in the past 24 hours.

Ethereum price started a fresh increase and climbed above $4,500. ETH is now consolidating and might aim for more gains if it clears $4,550.

• Ethereum is now eyeing an upside break above the $4,550 zone.
• The price is trading above $4,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
• There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $4,470 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
• The pair could start a fresh increase if it settles above $4,550 and $4,580.

Ethereum Price Eyes More Gains

Ethereum price started a recovery wave after it formed a base above the $4,320 zone, like Bitcoin. ETH price was able to climb above the $4,350 and $4,440 resistance levels.

The price even climbed above $4,500. A high was formed at $4,531 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor pullback, but the price stayed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $4,268 swing low to the $4,531 high.

Ethereum price is now trading above $4,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $4,470 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $4,530 level. The next key resistance is near the $4,550 level. The first major resistance is near the $4,580 level. A clear move above the $4,580 resistance might send the price toward the $4,650 resistance. An upside break above the $4,650 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $4,740 resistance zone or even $4,800 in the near term.

Another Drop In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $4,550 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $4,470 level and the trend line. The first major support sits near the $4,450 zone.

A clear move below the $4,450 support might push the price toward the $4,400 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $4,370 pivot level in the near term. The next key support sits at $4,270.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $4,450

Major Resistance Level – $4,550

Bitcoin price is showing positive signs above $114,500. BTC is now consolidating and might rise further if it clears the $116,200 resistance zone.

• Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $114,200 zone.
• The price is trading below $115,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
• There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $115,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
• The pair might start another increase if it clears the $116,200 zone.

Bitcoin Price Gains Traction

Bitcoin price started a fresh recovery wave from the $111,200 zone. BTC managed to climb above the $112,500 and $113,500 resistance levels.

The bulls were able to push the price above $114,000 and $115,000. The price traded as high as $116,298 and recently started a consolidation phase. There was a minor decline below $115,800, but the price is still above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $110,815 swing low to the $116,298 high.

Bitcoin is now trading above $114,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $115,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $116,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $116,200 level. The next resistance could be $116,800. A close above the $116,800 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $117,500 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $118,400 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $118,800.

Another Decline In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $116,200 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $115,000 level and the trend line zone. The first major support is near the $113,550 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $110,815 swing low to the $116,298 high.

The next support is now near the $113,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $112,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $110,500, below which BTC might decline sharply.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $115,000, followed by $113,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $116,000 and $116,200.

Crypto markets are “on the edge” of a broad altcoin breakout, with XRP, Dogecoin, and Cardano positioned to lead, according to technical strategist CryptoInsightUK. In a video analysis released today, the analyst argues that structural signals across major charts—supported by improving macro conditions—tilt the risk-reward toward a decisive upside move, provided US inflation data doesn’t deliver a negative surprise.

The setup begins with Bitcoin grinding higher into range highs while still sitting in what he calls “a position of potential reversal,” a juncture he links to today’s US CPI print after a softer-than-expected PPI reading. “If CPI comes in weak today, I think the markets will rip,” he said, framing inflation as the swing factor that could unlock risk appetite across crypto.

Cardano, Doge, XRP Ready For Lift-Off

He contends the strongest signals are emerging away from Bitcoin and Ethereum. On Ethereum, liquidity “still” sits below price around $4,100, with a pocket of resting orders above, leaving open the possibility of “a quick flush… to take that” before higher levels are attacked. “How much of a drop would we need to sweep this liquidity? Six percent,” he said, adding that the base of recent transactions “looks pretty good as a support,” even if a brief downside wick cannot be ruled out.

The case for altcoins rests largely on visible liquidity concentrations and higher-timeframe structures. Cardano (ADA), he said, exhibits a favorable imbalance with “a… load of liquidity” stacked above “around one dollar,” and additional magnets in the $1.21 and $1.40 areas if momentum expands.

He emphasized the sequence of higher lows and higher highs that preceded a consolidation, a pattern he compared across several charts. Dogecoin (DOGE), in his view, mirrors the same anatomy on a larger timeframe: a prior higher-high/higher-low sequence, a tightening range, and “liquidity above us,” with a push through $0.29 opening a path to targeting $0.45.

“I’ve been saying for a while tokens like DOGE look like they are going to absolutely send it,” he said. For XRP, he argued that price action has “led the cycle” and recently broke a well-tracked downtrend on the daily and four-hour charts, while shorter-term liquidity maps now show concentrations overhead.

Beyond single names, he anchored his thesis in market-wide breadth gauges. He highlighted “Total 3”—the combined market capitalization of all crypto assets excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum—pressing against prior highs and “knocking at the door… for price discovery.”

In a closely related lens, he said “Total 2” (market cap ex-Bitcoin) is one incremental push away—“half a percent higher”—from a highest-ever weekly close, with three days left in the candle. The evolving formations, he added, can be interpreted as an “ascending wedge” that morphs into a “cup and handle” after a textbook Wyckoff-style accumulation and back-test, the kind of structural progression that often resolves with a powerful range break.

The Core Thesis

Rotation dynamics are at the core of his call. Drawing on an ETH-vs-BTC dominance composite, he said the tape “looks like weakness” for the pair, with heavier volume on down moves in that ratio—an indication, he believes, that capital is migrating from Bitcoin and Ethereum into the broader altcoin complex.

“If [Bitcoin] dominance breaks down… it’s better for altcoins,” he said. “As long as capital’s flowing into the market, I don’t really mind which starts to outperform which… but if we have a significant rise in Bitcoin’s price and a drop in dominance, it means that altcoins are going to be absolutely sending it.”

At the same time, he flagged the near-term fork in the road. Markets are testing “decision” levels into macro data, and a brief liquidity sweep lower—on Bitcoin and ETH in particular—remains plausible before any sustained impulse. “We’re not in a breakout territory here yet,” he cautioned. “We’ve seen the first signs of it… [and] we could reject here and consolidate for a little bit longer… but one catalyst here and it’s green season in my opinion for crypto generally.”

Throughout the analysis, the analyst returned to a handful of price signposts traders are likely to watch: ADA gravity around $1.00 with follow-ups near $1.21 and $1.40; DOGE confirmation above ~$0.29 and then $0.45 as the next objective; and XRP’s break of descending resistance with liquidity pools sitting overhead on intraday maps.

If the macro side cooperates, his base case is unambiguous. “I think the breakout is imminent,” he said, pointing to synchronized strength across Total 2 and Total 3, gold’s recent breakout, and equities at or near all-time highs. “This is the sort of time where we’re going to break out,” he added. “Massive breakouts” in altcoins, when they come, often unfold as “a few weeks or a few days of massively green candles.”

Even so, he closed with a reminder that timing remains hostage to catalysts. “It’s decision time for the market,” he said. “Could reject here and consolidate… but one catalyst here and it’s green season.”

At press time, XRP traded at $2.99.

Despite a brief pause in its trajectory, institutional appetite for Ethereum remains strong. In fact, a whopping $342 million worth of ETH has left a prominent cryptocurrency exchange.

Such movements of funds are typically expected to have a bullish impact on ETH’s price.Supply Tightens

According to an update shared by Lookonchain, in just the past 10 hours, four newly created wallets withdrew a total of 78,229 ETH (which is worth approximately $342 million) from Kraken. Such large-scale movements from exchanges often signal that institutions are moving assets into cold storage, which reflects a long-term bullish stance.

Rising institutional accumulation reflects increasing faith in ETH’s long-term prospects as it trades above $4,430. By withdrawing significant amounts from exchanges, these investors limit circulating supply, thereby creating tighter liquidity conditions that could drive ETH prices higher if demand persists.

Amid these significant withdrawals, market experts are turning to technical indicators for clues on ETH’s next move.

Popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez, for one, observed that Ethereum is poised for a significant move, as he pointed to a Bollinger Bands squeeze as a technical setup for heightened volatility.

Meanwhile, another market commentator, Ted Pillows, stressed the importance of key price levels: a daily close above $4,500 could open the door for a new all-time high, while a rejection at this resistance might push Ethereum down to the $4,000-$4,100 range.

It is also important to note that Ethereum hassurgedahead of Bitcoin across multiple fronts. Since early August, ETH captured 32.9% of spot market share versus BTC’s 32.6%, and even peaked at 41% in late August with $480 billion in spot volume. Futures momentum has been equally strong as it hit a record $3.08 trillion. Institutional appetite also remains high, with ETH ETFs drawing $10 billion in inflows this year and AUM reaching $25 billion.

But not all signals are aligned, as broader market data suggest Ethereum may face underlying pressures. Structural pressures remain that could temper ETH’s upward momentum.Ethereum At a Crossroads

Matrixport’s recent report revealed that treasury companies have gone quiet and net asset values are hovering near 1, which could mean that investors are reluctant to pay a premium for these shares. Even Bitcoin treasury companies are experiencing sharp declines in NAVs, in line with broader risk-off sentiment among crypto treasuries.

On top of that, Ethereum’s trading volumes have plunged from $122 billion to just $41 billion, while futures open interest has barely budged. This divergence helps explain why ETH prices remain relatively steady, but with volumes drying up, leveraged longs face growing pressure, especially as high funding rates make holding these positions increasingly expensive.

The report warned that even a potential bullish catalyst, such as recent US inflation data or the upcoming FOMC meeting, may not fully offset the risks posed by thinning liquidity.