A Double Bottom Will Be Formed in the 1D Timeframe, with a Potential Short-term Rebound

Cryptocurrency

Summary:

Recent declines in Bitcoin are primarily influenced by expectations surrounding U.S. dollar monetary policy and ongoing institutional capital outflows, with the price currently approaching the 80,000 support level. A short-term rebound trend may be imminent.

BUY BTC-USDT

EXP

TRADING

82766.9

Entry Price

89000.0

79000.0

83528.1 -725.1 -0.86%

0.0

Pips

Flat

79000.0

Exit Price

82766.9

Entry Price

89000.0

Fundamentals

Bitcoin continued its intraday decline today, with prices slipping from 85,000 to around 83,000, exhibiting oscillations. Short-term market volatility was primarily driven by a dual impact: expectations surrounding U.S. Federal Reserve chairman appointment and fluctuating institutional capital flows. Discussions about the Fed chair candidate and intermittent outflows from ETFs collectively suppressed risk asset demand, exerting downward pressure on Bitcoin and testing key support levels.

On the macro and institutional fundamental front, this week's asset rebalancing was influenced by macroeconomic and regulatory developments. Foremost, speculations about the Fed's future leadership and its inclination towards hawkish or dovish policies impacted liquidity expectations—if the incoming chair adopts a tighter stance, liquidity tightening could dampen demand for high-risk assets, exerting downward pressure on Bitcoin. Reuters reports indicated that guesses about the next Fed chair directly triggered today's sell-off. Additionally, the established spot Bitcoin ETF channels since 2025 continue to influence market dynamics, but fund flows have been non-linear: recent phases saw net outflows amid volatile institutional allocations, making prices more susceptible to significant retracements in response to news fluctuations. Analysis shows that ETF and institutional liquidity remain the decisive external variables influencing current price volatility.

Furthermore, on-chain dynamics and exchange order book supply and demand are influencing short-term market structures: reports indicate net outflows from certain centralized exchanges, suggesting institutional or large holder retreatment without rapid bottom-fishing; however, long-term investors and some institutional players exhibit willingness to accumulate on retracements, indicating that the fundamental demand base remains partially resilient. Overall, the current market sentiment resembles a pendulum swing between liquidity-driven trading and reallocation mood, lacking a clear overarching catalyst for directional movement.

Technical Analysis

A Double Bottom Will Be Formed in the 1D Timeframe, with a Potential Short-term Rebound_1

In the 1D timeframe, Bitcoin experienced a dip below the 80,000 level today, followed by a rapid rebound, indicating strong support at this zone. This level is near the lows established in November 2025, and the candlestick pattern suggests the potential formation of a double bottom. If the closing price exceeds 80,000 today, the double bottom pattern will be confirmed, signaling a short-term technical correction and potential rebound.

Currently, key support is identified at the 80,000 level; a breach below this could open further downside potential toward 75,000. Resistance in the short term is formed by the recent high points of the moving averages, approximately in the 88,000 to 92,000 range. Stabilization above this zone would be necessary to re-establish the medium-term bullish trajectory.

Regarding technical indicators, the RSI shows that the market has entered oversold territory, increasing the likelihood of a short-term rebound.

Trading Recommendations

Trading Direction: Buy

Entry Price: 82000

Target Price: 89000

Stop Loss: 79000

Valid Until: February 13, 2026 23:00:00

Support: 80000, 75000

Resistance: 88000, 92000

Risk Warnings and Disclaimers

You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.

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Gerik

Cryptocurrency

Economic

Summary:

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has slipped to around $82,000, breaking key short-term support amid macro uncertainty and risk-off flows, but recent oversold conditions are emerging that may attract dip buyers and initiate a corrective bounce...

BUY BTC-USDT

EXP

TRADING

82511.5

Entry Price

86500.0

80400.0

83528.1 -725.1 -0.86%

0.0

Pips

Flat

80400.0

Exit Price

82511.5

Entry Price

86500.0

Market Overview

Bitcoin has been under pressure and recently traded near the $82,000–$83,000 zone, down sharply as macro risk sentiment dampened appetite for speculative assets. The price decline accelerated following concerns over U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy shifts and broader market sell-offs that weakened BTC momentum below critical support levels. Despite this weakness, the sharp drop is approaching deeper historical support zones, where oversold readings often attract technical buyers and short covering.

Market Sentiment

Sentiment remains cautious but shows signs that selling pressure may be nearing exhaustion around current levels. Bitcoin’s extended sell-off below major supports has pushed the market into oversold territory, and although bearish narratives dominate short-term headlines, some analysts indicate the possibility of stabilization as BTC finds a base around these lows. Traders observing key psychological support at ~$80,000–$82,000 may begin to accumulate, particularly if broader risk markets show signs of steadiness.

Technical Analysis

BTC Testing Oversold Support Around $82K With Potential Rebound Setup_1

On the M15 timeframe, BTC is trading near significant short-term support as selling momentum slows, with technical indicators often showing oversold conditions capable of producing rebounds. While resistance remains above recent consolidation ranges (near $87,500–$89,000), the current support cluster provides a tactical buy zone for a corrective move. A successful bounce from these levels could see BTC attempt to reclaim weaker resistances and test the short-term overhead supply.

Trade Recommendation

Entry: 82500

Take Profit: 86500

Stop Loss: 80400

BUY BTC at current oversold support, expecting a rebound toward short-term resistance, with disciplined risk management due to prevailing volatility and mixed macro drivers. A break below 80400 would signal deeper bearish continuation and invalidate the near-term buy setup.

Tell me if you need a sell setup at higher levels or a higher timeframe (H1/H4) analysis.

Risk Warnings and Disclaimers

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Gerik

Economic

Commodity

Summary:

XAU/USD is showing renewed buy interest after a significant pullback from record highs near $5,594, stabilizing around $5,170–$5,230....

BUY XAUUSD

Close Time

CLOSED

5169.05

Entry Price

5350.00

5050.00

4894.49 -481.82 -8.96%

1190.5

Pips

Loss

5050.00

5049.72

Exit Price

5169.05

Entry Price

5350.00

Market Overview

Gold has experienced exceptional volatility this month with an extraordinary rally to all-time highs above $5,590, driven by macroeconomic instability, deep USD weakness and intense safe-haven flows. After hitting peak levels, a meaningful correction took hold as traders booked profits and the US dollar found temporary strength, pulling XAU back toward the $5,100–$5,200 area. Recent price action shows that this pullback is not yet a broader reversal but rather a consolidation within the larger upward trend, creating a tactical buy-on-dip opportunity on the M15 timeframe. Macro factors such as continued geopolitical uncertainties and expectations for future Fed policy shifts support renewed demand for gold as a hedge.

Market Sentiment

Sentiment remains broadly bullish for gold despite short-term correction pressures. The recent sell-off reflects profit-taking after extreme overextension rather than a fundamental shift toward bearishness. Safe-haven demand persists as investors remain cautious about economic, inflation and geopolitical risks, keeping the broader narrative supportive of higher gold prices over time. With gold still holding significant gains from earlier in January, dip buyers are watching key support levels for re-entry as momentum stabilizes and oversold conditions on lower timeframes materialize.

Technical Analysis

Gold Correction Turns into Buy Opportunity_1

On M15 charts, after a sharp pullback from the record highs, price is finding buyers near dynamic support zones and previous short-term pivot levels. Indicators suggest that the recent decline may be completing its correction phase, and momentum oscillators (e.g., RSI turning up from oversold) are hinting at renewed bullish pressure. Consolidation around current levels near $5,170–$5,230 offers a structurally sound entry zone for a buy-on-dip trade, targeting the next swing highs while managing risk if the correction deepens further.

Trade Recommendation

Entry: 5170

Take Profit: 5350

Stop Loss: 5050

Risk Warnings and Disclaimers

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Manuel

Forex

Central Bank

Summary:

A bullish crossover appears imminent. If the histogram transitions into positive territory and the signal lines clear the neutral level, we could see a sustained bullish correction.

BUY EURCHF

EXP

TRADING

0.91583

Entry Price

0.92000

0.91300

0.91591 +0.00114 +0.12%

0.0

Pips

Flat

0.91300

Exit Price

0.91583

Entry Price

0.92000

The recent surge in the Euro's valuation has officially entered the radar of European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers, reigniting a critical debate regarding the impact of a persistently strong currency on the future path of monetary policy. A firm Euro could, over time, emerge as a complicating factor for the inflation outlook, thereby influencing the central bank's restrictive stance.

In this context, Martin Kocher, Governor of the Austrian Central Bank and a member of the ECB Governing Council, noted that a continuous appreciation of the Euro might eventually necessitate a monetary policy response. Kocher clarified that such a move would not involve direct intervention in the foreign exchange market, but rather an adjustment to address the indirect effects; a stronger Euro naturally exerts downward pressure on inflation, making it a pivotal variable for the ECB's decision-making process. Following these remarks, the Overnight Index Swaps (OIS) market reflected a slight uptick in easing expectations. Traders currently assign approximately a 26% probability to a rate cut at the September meeting, up from the previously estimated 16%. Despite this shift, the broader consensus remains that the ECB will hold its current posture at the upcoming meeting on February 4–5.

Simultaneously, the Swiss Franc (CHF) continues to exhibit relative stability, though it remains notably weak against its antipodean peers. This underperformance persists even after Swiss National Bank (SNB) President Martin Schlegel alerted markets to the possibility of negative inflation episodes in the short term. During his address at the World Economic Forum, Schlegel noted a high probability of inflation dipping into negative territory this year, suggesting that a temporary deflationary period would not pose a significant threat to the broader Swiss economy.

From a domestic perspective, market valuations continue to price in the risk of the SNB cutting interest rates back into negative territory in the coming months. This concern is underscored by a -1.8% year-over-year decline in the December Producer Price Index (PPI), which brings deflationary risks back to the forefront. While January’s CPI held at 0.1%, the trajectory remains fragile, especially when coupled with a weak Manufacturing PMI of 45.8. With the next SNB policy meeting not scheduled until March 19th, the Franc remains vulnerable to further downside if the current 0% policy rate is perceived as insufficient to combat cooling price dynamics. Fading Bearish Pressure And ECB Rhetoric Point To EURCHF Recovery_1

Fading Bearish Pressure And ECB Rhetoric Point To EURCHF Recovery_1

Technical Analysis

EUR/CHF appears to be establishing a local floor after staging a bullish rebound from the 0.9143 support zone. With the outlook for a strengthening Euro gaining traction, this level may represent the definitive local bottom. A bullish correction from this area currently seems highly probable.

On the 1-hour chart, the immediate upside targets are centered around the 100-period Moving Average at 0.9193 and the 200-period MA at 0.9235. Additionally, a significant horizontal resistance is located at 0.9196, which aligns closely with the 100-period MA, creating a high-probability "magnet" for the current recovery.

Our momentum analysis via the MACD reinforces this reversal thesis. Although the signal lines remain below the neutral zone, the histogram is printing progressively smaller bearish bars, indicating that downward momentum is rapidly exhausting. A bullish crossover appears imminent. If the histogram transitions into positive territory and the signal lines clear the neutral level, we could see a sustained bullish correction.

As long as the price maintains its integrity above the 0.9143 handle, long positions are favored. A technical "reset" of the MACD above the zero line would confirm the shift in control, paving the way for a test of the major moving average cluster.

Trading Recommendations

Trading direction: Buy

Entry price: 0.9157

Target price: 0.9200

Stop loss: 0.9130

Validity: Feb 11, 2026 15:00:00

Risk Warnings and Disclaimers

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Manuel

Forex

Central Bank

Summary:

This confluence of indicators suggests that the pair is gathering sufficient momentum to initiate a new bullish impulse.

BUY AUDCHF

EXP

TRADING

0.53620

Entry Price

0.54450

0.53200

0.53809 -0.00050 -0.09%

0.0

Pips

Flat

0.53200

Exit Price

0.53620

Entry Price

0.54450

In Australia, recent inflation figures have exceeded market forecasts, significantly intensifying expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) may be forced to pivot toward a more restrictive monetary policy stance. In December, the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) recorded a monthly advancement of 1.0%, a sharp reversal from November's flat reading and comfortably above the 0.7% market consensus. On a year-over-year basis, inflation accelerated from 3.4% to 3.8%, also overshooting the estimated 3.6%.

Conversely, the trimmed-mean (core) inflation data presented a more nuanced picture. While the monthly core figure rose by 0.2% in December—aligning with forecasts but slowing from the prior month's 0.3%—the annual rate edged higher to 3.3%. This remains stubbornly above the RBA's target range of 2%–3%. Furthermore, the NAB Business Confidence Survey for December reinforces the narrative for a tighter policy environment. Should the upcoming trimmed-mean CPI readings continue to exceed projections, the central bank will face mounting pressure to hike rates at its February meeting, a scenario that would likely provide substantial tailwinds for the Australian Dollar (AUD).

Across the globe, the Swiss Franc (CHF) continues to exhibit relative stability, though it remains notably weak against its antipodean peers. This underperformance persists even after Swiss National Bank (SNB) President Martin Schlegel alerted markets to the possibility of negative inflation episodes in the short term. During his address at the World Economic Forum, Schlegel noted a high probability of inflation dipping into negative territory this year, though he emphasized that a few months of deflationary pressure would not pose a significant threat to the broader economy.

From a domestic macroeconomic perspective, market valuations continue to reflect the risk of the SNB cutting interest rates below zero in the coming months. This concern is bolstered by a -1.8% year-over-year decline in the December Producer Price Index (PPI), which brings deflationary risks back into focus. While January's CPI held at 0.1%, confirming that headline inflation remains positive, the current trajectory is undeniably fragile. Combined with a weak Manufacturing PMI of 45.8, the Swiss economy continues to face persistent structural obstacles. With the next SNB policy meeting not scheduled until March 19th, the Franc remains susceptible to further downside if the current 0% policy rate is perceived as insufficient to combat cooling price dynamics. Resilient Technical Structure Points Toward Potential AUDCHF Breakout_1

Resilient Technical Structure Points Toward Potential AUDCHF Breakout_1

Technical Analysis

AUD/CHF remains entrenched in a definitive primary uptrend. The pair recently experienced a minor corrective phase after encountering a "Double Top" rejection at the 0.5430 level. However, the price has found a solid floor upon approaching the 100 and 200-period Moving Averages on the 4-hour chart, situated at 0.5350 and 0.5321, respectively.

This technical foundation is further reinforced by a significant horizontal support level at 0.5362. This confluence of indicators suggests that the pair is gathering sufficient momentum to initiate a new bullish impulse. A successful defense of this "Value Area" could finally provide the strength needed to breach the recent resistance and target the 0.5445 zone, which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci expansion—a primary area of interest for a long-term breakout.

Our momentum analysis via the MACD confirms that the broader trend remains bullish, with the signal lines comfortably situated above the neutral zone. While the histogram is currently printing smaller bullish bars—suggesting a temporary consolidation or a shallow retest of the 100-period MA—the underlying structural bias remains positive.

As long as the pair holds above this key support cluster, we favor long positions. A technical "reset" of the histogram near the zero line would offer a high-probability entry signal for a trend continuation toward recent highs and beyond.

Trading Recommendations

Trading direction: Buy

Entry price: 0.5362

Target price: 0.5445

Stop loss: 0.5320

Validity: Feb 11, 2026 15:00:00

Risk Warnings and Disclaimers

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Warren Takunda

Traders' Opinions

Summary:

EUR/USD rises near 1.1980 as US Dollar weakness persists amid Trump’s Fed uncertainty, while market eyes Eurozone consumer data and US jobless claims. Traders brace for volatility ahead of economic releases and policy signals.

BUY EURUSD

Close Time

CLOSED

1.19603

Entry Price

1.22000

1.19000

1.18491 -0.01211 -1.01%

60.3

Pips

Loss

1.19000

Exit Price

1.19603

Entry Price

1.22000

The EUR/USD pair traded on a positive footing near 1.1980 in early European session trade on Thursday, bolstered by broad US Dollar (USD) weakness and ongoing uncertainty surrounding US economic policy. Investors are navigating a complex backdrop, with the Eurozone set to release Consumer Confidence data later in the day, while the US reports Initial Jobless Claims, Nonfarm Productivity, and Unit Labor Costs for the third quarter.

The Greenback’s retreat continues to reflect market caution over US President Donald Trump’s policy unpredictability and the independence of the Federal Reserve (Fed), which has fueled gains in major USD pairs. On Tuesday, Trump signaled that he would soon announce his pick for the next Fed Chair, adding that he expects interest rates to drop significantly once a new chair is installed. These remarks have added to market speculation that the Fed’s policy trajectory could shift abruptly under political influence, contributing to the Dollar’s soft tone.

Despite these political pressures, the Federal Reserve opted to leave its benchmark rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% during its January policy meeting on Wednesday. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized in the subsequent press conference that while economic activity appears to have improved since the last gathering, signs of labor market cooling remain. Powell’s remarks painted a cautiously balanced outlook, noting stabilization in employment alongside slowing wage pressures, suggesting that the central bank may take a measured approach to future rate adjustments.

Fed officials further signaled that rate reductions are not imminent, with markets largely pricing in a potential adjustment no earlier than June. This hawkish-hold stance may temper further USD losses in the near term, though investor attention remains fixed on policy clarity and the implications of any political intervention in the Fed’s decision-making process.

Across the Atlantic, the Eurozone continues to maintain steady growth momentum, even amid muted inflation pressures. Economists widely expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to hold rates steady at its February meeting, and the central bank has indicated that current rates are in a “good place” to support medium-term price stability. This dovish-but-stable tone, coupled with USD fragility, underpins the EUR’s resilience against its American counterpart.

Technical and sentiment factors are also shaping market dynamics. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the USD against six major currencies, is holding near 96.38, showing modest stability but lacking the strength to offset Euro gains. Traders are closely monitoring upcoming US data, including weekly jobless claims, Q3 Nonfarm Productivity, and Unit Labor Costs, for clues on underlying economic momentum and potential shifts in Fed policy expectations.

Market participants face a delicate balancing act. On one hand, the Euro remains supported by the USD’s political and policy-related vulnerabilities; on the other, the Fed’s deliberate pace and ECB’s steady guidance suggest that both central banks are in a holding pattern. This environment favors a range-bound EUR/USD, with price action likely to remain sensitive to headlines around Fed leadership and economic surprises from either side of the Atlantic.

Analysts suggest that any hawkish signals from the Fed—or clarification regarding the independence of the central bank—could temporarily bolster the USD and weigh on EUR/USD. Conversely, continued political uncertainty in Washington and firm European data may keep the pair elevated toward 1.2000–1.2050 in the near term. Traders are advised to track both economic releases and geopolitical developments closely, as these remain the primary drivers of intraday volatility.

Technical Analysis

From a technical perspective, EUR/USD remains positioned within a broader bullish continuation structure on the 4-hour chart. Following a strong impulsive rally from the 1.1600 region, price has transitioned into a controlled consolidation phase, forming a descending channel / bullish flag just beneath the 1.2000 psychological level. This type of corrective structure typically reflects profit-taking rather than trend exhaustion, and it preserves the integrity of the prevailing uptrend.

Price is currently oscillating around the 1.1950–1.1970 zone, which has emerged as an important short-term equilibrium area. This zone aligns with prior breakout structure and is acting as key demand, repeatedly absorbing downside attempts. As long as price holds above the 1.1920–1.1900 support band, the bullish market structure remains intact. A decisive 4-hour close below this region would signal a breakdown from the flag and open the door for a deeper corrective move toward 1.1850, followed by 1.1800, where previous consolidation and institutional demand are located.

On the upside, the 1.2000 round number remains the immediate cap. This level has repeatedly rejected price and coincides with the upper boundary of the corrective channel. A clean breakout and sustained hold above 1.2000 would confirm continuation and likely trigger momentum-driven buying. In that scenario, upside targets extend toward the 1.2050–1.2100 zone, with the broader bullish objective resting near the 1.2200 resistance area, highlighted on the chart as a higher-timeframe supply zone.

Overall, price action suggests compression rather than distribution. The sequence of higher lows, shallow pullbacks, and tightening range favors an upside resolution, provided key structural support remains defended. Until a breakdown occurs, the bias remains bullish with consolidation rather than reversal.

TRADE RECOMMENDATION

BUY EUR/USD

ENTRY PRICE: 1.1960

STOP LOSS: 1.1900

TAKE PROFIT: 1.2200

Risk Warnings and Disclaimers

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Eva Chen

Forex

Summary:

GBPUSD is consolidating near multi-year highs, while the US dollar remains under pressure amid “sell-America” trade sentiment, the Fed’s policy outlook, and elevated political uncertainty. On the technical front, a failed short-term inverse head-and-shoulders pattern signals rising pullback risk at elevated levels.

SELL GBPUSD

EXP

TRADING

1.38081

Entry Price

1.35000

1.39990

1.36835 -0.01258 -0.91%

0.0

Pips

Flat

1.35000

Exit Price

1.38081

Entry Price

1.39990

Fundamentals

GBPUSD hovered around 1.3834 on Thursday, close to its highest level since August 2021. While sterling itself lacks fresh bullish catalysts, rising volatility in the US dollar has continued to provide support for the pair.

The recent weakness in the dollar mainly reflects a market repricing of US policy and capital flows. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that Washington has no plans to intervene in the FX market by selling the Japanese yen. The remark was interpreted as a restrained stance on exchange-rate issues, reinforcing existing “sell-America” trade sentiment and weighing further on the dollar.

Meanwhile, the Fed left interest rates unchanged at its latest meeting and slightly upgraded its economic outlook, reinforcing expectations of an extended rate pause. However, markets have not fully embraced a hawkish interpretation. Investors widely believe that if former President Trump were to replace Jerome Powell with a more dovish Fed chair in the future, US monetary policy could still re-enter an easing cycle. This medium- to long-term uncertainty continues to act as a potential drag on the dollar.

With the Fed temporarily on hold, market attention has shifted to the Bank of England (BoE). Markets broadly expect the BoE to keep its benchmark rate unchanged at 3.75% at next week’s meeting. This expectation is supported by recent UK inflation data — December inflation rose to 3.4%, while retail sales figures pointed to renewed price pressures, leaving the BoE with little room to pivot decisively toward easing in the near term.

Looking ahead, while sterling fundamentals have not deteriorated materially, the prior rapid rally has significantly increased short-term correction risks. Combined with signals from short-cycle price structures, GBPUSD appears more likely to be transitioning from high-level consolidation into a pullback phase. If the adjustment extends, the pair may retreat toward the 1.3500 area, which marks the base of the previous upswing.

Bulls Still in Control, but Upside Safety Margin Has Narrowed Significantly_1

Technical Analysis

From a technical perspective, intraday price action in GBPUSD is broadly neutral. However, below the interim high at 1.3867, signs of a failed short-term inverse head-and-shoulders pattern have emerged, suggesting that bullish momentum is fading quickly and downside risks are building.

On the downside, initial support is located at 1.3641. A break below this level could open the door for a deeper pullback toward the 1.3500 zone, corresponding to the key origin of the prior rally.

Conversely, if 1.3641 holds and caps downside pressure, bulls may attempt to retest resistance at 1.3901. A decisive break above 1.3901 would shift the medium-term target higher toward the 1.4246–1.4248 area, near a major structural resistance zone.

Overall, based on current structure and momentum, we lean toward a scenario in which a break below 1.3641 triggers a deeper corrective move.