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Daily Technical Analysis: [18 MAY]

6 小时前 TMGM


 

1. GBP/USD Analysis:

News Summary:

The selloff in U.K. assets was driven not only by external factors — including the lack of improvement in the Iran situation last week, which pushed oil prices sharply higher again and intensified market concerns over inflation, triggering a broad rise in global bond yields — but also by growing domestic political uncertainty in the United Kingdom. Investors are increasingly concerned that potential changes in fiscal policy under a successor to Prime Minister Keir Starmer could further complicate the country’s economic outlook. From a medium- to long-term perspective, the U.K.’s fiscal challenges and persistent inflation pressures may limit the upside potential for British assets.

 

Trend Analysis:

On the H4 chart, we can see GBP/USD continues to trend lower and remains below the 48 hours moving average. Meanwhile, the MACD double line and energy bars are gradually converging below the zero axis. The buy limit could be placed, stop loss is necessary.

 

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [1.3270]

Key Resistance Levels: [1.3440]
Pivot Points [1.3300]

 

 

2. Gold Analysis:

 

News Summary:

Gold prices plunged nearly 4%, briefly falling below the $4,500 level, as a stronger U.S. dollar, surging Treasury yields, and escalating tensions in the Middle East weighed heavily on the precious metals market. Rising oil prices have intensified inflation concerns, significantly boosting market expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes, which in turn pressured non-yielding gold. Wall Street institutions are generally bearish on gold’s near-term outlook, while retail investors remain relatively optimistic. This week’s key focus will be whether the ongoing Middle East conflict continues to drive inflation expectations higher.

 

Trend Analysis:

We can see gold on the H4 chart remains in a sustained pullback and continues to trade below the 48 hours moving average. However, the MACD double line and histogram bars have started to form a bullish crossover and expand below the zero axis. The buy limit could be set, stop loss is mandatory.

 

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [4500]

Key Resistance Levels: [4640]

Pivot Points [4510]


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