1. USD/JPY Analysis:

News Summary:

The U.S. dollar strengthened against the Japanese yen on Monday, climbing toward the record high of 161.95. The yield spread between U.S. and Japanese two-year government bonds widened to more than 280 basis points, reaching its highest level since the Middle East conflict began and underscoring the widening divergence between expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes and the Bank of Japan's dovish policy stance. Although Japan's Ministry of Finance has repeatedly warned of possible currency intervention, the combination of supportive fundamentals and bullish technical momentum suggests the yen's downtrend remains difficult to reverse. Any intervention is likely to act as a speed bump rather than bring the rally to an end.

Trend Analysis:

We can see USD/JPY has resumed its upward rebound and continues to trade above the 48 hours moving average on the H4 chart. In addition, the MACD double line and energy bars are expanding around the zero axis. The buy limit could be placed, stop loss is necessary.

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [161.00]

Key Resistance Levels: [162.70]
Pivot Points [161.30]

2. Crude Oil Analysis:

News Summary:

Iran's renewed closure of the Strait of Hormuz reignited concerns over potential disruptions to global crude oil supplies, sending oil prices sharply higher at Monday's Asian open. However, as markets gradually digested the geopolitical developments, crude prices retreated from their session highs. While safe-haven demand continues to provide short-term support, supply concerns have yet to translate into a meaningful physical shortage, leaving the broader corrective trend in the oil market intact. Investors remain focused on the evolving relationship between the United States and Iran, as well as further developments across the Middle East.

Trend Analysis:

On the H4 chart, we can see crude oil has encountered resistance and pulled back, continuing to trade below the 48 hours moving average. Meanwhile, both the MACD double line and the histogram bars are converging around the zero axis. The buy limit could be set, stop loss is mandatory.

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [72.00]

Key Resistance Levels: [84.00]

Pivot Points [74.00]