1. AUD/USD Analysis:

News Summary:

Economists at Morgan Stanley noted that a broad slowdown in Australia's housing market could help offset concerns that construction costs and rents will continue to exert upward pressure on inflation. While Australia's core inflation rate remains above the target range set by the Reserve Bank of Australia, housing-related inflation continues to be a key area of concern. In the coming months, market participants will closely monitor the extent to which rising energy costs contribute to broader inflationary pressures, while demand indicators will be scrutinized for signs of how effectively businesses are able to pass higher costs on to consumers.

Trend Analysis:

We can see AUD/USD is consolidating on the H4 chart and is trading near the 48 hours moving average. Meanwhile, both the MACD double line and histogram bars are expanding around the zero axis. The buy limit could be set, stop loss is necessary.

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [0.7070]

Key Resistance Levels: [0.7220]
Pivot Points [0.7120]

2. Crude Oil Analysis:

News Summary:

The crude oil market is currently exhibiting a notable divergence. On one hand, oil prices have retreated from their recent four-year highs amid positive signals from U.S.-Iran negotiations. On the other hand, physical market inventory data continues to point to significant supply-side pressures. According to market data, daily crude oil exports from the Middle East have fallen from approximately 18.3 million barrels before the crisis to around 8.8 million barrels, representing a decline of more than 50%. As a result, the global oil market could face a supply deficit ranging from 500,000 to 8 million barrels per day in 2026, highlighting the ongoing imbalance between supply and demand.

Trend Analysis:

On the H4 chart, we can see crude oil has pulled back within a broader consolidation pattern and is currently trading near the 48 hours moving average. In addition, the MACD double line and energy bars are expanding above the zero axis. The buy limit could be placed, stop loss is mandatory.

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [90.00]

Key Resistance Levels: [98.00]

Pivot Points [91.00]