1. USD/JPY Analysis:

News Summary:

What truly drives the Japanese yen is not whether the Bank of Japan raises interest rates, but the magnitude of the hike and the policy path that follows. Currently, USD/JPY remains firmly above the 160 level. If the BOJ delivers only a 25-basis-point rate increase without sending a stronger hawkish signal, the wide interest rate differential between the United States and Japan is unlikely to narrow significantly, meaning the yen's weakness will likely persist. Japan remains highly dependent on imports of energy and commodities. Continued depreciation of the yen would further intensify imported inflation pressures, which the central bank itself has already identified as a major risk to the inflation outlook.

Trend Analysis:

We can see USD/JPY has rebounded from elevated levels on the H4 chart and is currently trading near the 48 hours moving average. Meanwhile, the MACD double line and histogram bars are converging above the zero axis. The buy limit could be set, stop loss is necessary.

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [159.70]

Key Resistance Levels: [161.30]
Pivot Points [160.00]

2. Crude Oil Analysis:

News Summary:

As expectations grow that the United States and Iran could reach a peace agreement this weekend, market concerns over potential disruptions to Middle Eastern oil supplies have eased significantly. The rapid unwinding of geopolitical risk premiums has pushed crude oil prices sharply lower from their recent highs. However, challenges remain regarding the security of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the repair of offshore energy infrastructure, and the restoration of oil and gas production. As a result, crude oil prices are likely to remain volatile in the near term as the market balances the fading geopolitical risk premium against ongoing uncertainty surrounding supply recovery.

Trend Analysis:

On the H4 chart, we can see crude oil has experienced a sharp decline and continues to trade below the 48 hours moving average. In addition, the MACD double line and energy bars are showing convergence below the zero axis. The buy limit could be placed, stop loss is mandatory.

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [82.00]

Key Resistance Levels: [94.00]

Pivot Points [85.00]