1. USD/JPY Analysis:

News Summary:

BNP Paribas stated that Japan may face persistent inflationary pressures regardless of whether the Middle East conflict continues or subsides. Prolonged geopolitical tensions could push inflation expectations higher, and even if the situation eases, energy prices are unlikely to return quickly to pre-conflict levels. Domestic factors in Japan, such as rising hiring costs, are also contributing to upward price pressures. If the Bank of Japan refrains from raising interest rates due to uncertainty, it risks falling significantly behind the curve.

Trend Analysis:

We can see USD/JPY on the H4 chart is showing a rebound within a consolidation range, trading near the 48 hours moving average. Meanwhile, both the MACD double line and histogram bars are converging around the zero axis. The buy limit could be set, stop loss is necessary.

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [158.00]

Key Resistance Levels: [160.30]
Pivot Points [158.40]

2. Crude Oil Analysis:

News Summary:

The repeated closure and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has had a direct impact on the global energy market. The strait previously carried about one-fifth of the world’s crude oil shipments, and any disruption has historically triggered major supply shocks, leading to sharp spikes in oil prices. News of Iran potentially closing the strait again could drive up market risk premiums, especially amid an ongoing U.S. blockade and a fragile ceasefire agreement.

Trend Analysis:

On the H4 chart, we can see crude oil has rebounded strongly but remains below the 48 hours moving average. On the other hand, the MACD double line and energy bars are expanding around the zero axis. The buy limit could be placed, stop loss is mandatory.

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [85.00]

Key Resistance Levels: [97.00]

Pivot Points [88.00]