XRP Berpotensi Menurun karena Level Support Utama Melemah

XRP kembali menghadapi tekanan penurunan karena momentum yang melemah dan struktur teknikal yang rapuh menempatkan level support penting dalam risiko. Para trader mengamati apakah pembeli dapat mempertahankan zona support terbaru atau apakah penjualan yang berkelanjutan akan membuka jalan bagi koreksi yang lebih dalam.

Pelemahan Harga XRP Menimbulkan Kekhawatiran Terhadap Level Support Utama

Perilaku harga XRP baru-baru ini telah meningkatkan kekhawatiran tentang prospek jangka pendeknya. Alih-alih membangun pemulihan yang berkelanjutan, mata uang kripto ini kesulitan untuk mendapatkan kembali momentum kenaikan, sehingga harganya rentan terhadap tekanan jual lebih lanjut. Kelemahan ini penting karena XRP mendekati level di mana para pembeli sebelumnya mencoba mempertahankan pasar.

Analisis teknikal harian Coinotag pada 6 November 2026 menggunakan harga referensi $1,1826 dan mengidentifikasi support terdekat di $1,1766 dan resistance di $1,2226. Analisis menunjukkan bias bearish yang kuat, dengan harga di bawah kedelapan moving average yang dipantau. Pembacaan ini menggambarkan snapshot harian tertentu, bukan serangkaian level harga permanen.

Penurunan ini mencerminkan lebih dari sekadar penurunan intraday yang terisolasi. XRP mengalami kesulitan mempertahankan pergerakan naik, sementara indikator teknis menunjukkan bahwa penjual mempertahankan keunggulan dalam jangka waktu yang lebih pendek. Ketika suatu aset berulang kali gagal pulih setelah penurunan, pelaku pasar mungkin menjadi kurang bersedia untuk membeli rebound sementara, terutama ketika sentimen pasar secara keseluruhan tidak pasti.

Moving average membantu para trader membedakan fluktuasi jangka pendek dari tren arah yang lebih luas. Ketika suatu aset diperdagangkan di bawah beberapa rata-rata penting, rata-rata tersebut dapat menjadi resistensi selama upaya pemulihan. Posisi XRP di bawah rata-rata yang dipantau menunjukkan bahwa pembeli mungkin membutuhkan lebih dari sekadar pantulan singkat untuk membangun pembalikan yang meyakinkan.

Namun, kelemahan teknis bukan berarti penurunan lebih lanjut tidak dapat dihindari. Permintaan dapat kembali di sekitar level support terdekat dan membantu pasar stabil. Pertanyaan pentingnya adalah apakah pembeli dapat mengubah stabilisasi menjadi pemulihan yang berkelanjutan.

Indikator Teknis Bearish Menantang Pemulihan XRP

Beberapa indikator teknis berkontribusi pada prospek yang hati-hati untuk XRP. Di antara yang paling banyak dipantau adalah Relative Strength Index (RSI), moving average, dan indikator momentum seperti Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

The RSI measures the speed and magnitude of recent price movements. It generally ranges from zero to 100, with readings below 30 commonly interpreted as oversold and readings above 70 as overbought. COINOTAG's November 6 assessment placed XRP's daily RSI at approximately 33.3, while its four-hour RSI stood near 28.0. The shorter timeframe therefore showed more pronounced selling pressure.

A four-hour RSI below 30 can attract buyers looking for a technical rebound. Nevertheless, an oversold reading does not prove that a decline has ended. During a persistent downtrend, an asset can remain oversold as sellers continue to dominate trading activity.

The MACD offers another way to evaluate whether bearish momentum is strengthening or weakening. When the MACD line remains below its signal line and both sit in negative territory, traders generally interpret the configuration as evidence of downward momentum. The November 6 daily snapshot showed a negative MACD reading and a negative histogram, consistent with a bearish momentum signal.

The broader concern is that any potential rebound has not yet been supported by convincing evidence of a trend reversal. Even if selling pressure begins to ease, buyers will need to push the price higher and maintain those gains to change the technical picture. Moving averages add another challenge: XRP needs to recover important short-term averages before traders can confidently argue that its downward structure is improving.

Can XRP Hold the $1.18 Support Level?

The $1.18 area has become an important near-term reference point for XRP traders. It sits close to the technical support identified at $1.1766, making this zone worth monitoring as the market attempts to stabilize.

A successful defense could give buyers an opportunity to slow the decline and establish a short-term trading range. However, repeated tests of the same support can weaken confidence in its ability to hold, particularly when buying interest remains limited.

The next technical support levels in the November 6 snapshot were around $1.1382 and $1.0497. These are potential areas to monitor if selling pressure intensifies, not guaranteed price targets. Their relevance may change as new daily candles form and market conditions evolve.

The distinction between an intraday move below support and a confirmed breakdown is important. A temporary dip may reflect short-term volatility or stop-loss activity. A sustained daily close below $1.1766 would provide stronger evidence that sellers have gained additional control.

Traders may therefore focus on daily closing prices, trading volume and the market's response to recovery attempts. A breakdown accompanied by expanding selling volume would generally carry more bearish significance than a brief move below support followed by a rapid recovery.

A Failed Recovery Could Increase Downside Risks

If XRP cannot defend the $1.18 region, attention may shift toward lower support areas. Such a move would reinforce the existing bearish structure and potentially encourage additional selling from short-term traders.

The first challenge for buyers would be to prevent the market from establishing a sustained position below nearby support. If that effort fails, the next technical areas around $1.14 and $1.05 could become increasingly relevant.

A breakdown could also affect market psychology. Traders who previously viewed the decline as a temporary correction may reconsider their positions if XRP continues making lower lows. This could increase selling pressure, especially among participants using leverage or following short-term technical signals.

Nevertheless, a bearish scenario would become less convincing if XRP quickly recovered the broken support area. Such a move could indicate that the breakdown was a temporary liquidity event rather than the beginning of another extended downward movement. Confirmation matters more than a single price print.

What Could Invalidate the Bearish XRP Outlook?

Despite the negative short-term structure, XRP's downside outlook is not irreversible. A meaningful recovery would require buyers to demonstrate that selling pressure is fading and that demand can support higher prices.

The first positive signal would be a sustained move above immediate resistance near $1.2226. A daily close above this level could indicate that buyers are beginning to regain control. The next areas to watch would be $1.2546 and $1.291, where additional technical resistance could limit a recovery.

A stronger bullish signal would emerge if XRP reclaimed these levels with increasing trading volume. Rising prices accompanied by stronger participation would provide better evidence of genuine demand than a low-volume rebound.

There is also an important distinction between short-term and longer-term indicators. COINOTAG's November 6 analysis showed a strong bearish bias on both four-hour and daily charts, while the weekly outlook retained a bullish bias, with weekly RSI near 42.5. This divergence suggests that near-term weakness does not necessarily invalidate the broader recovery structure.

However, the weekly outlook would need confirmation from improving price action. Without that confirmation, short-term bearish momentum could continue to dominate trading decisions.

Broader Cryptocurrency Market Conditions Could Influence XRP

XRP does not trade independently of the wider cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin's direction, overall risk appetite and liquidity conditions can influence demand for major altcoins.

When Bitcoin experiences significant selling pressure, investors may reduce exposure to other cryptocurrencies, including XRP. This can make it more difficult for XRP to recover even when its own technical indicators begin showing signs of stabilization.

The broader market environment also matters because institutional and retail investors often adjust cryptocurrency exposure according to macroeconomic expectations. Changes in interest-rate expectations, inflation concerns and geopolitical uncertainty can affect demand for risk-sensitive assets.

Derivatives activity is another factor. High leverage can amplify price movements when markets approach important technical levels. If XRP falls below support while leveraged traders are heavily positioned, forced liquidations could add to selling pressure.

Conversely, declining open interest combined with stabilizing prices could indicate that excessive speculative positioning is being reduced. Such a development would not guarantee a recovery, but it could help create more stable conditions for buyers.

Traders should therefore consider XRP's technical structure alongside Bitcoin's performance, broader market liquidity and derivatives positioning rather than relying on a single indicator.

What Traders Should Watch Before XRP's Next Move

The coming trading sessions could help determine whether XRP is entering another downward leg or attempting to establish a temporary bottom. Several signals deserve particular attention:

• Daily closing prices: A sustained close below nearby support would strengthen the bearish scenario, while a recovery above resistance could weaken it.
• Trading volume: Expanding volume during a decline may confirm stronger selling participation. Increasing volume during a recovery would provide evidence of renewed buying interest.
• RSI recovery: A move back above 30 on shorter timeframes could indicate easing selling pressure, although it would not independently confirm a trend reversal.
• Bitcoin direction: A continued decline across the broader cryptocurrency market could make XRP's recovery more difficult.
• Derivatives positioning: Changes in open interest, funding rates and liquidations may reveal whether speculative selling is intensifying.

These indicators are most useful when they point in the same direction. For example, a move above resistance supported by stronger spot-market volume and improving momentum would provide a more convincing bullish signal than an isolated price spike.

XRP Price Outlook: Further Declines Remain Possible

XRP's immediate technical outlook remains cautious as weakening momentum and nearby support create an unfavorable short-term trading environment. If buyers fail to defend the current price structure, the cryptocurrency could face additional downside pressure, with lower support areas becoming increasingly important.

Nevertheless, the possibility of a rebound should not be dismissed. Oversold conditions, improving weekly momentum and a recovery above immediate resistance could change the market's direction.

Untuk saat ini, isu kuncinya adalah apakah pembeli dapat membangun pertahanan yang berkelanjutan dan bukan hanya sekadar pemulihan sementara. Sampai XRP menunjukkan permintaan yang lebih kuat dan merebut kembali level teknis penting, risiko penurunan lebih lanjut tetap relevan.

Para trader harus memantau pergerakan harga yang terkonfirmasi, volume, dan kondisi cryptocurrency secara lebih luas sebelum menarik kesimpulan tentang tren utama berikutnya. Level support teknis memberikan titik referensi yang berguna, tetapi bukan jaminan terhadap kerugian lebih lanjut.