Worst Uptober ever? Bitcoin price risks first 'red' October in 8 years

Cointelegraph

Key points:

Bitcoin is on track for one of its worst October performances since 2013.
Previous bull market years offered a minimum of 40% gains.
The Federal Reserve may offer a last-minute reprieve at next week’s meeting.

Bitcoin “Uptober” hangs in the balance as price threatens to print the first “red” October since 2018.

Data from monitoring resource CoinGlass shows that at current prices, is 2.3% below its monthly starting level.

Bearish October hinges on 4% BTC price loss

October 2025 has disappointed Bitcoin bulls so far, as an early surge to new all-time highs quickly turned into a liquidation nightmare.

Now acting in a narrow range between around $107,000 and $111,500, the BTC price has much ground to make up by the monthly candle close.

CoinGlass demonstrates just how far behind the market now is: the average upside for October since 2013 has been 20%, which would put Bitcoin at over $130,000.

Alternatively, only needs to end October 4% lower to seal its worst performance in 12 years.

Rekt Fencer
@rektfencer
THIS IS THE WORST UPTOBER EVER.
The only worse one was 2014 (-13%).
2013: +60%
2017: +50%
2021: +40%
2025: -4%
Bad Uptober usually means one thing: MOONVEMBER. pic.twitter.com/6BMrNp4afD
Oct 23, 2025

The picture is particularly bad for a bull market year — in 2017 and 2021, Bitcoin gained at least 40% in October.

Its weakest tenth month of the year was 2014, with a 13% downside.

Now or never for “Uptober” reclaim

Meanwhile, fresh data from network economist Timothy Peterson puts 2025 BTC price action into perspective.

The latest bull market stands out from the rest, charts uploaded to X this week show — but not in the way that bulls would like.

At the start of the month, however, Peterson observed that the bulk of “Uptober” upside tends to occur in the second half.

“60% of Bitcoin's full-year performance occurs after October 3rd,” he added in prior research from September.

News that the US Federal Reserve could signal the end of quantitative tightening (QT) at its Oct. 29 meeting could provide a “huge signal” for markets, Peterson said.

As Cointelegraph reported, expectations are that the Fed will lower interest rates despite a lack of inflation data, pointing to more favorable conditions for crypto and risk assets going forward.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Peringatan Resiko Dan Penafian Investasi

Anda memahami dan mengakui bahwa ada risiko tingkat tinggi yang terlibat dalam strategi trading. Mengikuti strategi atau metodologi investasi apa pun berpotensi mengalami kerugian. Konten di situs ini disediakan oleh kontributor dan analis kami untuk tujuan informasi saja. Anda sendiri yang bertanggung jawab untuk menentukan apakah aset, sekuritas, strategi, atau produk lainnya cocok untuk Anda berdasarkan tujuan investasi dan situasi keuangan Anda.

Pemberitahuan Risiko

Berdagang Instrumen Keuangan Seperti Saham, Mata Uang, Komoditas, Kontrak Berjangka, Obligasi, Dana, Atau Mata Uang Kripto Adalah Perilaku Berisiko Tinggi, Termasuk Kehilangan Sebagian Atau Seluruh Jumlah Investasi Anda, Sehingga Perdagangan Tidak Cocok Untuk Semua Investor.

Anda Harus Melakukan Uji Tuntas Anda Sendiri, Menggunakan Penilaian Anda Sendiri, Dan Berkonsultasi Dengan Penasihat Yang Memenuhi Syarat Saat Membuat Keputusan Keuangan Apa Pun. Konten Situs Web Ini Tidak Ditujukan Kepada Anda, Situasi Keuangan Atau Kebutuhan Anda Juga Tidak Diperhitungkan. Informasi Yang Terdapat Di Situs Web Ini Belum Tentu Tersedia Secara Waktu Nyata, Juga Belum Tentu Akurat. Setiap Pesanan Atau Keputusan Keuangan Lainnya Yang Anda Buat Sepenuhnya Menjadi Tanggung Jawab Anda Dan Anda Tidak Boleh Bergantung Pada Informasi Apa Pun Yang Disediakan Melalui Situs Web. Kami Tidak Memberikan Jaminan Apa Pun Untuk Informasi Apa Pun Di Situs Web Dan Tidak Bertanggung Jawab Atas Kerugian Transaksi Apa Pun Yang Mungkin Timbul Dari Penggunaan Informasi Apa Pun Di Situs Web.

Dilarang Menggunakan, Menyimpan, Menggandakan, Menampilkan, Memodifikasi, Menyebarluaskan Atau Mendistribusikan Data Yang Terdapat Dalam Situs Web Ini Tanpa Izin Tertulis Dari Situs Web Ini. Semua Hak Kekayaan Intelektual Dilindungi Oleh Pemasok Dan Bursa Yang Menyediakan Data Yang Terdapat Di Situs Web Ini.

Pencarian Terkini

Pencarian Populer

Kutipan

Analisis

Pengguna

24/7

Kalender Ekonomi

Pendidikan

Data

Worst Uptober ever? Bitcoin price risks first 'red' October in 8 years

Pemberitahuan Risiko