1. AUD/USD Analysis:

News Summary:

Australia’s June employment report released on Thursday significantly exceeded market expectations across the board. The data showed that net employment surged by 76,300 in June, far above the market forecast of 15,300, marking the largest monthly increase since April last year. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.4%, in line with expectations, but the key driver behind the strong labor data was the participation rate, which climbed to 67.0%, its highest level in one year. Markets are now pricing in a 90% probability that the Reserve Bank of Australia will raise interest rates before the end of the year, up from the previous estimate of 78%.

Trend Analysis:

We can see AUD/USD rebounded after a decline on the H4 chart but remains below the 48 hours moving average. Meanwhile, the MACD double line and histogram bars are converging around the zero axis. The sell limit could be set, stop loss is necessary.

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [0.6900]

Key Resistance Levels: [0.7050]
Pivot Points [0.6940]

2. Crude Oil Analysis:

News Summary:

On Friday, oil prices continued to rise as tensions between the United States and Iran remained elevated, while disruptions to energy supplies in the Middle East showed little sign of easing. U.S. President Donald Trump issued a stern warning on Thursday, threatening major military action against Iran and Yemen’s Houthi militants after the Houthis launched attacks on oil tankers in the Red Sea, opening a new front in the conflict. The main driver behind this week’s oil price gains has been the Houthi attacks in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait targeting vessels carrying Saudi oil.

Trend Analysis:

On the H4 chart, we can see crude oil continues to rebound and is trading above the 48 hours moving average. In addition, the MACD double line and energy bars are expanding above the zero axis. The sell limit could be placed, stop loss is mandatory.

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [87.00]

Key Resistance Levels: [95.00]

Pivot Points [90.00]