1. USD/JPY Analysis:

News Summary:

Rabobank noted that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has pledged to pursue responsible fiscal policies, and the Bank of Japan may also continue raising interest rates, which should support a stronger yen. Takaichi’s recent victory in the snap election has allowed her to step away from campaign debates triggered by the opposition’s more expansionary fiscal stance. Another reassuring factor is Japan’s substantial domestic savings.

Trend Analysis:

On the H4 chart, we can see USD/JPY has rebounded from oversold conditions but remains below the 48 hours moving average. Meanwhile, the MACD double line and energy bars, after converging below the zero line, have formed a bullish crossover. The buy limit could be placed, stop loss is necessary.

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [151.50]

Key Resistance Levels: [154.70]
Pivot Points [152.20]

2. Crude Oil Analysis:

News Summary:

The latest monthly report from the International Energy Agency (IEA) indicates that the global oil market is rapidly shifting toward oversupply. In 2025, inventories increased by a cumulative 477 million barrels, marking the fastest buildup since 2020, while OECD stockpiles have risen above the five-year average for the first time in four years. Meanwhile, the agency expects the global supply surplus in 2026 to exceed 3.7 million barrels per day. Although geopolitical risks are providing intermittent support to oil prices, the reality of rising inventories is gradually becoming the dominant factor.

Trend Analysis:

We can see crude oil on the H4 timeframe has resumed its decline and continues to trade below the 48 hours moving average. In addition, the MACD double line and histogram bars are expanding near the zero line. The buy limit could be set, stop loss is mandatory.

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [60.00]

Key Resistance Levels: [65.00]

Pivot Points [61.00]