1. AUD/USD Analysis:

News Summary:

Overall, the current AUD/USD trend is influenced by both geopolitical risks and macroeconomic expectations. In the short term, the situation in the Middle East remains the dominant factor—if the conflict continues to escalate, the Australian dollar may come under pressure; however, if there are signs of de-escalation, a recovery in risk sentiment could support a rebound in the exchange rate. From a technical perspective, the pair still maintains a bullish structure, but attention should be paid to whether key support levels can hold. Future movements will depend on the development of geopolitical conditions as well as economic data from the U.S. and Australia, so investors should remain cautious.

Trend Analysis:

On the H4 chart, we can see AUD/USD is showing mild consolidation, trading near the 48 hours moving average. Meanwhile, the MACD double line and histogram bars are converging above the zero axis. The buy limit could be set, stop loss is necessary.

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [0.7100]

Key Resistance Levels: [0.7240]
Pivot Points [0.7120]

2. Crude Oil Analysis:

News Summary:

UBS notes that among the oil supply shocks over the past 50 years, the current crisis triggered by U.S.-Israel military actions against Iran is most comparable to the 1990–1991 Gulf War. Looking back to the summer of 1990, after Iraq invaded Kuwait, global oil supply declined by 4–5 million barrels per day in the short term. However, the current oil crisis appears even more intense—within just two to three months after the outbreak of this conflict, oil prices have surged by nearly 100%.

Trend Analysis:

We can see crude oil on the H4 chart is showing a pullback with consolidation, trading near the 48 hours moving average. In addition, the MACD double line and energy bars are contracting around the zero axis. The sell limit could be placed, stop loss is mandatory.

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [85.00]

Key Resistance Levels: [97.00]

Pivot Points [95.00]