1. USD/JPY Analysis:

News Summary:

Daiwa Securities noted that the economic forecasts to be released by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) next week could determine the direction of the Tokyo stock market. Adjustments to IMF forecasts typically influence foreign investors’ trading patterns for about nine weeks. If Japan’s economic outlook appears more optimistic compared to other countries, given its relatively high oil reserves, it may attract a certain degree of buying interest from European investors.

Trend Analysis:

On the H4 chart, we can see USD/JPY continues to rebound and is trading near the 48 hours moving average. In addition, both the MACD double line and histogram bars are expanding around the zero axis. The buy limit could be used, stop loss is necessary.

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [158.70]

Key Resistance Levels: [160.50]
Pivot Points [159.00]

2. Crude Oil Analysis:

News Summary:

Despite a ceasefire between the United States and Iran, vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday remained far below normal levels—at less than 10% of typical volume. Only one refined oil tanker and five dry bulk carriers passed through, compared to a pre-war daily average of around 140 vessels. Iran has warned that ships must remain within its territorial waters when transiting, underscoring its control over the strait. Prices for some physical crude grades have surged to record highs.

Trend Analysis:

We can see crude oil on the H4 chart rebounded and then pulled back, trading below the 48 hours moving average. On the other hand, the MACD double line and energy bars are contracting around the zero axis. The sell limit could be set, stop loss is mandatory.

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [90.00]

Key Resistance Levels: [104.00]

Pivot Points [100.00]