Crypto, TradFi sentiment improves: Will Bitcoin traders clear shorts above $93K?

A crypto analyst has revisited long-term charts from 2012-2015, noting that the current Bitcoin (BTC) cycle shows striking similarities to this timeline, in terms of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and price action. During the 2017-2015 bull run, BTC experienced one of the strongest multi-year advances before bottoming out. The market expert claims that the same sequence of peaks and pullbacks observed in that timeline is now unfolding again in this cycle. 

Bitcoin RSI Comparison Signals Bottoming Structure

Bitcoin’s latest momentum study by crypto analyst Tony Severino has drawn significant attention from market watchers. In his X post on December 6, Severino highlighted surprising similarities between the RSI trend and price movements of the 2023-2026 cycle and those observed from 2012 to 2015. 

His comparison focuses on the timing of several major points that appeared in both cycles. These include the moment a price bottom began to form, the first price peak, a subsequent momentum peak, and finally a Bearish Divergence that typically precedes deeper corrective phases.

Severino shared a chart from the 2012-2015 cycle showing that Bitcoin’s RSI had gradually climbed, with several short bursts of sharper upward momentum along the way. Eventually, momentum faded, and the indicator declined for an extended period before settling in a mid-range zone at the 44 level. 

In the current cycle, which began in 2023, the RSI also climbed sharply before reaching a notable peak. Since then, the indicator has been gradually declining, currently sitting around 38. This level is similar to the mid-range RSI values observed in the former cycle before Bitcoin advanced again. 

Sharing a second chart, Severino also pointed to Bitcoin’s price action relative to its RSI performance across both cycles. During the earlier cycle, Bitcoin’s price sat around $233.54, while in the recent cycle, it has declined to $89,352. The analyst argues that the alignment between the RSI movements and price action in both timelines strengthens his theory that Bitcoin may be approaching a meaningful bottom soon. 

Severino also suggested that if history repeats in the 2023-2026 cycle, traders could be looking at the early stages of a year-long accumulation phase, similar to what played out a decade ago. Nevertheless, he acknowledged that there is no guarantee that the current cycle will mirror past patterns completely. 

Analyst Flags New BTC Bullish Crossover

Crypto analyst AO has shared a more optimistic outlook for Bitcoin, highlighting the formation of a Bullish Crossover—a key technical signal that has historically preceded significant price surges. According to him, each time the Stochastic RSI on US10Y*CN10Y experiences a Bullish Crossover, Bitcoin enters a significant bull run.

AO presented a chart showcasing four previous Bullish Crossovers, each followed by a massive price increase. The first crossover appeared in 2013 and coincided with an early surge. The second came in 2017, marking the start of a multi-month bull run. The third occurred in late 2020, shortly before BTC’s record-breaking run in 2021. The most recent signal has not emerged in 2025, suggesting the potential for a similar upward move.

On December 10, 2025, CoinW will participate in an AMA with PancakeSwap at 1 PM UTC, focusing on the evolution of decentralized finance and CoinW’s positioning within it. As highlighted by PancakeSwap, this event brings together executives to discuss CoinW’s strategy and partnership outlook. These interactions may offer early signals regarding new platform integrations, liquidity incentives, or cross-platform listings. Announcements from high-visibility AMAs can catalyze trading activity and price movement, contingent on the specificity and scale of any disclosed initiatives.

The first XGRAM TALKS session involving Zano and its partners will occur on December 11, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC. According to Zano's official statement, this event aims to facilitate direct dialogue regarding upcoming developments, ecosystem collaboration, and protocol upgrades. The presence of partners could indicate progress on technical integrations or shared initiatives, information that may shape market sentiment if it signals increased network activity, technological improvements, or advancing adoption within Zano’s ecosystem.

On December 9, 2025, IDRX and NUSA will host a live AMA to discuss developing stablecoin strategies, active lending campaigns (notably the IDRX Borrow Flash Campaign), and future DeFi growth across Asian markets. According to the official announcement, participants will hear from company leadership about the increasing role of stablecoins in regional Web3 adoption and strategic lending mechanisms. Such discussions could signal upcoming product changes, liquidity shifts, or increased user activity for the involved tokens, all of which are material for market positioning, especially if new initiatives or partnerships are disclosed.

Michael Saylor, CEO of the world’s largest Bitcoin treasury holder, is pushing nation-states to develop Bitcoin-backed digital banking systems that offer high-yield, low-volatility accounts capable of attracting trillions of dollars in deposits.

Speaking at the Bitcoin MENA event in Abu Dhabi, Saylor said countries could use overcollateralized Bitcoin (BTC) reserves and tokenized credit instruments to create regulated digital bank accounts that offer higher yields than traditional deposits. 

Saylor noted that bank deposits in Japan, Europe and Switzerland offer little to no yield, while euro money-market funds pay roughly 150 basis points, and US money-market rates are closer to 400 basis points. He said this explains why investors turn to the corporate bond market, which “wouldn’t exist if people weren’t so disgusted with their bank account.”

Tether is backing a new class of industrial humanoid robots being built to take on dangerous and physically exhausting jobs inside factories and logistics hubs.

The stablecoin issuer joined AMD Ventures, Italy’s state-backed Artificial Intelligence Fund, and other investors in a €70 million round for Generative Bionics, a new spinoff from the Italian Institute of Technology.

The year-old company is developing “Physical AI” humanoids designed to operate in environments built for humans, handling lifting, hauling, and repetitive tasks that traditional robotic arms can’t easily perform.

For Tether, the investment is part of what CEO Paolo Ardoino describes as a shift toward backing “digital and physical infrastructure,” projects that expand the company’s footprint beyond stablecoins and reduce what he calls a growing “reliance on centralized systems overseen by Big Tech.” Tether has funded several internal and external AI projects and has investments across the Bitcoin mining sector.

He said Generative Bionics aligns with Tether’s belief that technology should “strengthen societal resilience” and accelerate real-world innovation.

It also arrives just weeks after S&P Global downgraded USDT’s stability score to the weakest level on its scale, citing Tether's rising exposure to bitcoin and other investments with limited disclosure. Tether rejected the assessment, calling S&P’s framework outdated.

Generative Bionics says its initial industrial deployment programs are slated for early 2026, with target sectors including manufacturing, logistics, healthcare, and retail. 

Last month, the Financial Times reported Tether was "in discussions" to invest in German tech startup Neura Robotics at an approximately $10 billion valuation.

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