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XRP price started a recovery wave above $2.050. The price is now showing positive signs but might struggle to clear the $2.10 resistance.

• XRP price started a recovery wave above the $2.050 zone.
• The price is now trading above $2.060 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
• There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.090 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
• The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $2.160.

XRP Price Faces Uphill Task

XRP price remained supported above $2.00 and started a recovery wave, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to climb above $2.020 and $2.050 to enter a positive zone.

There was a clear move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2.2130 swing high to the $1.990 low. However, the price is now facing resistance near $2.10. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2.090 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair.

The price is now trading above $2.060 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $2.10 level and the trend line. The first major resistance is near the $2.1250 level.

A close above $2.1250 could send the price to $2.160 and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2.2130 swing high to the $1.990 low. The next hurdle sits at $2.220. A clear move above the $2.220 resistance might send the price toward the $2.280 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.350 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $2.450.

Another Decline?

If XRP fails to clear the $2.10 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.050 level. The next major support is near the $2.00 level.

If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.00 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.9650. The next major support sits near the $1.920 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.850.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $2.020 and $2.00.

Major Resistance Levels – $2.10 and $2.160.

The Trump administration’s newly released 2025 National Security Strategy (NSS) failed to mention digital assets and blockchain tech. The focuses instead on AI, biotech, and quantum computing.

Released Friday, the NSS is a key policy document framed by the White House. The policy papers lay out how the President views global threats and opportunities.

The pro-crypto administration has so far taken significant steps for the industry, including establishing the President’s Working Group on Digital Asset Markets, signing the GENIUS Act for stablecoin regulation and dropping several enforcement actions against crypto firms.

However, skipping any mention of Bitcoin in global economic policy discussions suggests that digital assets remain outside core security planning.

“We want to ensure that U.S. technology and U.S. standards — particularly in AI, biotech, and quantum computing — drive the world forward,” the national security strategy statement read.

Besides, Trump, who campaigned on becoming the “crypto president”, established a strategic national Bitcoin reserve. However, he later said that the stash will be funded with seized Bitcoin and not fresh BTC purchases.Trump’s Commitment Over Crypto as National Strategic Issue

The President has previously made strong on-record commitments, framing digital assets as part of the US’ national strategic issue.

For instance, at the Bitcoin Conference in Nashville in 2024, Trump stressed that the future of crypto and the future of Bitcoin “will be made in the USA, not driven overseas.”

Further, in several policy rollouts, Trump positioned global competitors as potential beneficiaries if the US fails to adopt crypto-friendly policies.

The strategy has only mentioned “digital finance” in non-crypto terms, pointing to international economic systems and payment rails, failing to address decentralized networks.National Security Strategy Shakes BTC Price, Token Slid Below $88K Over Weekend

The impact of the White House’s latest document was reflected in the price of Bitcoin, plunging below $88,000 over the weekend.

However, the world’s largest crypto has risen 1.96% in the past 24 hours to $91,429, per CoinMarketCap data. A close above $91,600 could target $93K, while failure risks a pullback to $89.5K support. Bitcoin is trading at $91,143 at press time.

One enigmatic post from Michael Saylor propelled Bitcoin over $4,000 in less than three hours early in Asian morning on Monday. His “₿ack to Orange Dots?” message sparked speculation about MicroStrategy’s accumulation strategy, pushing the digital asset from just below $88,000 to above $91,000.

This response highlights how the executive chairman’s communications can strongly influence market sentiment, even while the overall market sentiment remains gripped by extreme fear.

Decoding the Orange and Green Dot System

Michael Saylor’s color-coded system wields major market influence. The “orange dots” denote each Bitcoin purchase event by MicroStrategy, visible on the company’s StrategyTracker.com portfolio chart. Each marker represents another step in the company’s robust Bitcoin accumulation plan.

The chart’s green line displays the average purchase price of all acquisitions, serving as a performance benchmark. As of Dec 8, MicroStrategy held 650,000 BTC valued at $57.80 billion, with an average cost of $74,436 per coin. This position reflected a gain of 19.47%, translating to about $9.42 billion in unrealized profits.

Recently, Saylor added a new twist to this visual vocabulary. His cryptic “green dots” have spurred speculation about potential strategy changes. The green dashed line—tracking the average cost—has taken center stage. Some analysts believe higher buying activity could move this metric upward.

Within hours of Saylor’s update, the price soared above $91,000. The day’s range stretched from $87,887 to $91,673, highlighting marked volatility around the signal.

Market Dynamics and Trader Positioning

Despite the rally, market sentiment remained fragile. The Fear and Greed Index signaled continued anxiety, but long-short ratios showed bullish trader positioning. As fear and profit transitioned, market psychology remained complex.

Data from CoinGlass revealed Binance and OKX reported 52.22% long positions versus 47.78% short, while Bybit’s bullish skew was even stronger at 54.22% long and 45.78% short. The latest four-hour futures volume showed $106.77 million (56.23%) long against $83.11 million (43.77%) short. Traders seemed optimistic despite fearful sentiment metrics.

The split between sentiment indicators and trader positioning highlights today’s market complexity. Many are willing to wager on sustained momentum, especially after influential signals from major holders, though fear persists in the background.

MicroStrategy’s influence extends further. The company recently built a $1.44 billion cash reserve to cover dividends and provide 21 months of liquidity. On December 1, 2024, it acquired 130 BTC for about $11.7 million at $89,960 per coin, bringing total holdings to 650,000 BTC.

Strategic Evolution and Market Implications

The corporate approach has shifted in recent weeks. CEO Phong Le recently admitted MicroStrategy could sell Bitcoin if the stock drops below 1x modified Net Asset Value—should equity or debt not be raised. In November 2024, the mNAV touched 0.95, bringing this scenario closer to reality.

This marks a move away from the former “never sell” stance. Annual dividend requirements of $750 million to $800 million have forced the firm to consider new liquidity, making its market role resemble a leveraged Bitcoin ETF. Shares have lost over 60% from highs, raising questions about continued accumulation in volatile times.

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon has denied debanking customers based on their religious or political affiliation and stated that he has actually been working to change the rules surrounding debanking for over a decade. 

During an interview with Fox News’ “Sunday Morning Futures” on Sunday, Dimon said his bank has cut off services to people from all walks of life, but political affiliations have never been a factor.

Devin Nunes, the chair of the President’s intelligence advisory board and CEO of Trump Media, alleges the company was debanked by JPMorgan and that it was among more than 400 Trump‑linked individuals and organizations that had banking records subpoenaed by special counsel Jack Smith as part of an investigation.

Jack Mallers, the CEO of the Bitcoin Lightning Network payments company Strike, also accused JPMorgan of closing his personal accounts without explanation last month, which sparked concerns about another Operation Chokepoint 2.0.

Houston Morgan, the head of marketing at non-custodial crypto trading platform ShapeShift, shared a similar story in November. 

Crypto assets traded higher on Monday while Asia’s stock markets inched up, as traders stepped into a week dominated by the US Federal Reserve and a packed central bank calendar.

The mood stayed cautious, but risk assets, from crypto to equities, held their ground as investors lined up behind the prospect of fresh policy easing.

Bitcoin rose about 1.9%, keeping prices close to the $90,000 mark and extending a steady grind higher that has drawn support from rate-cut bets.

For crypto traders, the Fed meeting now looks less like a routine calendar event and more like a possible trigger for the next leg of the cycle.

Akshat Siddhant, lead quant analyst at Mudrex, said that if the Fed proceeds with a rate cut this week, a “Santa rally” becomes increasingly likely, pushing BTC toward the $100,000 mark.

He pointed to around $87,500 as an important support area, a level that still leaves the broader structure for Bitcoin looking constructive even if there is short-term volatility.Market snapshot

• Bitcoin: $91,256, up 1.9%
• Ether: $3,114, up 2.1%
• XRP: $2.07, up 0.9%
• Total crypto market cap: $3.18 trillion, up 1.3%

🚨 BIG WEEK INCOMING FOR CRYPTO 🚨MONDAY:– FOMC MEETING– POSSIBLE QE STARTTUESDAY:– INFLATION DATA RELEASEWEDNESDAY:– FOMC MEETING AND RATE CUTSFRIDAY:– DEF BALANCE SHEET– POWELL RESIGNSMEGA BULLISH WEEK FOR CRYPTO IS COMING! — ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ (@DeFiTracer) Crypto Finds Support While Asian Stocks Log Cautious Early Gains

Across Asia’s equity markets, stocks nudged higher as trading got under way. Japan’s Nikkei slipped about 0.3% after a modest 0.5% gain last week, while South Korea’s Kospi eased 0.3% after jumping 4.4% last week on confirmation of lower US tariffs on its exports.

MSCI’s broad index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dipped roughly 0.1% in relatively quiet dealings.

Mainland Chinese shares were set to take their cues from November trade figures, with investors watching how exports hold up against tariff headwinds. The data will feed into positioning on Chinese assets into year-end and help shape how much regional support Asian equities can offer to global risk sentiment.Fed Tension Builds With Futures Flat And Analysts Watching Earnings Signals

US futures provided little directional push at the start of the week. S&P 500 and Nasdaq contracts traded close to flat as investors balanced the coming Fed decision with a fresh round of corporate results.

Earnings from Oracle and Broadcom will give another read on demand for AI-linked infrastructure and chips, while Costco’s numbers will offer a window into consumer spending.

Pricing in interest-rate markets shows how firmly investors lean toward an easing. Futures imply roughly an 85% chance of a quarter-point cut in the current 3.75% to 4% federal funds target range, so a hold would amount to a shock.

Yet the decision may not be straightforward inside the Federal Open Market Committee. Some policymakers have spoken openly against cutting too early, and the Fed has not seen three or more dissents at a single meeting since 2019, something that has occurred only nine times since 1990. Crypto Watches Dollar Path As Markets Weigh Fed Timing And Political Noise

Market prices are more cautious, attaching about a 24% probability to a January move and not fully factoring in another easing until July. For Bitcoin and other digital assets, that path matters because it shapes the dollar, liquidity and the appeal of hard-cap assets.

US politics also hangs over the debate. Some investors worry that President Donald Trump’s repeated attacks on Fed independence could help push rates too low over time, setting the stage for a later inflation problem.

That kind of backdrop often feeds into the narrative that Bitcoin can act as a hedge against long-term currency debasement, even if day-to-day trading still reacts to standard macro data and funding conditions.

The Fed is not the only game in town. Central banks in Canada, Switzerland and Australia also meet this week and are widely expected to hold policy steady. The Swiss National Bank may see reasons to offset a strong franc, but with its policy rate already at 0%, officials remain wary of returning to negative territory.

Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $3,000. ETH is now consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above $3,150.

• Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,000 and $3,020 levels.
• The price is trading above $3,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,140 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
• The pair could continue to move up if it settles above the $3,150 zone.

Ethereum Price Eyes Additional Gains

Ethereum price managed to stay above $2,920 and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH price gained strength for a move above the $3,000 and $3,020 resistance levels.

Recently, the price saw a downside correction from the $3,240 zone. There was a drop below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $2,718 swing low to the $3,240 low. However, the bulls remained active near the $2,920 zone.

Ethereum price is now trading above $3,050 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is another upward move, the price could face resistance near the $3,140 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $3,140 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

The next key resistance is near the $3,200 level. The first major resistance is near the $3,250 level. A clear move above the $3,250 resistance might send the price toward the $3,320 resistance. An upside break above the $3,320 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,450 resistance zone or even $3,500 in the near term.

Another Downside Correction In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,140 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,050 level. The first major support sits near the $3,000 zone.

A clear move below the $3,000 support might push the price toward the $2,950 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,920 region and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $2,718 swing low to the $3,240 low. The next key support sits at $2,840 and $2,820.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $3,050

Major Resistance Level – $3,140