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Pyramiding is a trading strategy where traders gradually increase their position size as the market moves in their favour. Instead of committing full capital upfront, they add to winning positions at key levels. This article explains how pyramiding works, common strategies, potential risks, and key considerations for traders looking to add it to their trading approach.
The White House is trumpeting its new trade deal with the European Union, following a similar agreement with Japan, as a great victory. Both pacts impose tariffs of 15% on most exports to the US, along with other concessions — on the face of it, lifting the threat of open-ended trade war and reaffirming US dominance. Financial markets advanced on the news.
In truth, there’s nothing to celebrate. Both deals are lose-lose for all involved. The best that can be hoped for is that the administration now moves on to other priorities before more damage is done.
In narrow economic terms, the claim that the US has emerged the winner from both sets of negotiations is simply false. Tariffs are taxes. Before long, American consumers will pay most if not all of the increase in costs. And the problem isn’t just that imports will be more expensive. US producers of rival products will face less pressure to compete and innovate, and they will raise their prices as well. In due course, these forces will depress US living standards. Always remember, the biggest loser from tariffs is invariably the country imposing them.
Such costs might be manageable over the long term, as long as the agreements draw a line under recent quarrels over trade. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, who struck the deal with the US over the weekend, emphasised this point in justifying the bloc’s surrender to American demands — lauding the agreement for restoring stability and predictability for consumers and producers alike.
If only. For a start, both pacts, like the one struck earlier with the UK, are better seen as framework agreements than finished deals. For example, what does Japan’s commitment to finance a US investment fund managed by the White House actually entail? Hard to say. (It’s been portrayed as a US$550 billion (RM2.3 trillion) “signing bonus.” Japanese officials probably don’t see it that way.)
Under the US-EU deal, some European goods will be given tariff-free access to the US. Which ones? Nobody knows. In both cases, many important details are yet to be finalised. Meanwhile, citizens in Japan and Europe have seen their governments humbled, which makes mounting political opposition and uncertainty all too likely.
If or when these particular deals are concluded, there’ll be new ones to strike — and the contested issues aren’t confined to trade policy. If in the future the White House aims to settle all such disputes by reviving the threat of punitive tariffs or tacitly threatening to withhold cooperation on security, von der Leyen’s vision of stability and predictability will be confirmed as a mirage.
Most dangerously, the administration’s supposed triumphs may now affirm its belief that the US is powerful enough to demand submission, as opposed to genuine partnership, from countries it once saw as friends. If so, heightened instability — lethal to long-term planning, investment and global cooperation across the board — won’t be just a passing phase.
Strength through disruption is a self-defeating strategy. Sooner or later, that will become painfully obvious.
QCP Capital’s recent analysis outlines a static environment for Bitcoin, which remains confined between $116,000 and $120,000, and Ethereum, which hovers around the $4,000 line. This report, dated July 30, 2025, suggests that a combination of institutional investments, the progress of spot ETFs, and enhanced regulations could potentially drive new market heights in the coming months. Yet, the market’s tepid response to encouraging updates raises concerns about its susceptibility. QCP warns of a possible sell-off triggered by a swift dollar short squeeze impacting equities, emerging markets, and the broader crypto sector.
QCP Capital points out that Bitcoin’s ascent past the $120,000 level remains inconsistent, though consistent buying interest at $116,000 prevents deeper declines. Ethereum approaches its $4,000 threshold, but neutral momentum suggests limited upward propulsion. Strategies by companies like SharpLink Gaming to invest at low Bitcoin levels are hampered by insufficient new trading volume, hindering a significant price shift.
Will Dollar Movements Prompt Market Reactions?
Given the general expectation of a “weak dollar” throughout the year, the US Dollar Index’s 10% drop since January leaves scant room for further declines. CFTC observations highlight unprecedented dollar short entries, notably in the USDJPY pair, with elevated funding rates pressuring these positions.
An unpredictable dollar resurgence could instigate broad market hesitancy, impacting equities, emerging markets, and cryptocurrencies. Tariff wars affecting corporate margins, along with shifts in US inflation and job statistics, will likely influence market trends. Fed’s upcoming interest rate discussions in July and September are critical in guiding these economic dynamics.
The cryptocurrency market is poised at a crossroads:
Observing these market elements suggests potential waves of volatility ahead. The interplay between macroeconomic signals and market sentiment may determine the direction of financial and digital asset landscapes. Investors are urged to remain vigilant as traditional finance and cryptocurrencies navigate these unsteady waters.
Indian officials are planning to continue negotiating with the US for a bilateral trade deal by fall of this year even if US President Donald Trump follows through with threatened tariffs this week, people familiar with the matter said.New Delhi is less optimistic about securing an interim agreement with the Trump administration before an Aug. 1 deadline when higher US duties kick in, the people said, asking not to be identified as the discussions are private. If India is slapped with higher duties on its imports this week, officials see this as a temporary measure until talks on a broader bilateral deal are concluded in the fall, they said.
India’s Ministry of Commerce and Industry didn’t immediately respond to an email seeking further information.
Trump signaled Tuesday that India may be hit with a tariff of 20% to 25%, while cautioning the rate hadn’t been finalized yet. Any levy of that magnitude would be a blow to the South Asian nation, which had been one of the first countries to begin trade negotiations with the Trump administration, and had been seeking lower rates than the 19% given to Indonesia and the Philippines.While failure to secure an interim deal would be concerning to New Delhi, officials see any tariff hike as a temporary disadvantage, people familiar with the matter said. Negotiations for the broader deal are on track, with a team from the US expected to visit India during August, they said.
Internal calculations suggests about 10% of exports would be affected in July to September if India is slapped with a tariff rate above 25%, one of the people said. Sectors including electronic goods, gems and jewelery, would be impacted, the person said.India and the US had already finalized the terms of reference for a broad bilateral trade deal during Vice President JD Vance’s trip to India in April, and had committed to a fall deadline for that. The two sides were negotiating a multi-phase approach to the deal, with an interim agreement expected to cover the tariff.
Trump had initially threatened India with a 26% import tariff. Bloomberg News previously reported that both sides were working toward a deal that would reduce India’s proposed tariffs to below 20%.New Delhi is still waiting to hear from the White House on the tariff levels, an official told reporters earlier this week. Negotiations had hit a hurdle around US demands for greater access to India’s agriculture, dairy and automobiles sectors. India had been pushing for exemptions from the US sectoral tariffs, particularly in pharmaceuticals.
Britain’s grocery shoppers face mounting pressure as food inflation climbs, pushing up the overall cost of the family shop.
New data from the British Retail Consortium (BRC) reveals a persistent rise in the price of essentials, eroding household budgets and consumer confidence.
Shop price inflation returned to positive territory in June for the first time in nearly a year, rising 0.4% compared to a 0.1% fall in May, according to BRC‑NielsenIQ figures.
Food inflation surged by 3.7% year‑on‑year in June, up from 2.8% in May. Fresh produce inflation reached 3.2%, while ambient food costs rose 4.3%.
These trends pushed shop price inflation higher again in July, where overall prices rose 0.7%, with food up 4.0% annually—the highest rate since early 2024.
Helen Dickinson highlights budget and labour pressures
Helen Dickinson, chief executive of the BRC, emphasised that the return of headline inflation came within three months of last autumn’s Budget measures taking effect.
She noted food prices showed little sign of easing, particularly in fresh produce, where meat prices have been pushed up by elevated wholesale costs and rising labour expenses.
Vegetable and fruit prices were also affected by hot, dry weather reducing harvest yields.
Dickinson warned that retailers had long cautioned about rising costs following increases to employer national insurance contributions and the national living wage—factors forecast to drive further food inflation before the year’s end.
Mike Watkins on consumer willingness to spend
Mike Watkins, head of retailer and business insight at NielsenIQ, said that broader economic conditions and supply chain disruptions were behind the price increases.
He added that while Britain’s spell of good weather had boosted demand, rising prices could prove problematic if consumers become reluctant to spend later in the year.
He suggested retailers may reinforce value‑for‑money messaging over the summer as a result.
Retail sales have declined for ten consecutive months, with the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) reporting sales sentiment at –34 in July, improving slightly from –46 in June—but still signalling weak consumer demand.
Economic uncertainty, rising labour costs and increased employer contributions are cited as key factors curtailing household spending.
Compounding the pressure, survey data from Worldpanel shows grocery inflation reached 5.2% in July—the highest since early 2024—leading households to resort to simpler meals and shift towards supermarket own‑label lines to manage budgets.
A major flow of Chinese trade away from the United States would likely lower eurozone inflation next year, when price growth is already set to undershoot the 2% target, a European Central Bank blog post said on Wednesday.
China is negotiating a trade deal with the US and pressure has increased on Beijing to accept higher tariffs after Washington cut deals with the European Union, Japan and Britain.
If those talks failed and US tariffs on Chinese goods rose to an effective rate of around 135%, as threatened by the Trump administration, then China would likely sell much of its surplus product in the eurozone, pushing up supply and lowering inflation by as much as 0.15% next year and to a lesser extent in 2027, the ECB blog said.
While economists do not see this scenario as the most likely outcome, such a price drag would be problematic since eurozone inflation is already expected to fall to 1.6% next year and this trade diversion would raise the spectre of more persistent undershooting, potentially forcing the ECB to cut rates.
"It will take some time for consumer prices to drop," the blog argued. "Consumer prices for non-energy industrial goods tend to respond with the strongest impact materialising one to one-and-a-half years after the initial shock," the blog said.
Under this "severe" scenario, the eurozone's imports from China could rise by as much as 10%, resulting in an excess supply of goods equivalent to 1.3% of overall goods consumption, the blog, which is not necessarily the ECB's opinion, said.
For the market to absorb such an excess supply, overall import prices would need to drop by 1.6% and non-energy industrial goods inflation may fall by as much as 0.5 percentage points in 2026, it said.
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