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Daily Technical Analysis: [05 JUNE]

10 jam yang lalu TMGM


 

1. USD/JPY Analysis:

News Summary:

Uncertainty surrounding the Japanese yen is rising rapidly, and the options market has already begun to reflect growing investor anxiety. Traders have significantly increased their hedging activity against sharp exchange-rate swings over the next two weeks, a period that coincides with the Bank of Japan policy meeting scheduled for June 15–16 and a potentially sensitive window for renewed currency intervention by Japanese authorities. The widening of key options market spreads is being interpreted as a sign that concerns over heightened volatility in the yen are intensifying. Investors remain focused on whether the Bank of Japan will signal any shift in its policy stance, while also monitoring the risk of official intervention should exchange-rate movements become excessively rapid or disorderly.

 

Trend Analysis:

We can see USD/JPY continues to rebound on the H4 chart and remains above the 48 hours moving average. Meanwhile, both the MACD double line and histogram bars are continuing to converge above the zero axis. The buy limit could be set, stop loss is necessary.

 

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [159.00]

Key Resistance Levels: [161.00]
Pivot Points [159.50]

2. Gold Analysis:

 

News Summary:

The primary impact of the Lebanon ceasefire agreement is not a direct increase in safe-haven demand for gold, but rather a reduction in tail risks associated with energy supply disruptions. Previously, markets were concerned that an escalation of regional tensions could keep oil prices elevated, reigniting inflation pressures and forcing major central banks to maintain higher interest rates for longer. With oil prices retreating, fears of a renewed acceleration in inflation have eased, leading to a moderation in safe-haven demand for the U.S. dollar. As the dollar weakens, gold has found support despite the improvement in geopolitical sentiment. In this environment, the precious metal is benefiting more from currency dynamics than from traditional safe-haven flows.

 

Trend Analysis:

On the H4 chart, we can see gold is consolidating lower and is currently trading near the 48 hours moving average. In addition, the MACD double line and energy bars are contracting around the zero axis. The buy limit could be employed, stop loss is mandatory.

 

Today's Key Price Levels:

Key Support Levels: [4400]

Key Resistance Levels: [4500]

Pivot Points [4420]


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