USDX
107.945

0.44%

XAUUSD
1756.94

0.08%

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0.78%

EURUSD
1.00569

0.31%

GBPUSD
1.18275

0.82%

USDJPY
136.981

0.81%

USNDAQ100
13372.65

1.10%

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      USDX: Rise for Better Drop

      Summary:

      Rising risk aversion and increased interest rate hike expectations support the U.S. dollar's rise, but the overall situation for the dollar has not improved. When risk aversion dissipates, the dollar may continue to weaken.

      Sell USDX
      End Time
      CLOSED

      106.500

      ENTRY PRICE

      105.000

      TGT PRICE

      107.500

      SL PRICE

      107.945 +0.470 +0.44%

      234

      Points

      Profit

      105.000

      TGT PRICE

      106.266

      CLOSING

      106.500

      ENTRY PRICE

      107.500

      SL PRICE

      基础

      美元周二上涨0.89%,因避险情绪支撑其飙升,因为美国众议院议长南希佩洛西访问台湾,市场担心美中关系进一步恶化。与此同时,三名美联储官员发表了讲话。
      旧金山联储主席玛丽·戴利(Mary Daly)预计,美联储将在短期内继续加息,然后将其维持“一段时间”。
      克利夫兰联储主席洛蕾塔·梅斯特(Loretta Mester)表示,通胀尚未达到峰值。在美联储结束加息周期之前,还需要几个月的证据来证明通胀已经达到顶峰。
      芝加哥联储主席查尔斯·埃文斯(Charles Evans)表示,他希望在9月会议上将利率提高50个基点,然后继续加息25个基点,直到2023年第二季度初。他认为,到明年年底,政策利率将在3.75%至4%之间。
      美联储已经发出了一个明确的信号,即在考虑结束加息周期之前,它将看到通胀下降的有力证据。看到这个“强有力的证据”需要时间。
      市场对美联储加息(和下调)预期反应强硬,降息的可能性预计会下降,继续加息的可能性也会上升。
      就目前而言,虽然佩洛西对台湾的访问激发了市场的风险规避情绪,但短期内不会对金融市场产生重大影响,因为事件本身在很大程度上仅限于一些信号行动,任何反应都可能需要数周或更长时间。市场对美国经济衰退的担忧并没有消退,而只是暂时被风险厌恶所掩盖。当避险情绪消散时,美元仍将受到这种担忧的困扰。

      技术分析

      在4小时的时间框架内,美元仍处于下降通道,阻力位位于趋势线上方,通道顶部,以及38.2%斐波那契回撤位(106.866)。美元现在已经形成了看跌吞噬模式,并可能在短期内下跌。Stoch,DMI和Ichimoku Cloud等指标都表明美元将在短期内下跌。
      USDX: Rise for Better Drop_1

      交易 R电子建议

      交易方向:空头
      入门价格: 106.5
      目标价格: 105.00
      止损: 107.5
      支撑位: 105.559, 105.00, 104.698
      Resistance: 106.215, 106.866, 107.254
      Risk Warnings and Investment Disclaimers
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      Jason

      Analyst

      I have an in-depth study of fundamentals, especiaslly for the US dollar market. I'm good at short and medium term trading by virtue of my profound financial theoretical knowledge and extensive practical experience.

      Rank

      6

      Articles

      314

      Win Rate

      48.04%

      P/L Ratio

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      Focus on

      USDX, EURUSD, GBPUSD

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