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US consumer spending deteriorated significantly in June, sparking market fears of a recession. For now, no matter whether or not there will be a recession, the market has started to become uneasy. The market is torn among the expectations of inflation, interest rate hike, and recession, and the trend of the US dollar (USD) has become confusing.
105.070
Entry Price
104.450
TP
105.400
SL
33.0
Pips
Loss
104.450
TP
105.406
Exit Price
105.070
Entry Price
105.400
SL
The AUDUSD has completely reversed its mid-June bullish trend and continues to trade in the broad descending trend slightly higher than the support level at 0.6850.
0.68800
Entry Price
0.70000
TP
0.68300
SL
50.0
Pips
Loss
0.68300
SL
0.68298
Exit Price
0.68800
Entry Price
0.70000
TP
On 30 June, international oil prices were mixed. Despite the increase in US refined oil products inventory, the tight global supply and demand situation is expected to limit the decline of oil prices.
109.500
Entry Price
105.100
TP
111.700
SL
275.1
Pips
Profit
105.100
TP
106.749
Exit Price
109.500
Entry Price
111.700
SL
US PCE data will be released during the day. If inflation rises further, the market will expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates aggressively (75 basis points), then the economic recession worries will reappear, and gold is expected to rise (whether gold is favored or not by a safe-haven sentiment depends on the market's choice). On the contrary, if inflation slows down, although it is favorable for the U.S., it also means that the Federal Reserve may not have to raise interest rates so aggressively, which is opposite to current market expectations, and the USD may fall instead.
1813.53
Entry Price
1829.36
TP
1808.34
SL
51.9
Pips
Loss
1808.34
SL
1808.34
Exit Price
1813.53
Entry Price
1829.36
TP
Officials of the major central banks indicated at the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting in Portugal that higher interest rates were necessary to curb soaring inflation. The EURUSD fell sharply as major central banks warned that the loose money era was coming to an end.
1.04500
Entry Price
1.03480
TP
1.05500
SL
38.1
Pips
Profit
1.03480
TP
1.04119
Exit Price
1.04500
Entry Price
1.05500
SL
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has shown no sign of a shift in policy. Without direct foreign exchange intervention, the JPY will struggle to change its weakness.
135.820
Entry Price
139.500
TP
134.000
SL
26.2
Pips
Profit
134.000
SL
136.082
Exit Price
135.820
Entry Price
139.500
TP
The U.S. PCE data will be released within the day, which could change the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike in the short term, thus enabling the dollar to open a new round of trend. As the current trend of EUR / USD is based on the dollar, the trend of the Euro will also be impacted significantly.
1.04939
Entry Price
1.03989
TP
1.05293
SL
--
Pips
EXPIRED
1.03989
TP
1.04708
Exit Price
1.04939
Entry Price
1.05293
SL
Jason
Analyst
I have an in-depth study of fundamentals, especiaslly for the US dollar market. I'm good at short and medium term trading by virtue of my profound financial theoretical knowledge and extensive practical experience.
Ranking
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Articles
378
Win Rate
39.33%
P/L Ratio
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Focus on
USDJPY, USDX, EURUSD
U.S. GDP May Dampen Interest Rate Cut Expectations Again
PENDINGWith Strong Support, No Further Decline Expected in the Short Term
PENDINGGold Price Faces Key Support, Eye on 2,288.02
PROFIT +250.1 PipsUSDX Expected to Be Volatile Shortly, Buying Low Is Recommended
PROFIT +13.4 PipsBuy Gold with Caution under an Unpredictable Trend
LOSS -114.2 PipsThe risk of loss in trading financial assets such as stocks, FX, commodities, futures, bonds, ETFs or crypto can be substantial. You may sustain a total loss of the funds that you deposit with your broker. Therefore, you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.
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