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Inflation, exchange rates, and the economy shape the policy decisions of central banks; the attitudes and words of central bank officials also influence the actions of market traders.
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Market fears of recession have intensified, and risk aversion has supported the dollar rally. Meanwhile, the price of commodities including crude oil has generally lowered, making the commodity currency AUD weaker.
0.68480
Entry Price
0.67600
TP
0.69380
SL
63.5
Pips
Profit
0.67600
TP
0.67845
Exit Price
0.68480
Entry Price
0.69380
SL
US consumer spending deteriorated significantly in June, sparking market fears of a recession. For now, no matter whether or not there will be a recession, the market has started to become uneasy. The market is torn among the expectations of inflation, interest rate hike, and recession, and the trend of the US dollar (USD) has become confusing.
105.070
Entry Price
104.450
TP
105.400
SL
33.0
Pips
Loss
104.450
TP
105.406
Exit Price
105.070
Entry Price
105.400
SL
The AUDUSD has completely reversed its mid-June bullish trend and continues to trade in the broad descending trend slightly higher than the support level at 0.6850.
0.68800
Entry Price
0.70000
TP
0.68300
SL
50.0
Pips
Loss
0.68300
SL
0.68298
Exit Price
0.68800
Entry Price
0.70000
TP
On 30 June, international oil prices were mixed. Despite the increase in US refined oil products inventory, the tight global supply and demand situation is expected to limit the decline of oil prices.
109.500
Entry Price
105.100
TP
111.700
SL
275.1
Pips
Profit
105.100
TP
106.749
Exit Price
109.500
Entry Price
111.700
SL
US PCE data will be released during the day. If inflation rises further, the market will expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates aggressively (75 basis points), then the economic recession worries will reappear, and gold is expected to rise (whether gold is favored or not by a safe-haven sentiment depends on the market's choice). On the contrary, if inflation slows down, although it is favorable for the U.S., it also means that the Federal Reserve may not have to raise interest rates so aggressively, which is opposite to current market expectations, and the USD may fall instead.
1813.53
Entry Price
1829.36
TP
1808.34
SL
51.9
Pips
Loss
1808.34
SL
1808.34
Exit Price
1813.53
Entry Price
1829.36
TP
Officials of the major central banks indicated at the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting in Portugal that higher interest rates were necessary to curb soaring inflation. The EURUSD fell sharply as major central banks warned that the loose money era was coming to an end.
1.04500
Entry Price
1.03480
TP
1.05500
SL
38.1
Pips
Profit
1.03480
TP
1.04119
Exit Price
1.04500
Entry Price
1.05500
SL
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has shown no sign of a shift in policy. Without direct foreign exchange intervention, the JPY will struggle to change its weakness.
135.820
Entry Price
139.500
TP
134.000
SL
26.2
Pips
Profit
134.000
SL
136.082
Exit Price
135.820
Entry Price
139.500
TP
Winkelmann
Analyst
7 years of stock market, foreign exchange, precious metal and other trading and analysis experience, based on fundamental, technical support, biased towards the top-down transaction logic, focusing on macro cycle and risk control, multi-purpose supply and demand theoretical prediction price Changes, balances the impact of transactions, chips distribution and market sentiment, and steady.
Ranking
2
Articles
375
Win Rate
66.16%
P/L Ratio
1.29
Focus on
WTI, XAGUSD, XAUUSD
Silver Holds the $27 Support Level, Seeking Buying Opportunities
PENDINGOil Bulls' Confidence Dented as Geopolitical Risks Cool Down
PENDINGBulls Suffer Greatly Amid Ongoing Corrections
PENDINGGains Might Be Illusionary After Bitcoin Halving
PENDINGBuying Low Is Preferred under A Solid Bullish Pattern
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